The Truth About Index Funds (2024)

Index funds, which are designed to mimic the ups and downs of a specific index, from the S&P 500 Index to the Barclays Capital California Municipal Bond Index, have become a runaway success. Index investing was introduced to the public with mutual funds in the 1970s. The strategy got a big boost in the 1990s with the rise of exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which can be bought and sold like shares of stock.

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It wasn't until the turn of the millennium, however, that index funds really caught on. Between 2010 and 2020, they grew from 19% of the total fund market to 40%, and two years ago, the total assets invested in U.S. stock index funds surpassed the assets of funds actively managed by human beings. The 13 largest stock funds all track indexes.

No wonder: Compared with managed funds, index funds offer better average returns, in large part because their expenses are lower. According to fund-tracker Morningstar, the 10-year return of Vanguard S&P 500 (VOO), an ETF linked to the most popular benchmark and carrying an expense ratio of just 0.03%, exceeded the return of 87% of its 809 peers in the large-cap blend category. The index has beaten a majority of those peers in every single one of the past 10 calendar years.

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Also, because only a few of their constituent stocks change each year (the annual turnover rate for the Vanguard fund is just 4%), index funds incur minimal capital gains tax liabilities. (Returns and other data are as of Aug. 6; index funds I recommend are in bold.)

Specialized index funds – ETFs such as the iShares MSCI Brazil (EWZ) or the TIAA-CREF Small-Cap Blend Index (TRHBX) – are straightforward. They let you own a country, region, investing style or industry without having to choose individual stocks or bonds. But what if you want to own the market as a whole, or a big chunk of it? The choices can be overwhelming – and not necessarily what they seem.

Begin with the S&P 500, consisting of roughly the 500 largest U.S. companies by market capitalization (number of shares outstanding times price). Like most indexes, the S&P 500 is weighted by capitalization: The bigger the market cap a company has, the more its influence on the performance of the index. Apple (AAPL), for instance, has about 60 times the impact of General Mills (GIS).

Any cap-weighted index fund is a heavy bet on larger companies. Lately, that bet has become extremely heavy because a few stocks have become gigantic. In 2011, for example, the total market cap of the 10 biggest S&P 500 stocks was $2.4 trillion. Currently, it’s $13.7 trillion. Apple itself has a cap as large today as all 10 of the largest S&P stocks combined a decade ago.

Or consider simply the five trillionaire stocks I highlighted recently. All by themselves, Alphabet (GOOGL), Amazon.com (AMZN), Apple, Facebook (FB) and Microsoft (MSFT) represent 22% of the value of the S&P 500. In recent years, those stocks have been on a tear, and the index has benefited.

Targeted Bet

You may think you are getting broad diversification by buying an , but you are actually making a substantial wager on a handful of stocks in the same sector. As of July 31, infor­mation technology, Apple's category, and communications services, the sector of Facebook and Alphabet, Google's parent, represent a whopping 39% of the S&P 500. By contrast, energy represents just 2.6%.

Most of the other popular broad indexes are similarly top-heavy and focused on technology. Consider the MSCI U.S. Broad Market Index and other gauges that measure all, or nearly all, of the approximately 4,000 stocks listed on U.S. exchanges.

The five trillionaire stocks represent about 18% of the asset value of Vanguard Total Stock Market (VTI), the most popular of the ETFs based on such indexes; that's only a few percentage points less than the trillionaires' weight in the S&P 500. The iShares Russell 1000 (IWB) is an ETF whose portfolio is based on an index of the 1,000 largest stocks. It has about 20% of its assets in the trillionaires; 36% in tech and communications.

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I still like the trillionaires, and I like technology, but I have decided no longer to deceive myself by thinking that most index funds tracking the S&P 500 are the best way to own the U.S. market.

Most advisers – me included – urge a balanced approach. For example, I have a personal program of putting the same amount of money every month into each of the dozen or so diversified stocks I own. Then, I rebalance at the end of each year by buying and selling so that each stock is valued roughly the same. Such a strategy makes sense for investing in the broad market as well, but most of the popular index funds don't provide it.

Also, although technology is hot now, sector weightings shift back and forth over time. Don't you want your portfolio tilted toward sectors and stocks that are out of favor?

Between 2014 and 2020, technology ranked in the top four of 11 sectors in all but one year, and it ranked number one in three years. By contrast, energy has ranked last in five of the past seven years, and consumer staples stocks such as Procter & Gamble (PG) have finished in the bottom half of the sector rankings for five years in a row. When you buy the S&P 500, you get a lot of tech but little energy and consumer staples – which is the opposite of what bargain-hunting investors want.

The Equal-Weight Solution

There are, however, ways to avoid loading up on a few stocks, or any one sector.

One is the S&P 500 Equal Weight Index. Each stock represents roughly 0.2% of total assets (there are actually 505 stocks in the S&P 500 Index), with rebalancing at the end of each quarter. As a result, every time the index is rebalanced, the trillionaires account for about 1% of assets; technology and communi­cations, 20%. Over the past 10 years, the S&P 500 has beaten its equally weighted cousin by about one percentage point, annualized, but that's hardly unexpected in a great decade for big growth stocks.

Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight (RSP), an ETF with an expense ratio of 0.2%, offers an easy way to buy the index. Be warned that its turnover, at 24%, is much higher than a standard broad market index fund's turnover, so it's best to own it in a tax-deferred account such as an IRA.

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A second index alternative is my old favorite, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, composed of just 30 large-cap stocks. The Dow is price weighted. In other words, the higher the price of a share of a stock, the more the company's influence on the value of the index.

As weird as price weighting sounds, it enhances the diversification of the portfolio because stocks whose price runs up quickly tend to split, and new companies take their place leading the index. (Many large tech companies, especially, rarely split their shares. But as a result, the Dow won't let them in.)

You can buy the Dow through the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA), nicknamed Diamonds, with an expense ratio of 0.16%. The fund's 10-year annual average return is nearly two points below the S&P 500's, but that’s not bad considering that tech and communications represent just 22% of the portfolio.

I'm not telling you to avoid conventional broad-market funds. Notice that I am still recommending them. I'm just saying there are other ways to get better diversification and come close to really owning the U.S. stock market.

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Street SmartIndex FundsBecoming An InvestorMorningstar, Inc.The Vanguard Group

The Truth About Index Funds (2024)

FAQs

The Truth About Index Funds? ›

Indexing has several benefits including lower costs, broad-based diversification, and lower taxes. Investors, however, must consider the index fund that they select since not every one is low-cost, not some may be better at tracking an index than others.

Are index funds really worth it? ›

Are Index Funds Good Investments? Index funds are very popular among investors. They offer a simple, no-fuss way to gain exposure to a broad, diversified portfolio at a low cost for the investor. They are passively managed investments, and for this reason, they often have low expense costs.

Has anyone ever lost money on index funds? ›

All investments carry risk. An index fund, like anything else, can potentially lose value over time. That being said, most mainstream index funds are generally considered a conservative way to invest in equities (although there are lesser-known index funds that are thought to carry greater risk).

Why don t the rich invest in index funds? ›

One of the main reasons is that some investors believe they can outperform the market by actively selecting individual stocks or actively managed funds. While this is possible, it is not easy, and many studies have shown that the majority of active investors fail to beat the market consistently over the long term.

What is the problem with index funds? ›

While indexes may be low cost and diversified, they prevent seizing opportunities elsewhere. Moreover, indexes do not provide protection from market corrections and crashes when an investor has a lot of exposure to stock index funds.

Can you get wealthy with index funds? ›

So, can index firms make you wealthy? Not by themselves. They are a great tool to increase your wealth over the long-term, but it depends on you. The more you can invest and the longer you can keep your money invested (and re-invested), the better off you will be.

What are 2 cons to investing in index funds? ›

Disadvantages of Index Investing
  • Lack of downside protection: There is no floor to losses.
  • No choice in the index fund's composition: Cannot add or remove any holdings.
  • Can't beat the market: Can only achieve market returns (generally)

Can index funds go to zero? ›

An index fund usually owns at least dozens of securities and may own potentially hundreds of them, meaning that it's highly diversified. In the case of a stock index fund, for example, every stock would have to go to zero for the index fund, and thus the investor, to lose everything.

Can index funds shut down? ›

ETFs may close due to lack of investor interest or poor returns. For investors, the easiest way to exit an ETF investment is to sell it on the open market. Liquidation of ETFs is strictly regulated; when an ETF closes, any remaining shareholders will receive a payout based on what they had invested in the ETF.

Can you live off of index funds? ›

Once you have $1 million in assets, you can look seriously at living entirely off the returns of a portfolio. After all, the S&P 500 alone averages 10% returns per year. Setting aside taxes and down-year investment portfolio management, a $1 million index fund could provide $100,000 annually.

Does Warren Buffett believe in index funds? ›

Buffett has said that he believes the average U.S. investor should regularly put their money into an S&P 500 index fund, and he's bet that the S&P 500 will outperform the average actively managed fund in the long run.

Is there anything better than index funds? ›

Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and index funds are similar in many ways but ETFs are considered to be more convenient to enter or exit. They can be traded more easily than index funds and traditional mutual funds, similar to how common stocks are traded on a stock exchange.

Why shouldn't you invest in index funds? ›

Tracking error may occur in an index fund due to liquidity provisions, index constituent changes, corporate actions etc. This is a major risk in index funds. Index funds do lose out on the expertise of the fund manager and the structured investment approach that an active fund manager brings.

What happens to index funds when the market crashes? ›

For instance, in a major sell-off, when an index itself loses value, an index fund holding the underlying securities of the index will also lose value. However, investors who hold on to their fund investments should see the fund value increase as the value of the index itself reverses course and increases.

Are index funds safe during a recession? ›

The important thing to remember about index funds is that they should be long-term holds. This means that a short-term recession should not affect your investments.

Should you put all your money in index funds? ›

To be sure, if you have the time, knowledge, and desire to create a portfolio of individual stocks, by all means, go for it. But even if you do own individual stocks, index funds can form a solid base for your portfolio. Index funds offer investors of all skill levels a simple, successful way to invest.

Is it smart to put all your money in an index fund? ›

Lower risk: Because they're diversified, investing in an index fund is lower risk than owning a few individual stocks. That doesn't mean you can't lose money or that they're as safe as a CD, for example, but the index will usually fluctuate a lot less than an individual stock.

What is the average return on index funds? ›

The average stock market return is about 10% per year, as measured by the S&P 500 index, but that 10% average rate is reduced by inflation.

How likely is it to lose money in a index fund? ›

Due to diversification and book value considerations, an index fund investor would almost never experience an absolute loss. Index funds are considered a relatively safe investment when compared to individual stocks.

Do index funds double your money? ›

Invest in an S&P 500 index fund

An index fund based on the Standard & Poor's 500 index is one of the more attractive ways to double your money. While investing in a stock fund is riskier than a bank CD or bonds, it's less risky than investing in a few individual stocks.

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