How historic interest rates impact your mortgage (2024)

Though mortgage interest rates might just seem like meaningless numbers flying by in the news marquee, they actually impact how much you’re going to end up paying for a house.

How historic interest rates impact your mortgage (1)
BUT WHAT DOES IT MEAN, NEWS PERSON?

It can potentially affect how much you end up paying for your home by THOUSANDS. The good news is that you can optimize your mortgage — and it starts with knowing how interest rates work.

How historic interest rates impact your mortgage (2)
Historic interest rates for 30-year mortgage from Freddie Mac.

The current interest rate for the average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage is about 4% — which is pretty low. BUT I want to show you a system to lower the cost of your mortgage even more AND break down what goes into making the interest rate.

  • What is the historic interest rate?
  • What affects the interest rate?
  • How does it affect me?

Let’s dig in.

What is the historic interest rate?

The historic interest rate refers to the average mortgage interest rateover time. Knowing what the average interest rate is for the year can help you make sound decisions when it comes to getting a mortgage and buying a house.

Check out the graph of 30-year fixed-rate mortgages below courtesy of Freddie Mac.

How historic interest rates impact your mortgage (3)
X-axis = Year. Y-axis = Interest rate on 30-year fixed-rate mortgage.

A few things to note:

  • The HIGHEST historic interest rate was 18.45%. This insanely high interest rate occurred in October 1981 and was caused primarily by the inflation crisis of the late 70s(more on that later).
  • Average interest rates have been lower than 6% since 2008. Since the housing crisis, we’ve seen incredibly low interest rates. They’re so low in fact that…
  • We’re seeing some of the lowest rates in over three decades.That means potential homeowners are well positioned to buy a house compared to the past.

Knowing these trends gives us valuable indications of what impacts mortgage rates. And knowing how mortgage rates respond to certain elements can help us make better decisions when it comes to home buying.

Both 15-year fixed-rate and 5/1 adjustable ratemortgages have tracked the changes with their 30-year counterpart since 2005.

How historic interest rates impact your mortgage (4)

Which makes sense since the mortgage rates are affected by the same conditions.

What affects the interest rate?

Interest rates can seem volatile — but how high or low they are typically depends on three factors: Inflation, the bond market, and supply and demand.Knowing these are the factors can help you understand when the rate fluctuates and why.

Let’s take a look at all three now and see how they impact home interest rates.

Inflation

Inflation is what happens when the price of goods increases over time.

For example, if you have $1,000 sitting in a desk draweraccruing no interest and the inflation rate for the year was 3%, you’d effectively lose $30 by having your money just sitting there. Also, you should totally have a lock for that desk.

However, if you invested it in a low-cost index fund that earned 8% over the year, you’d have effectively earned $50 afteryou account for inflation.

It’s the same for lenders and their interest rates. If there is higher than average inflation, you can bet the price of a mortgage is going to go up. And that’s exactly what happened in the late 70s / early 80s when the country saw a rise in lending rates increase to nearly 19%. It was a direct result of the 1970s oil crisis raising the price of products across the entire economy and lenders responding to that.

Bond market

When you attain a mortgage, you’re not only paying for your house. You’re also becoming an investment in the form of “mortgage-backed securities” (MBS).

This is an investment asset made up of a collection of mortgages that pay out through the interest you pay each month on the mortgage.

Government bonds and MBSs actually compete with each other because they’re both long-term investments. So how the bond market performs directly impacts how much interest rates will rise or fall.

Kinda like how you try harder on the treadmill when the person next to you is running faster than you.

For example, if the bond market is performing well and yielding a good rate for investors, lenders might lower interest rates to attract investors and remain competitive with bonds.

Supply and demand

Just like you learned in econ, if more people are buying and building homes, lenders are going to charge a higher interest rate to make more money.

Alternatively, if no one is buying or building homes, they’re going to try to attract borrowers by lowering interest rates.

It’s because of supply and demand that the interest rate for mortgages is rarely ever the same from weektoweek.

How does it affect me?

It’sincredibly scaryfunny how a home mortgage can be your ticket to your dream home …

… or the albatross weighing you downfrom a Rich Life.

Luckily, whenever you make a big purchase like buying a house, there’s a HUGE amount of money you can optimize.

Long-time readers know I don’t thinkbuying a house is typically a good investment. That said, if it’s your version of a Rich Life, I want to help you get there. That means optimizing the hell out of your mortgage once you get one.

Here’s how this works: Rather than pay off your mortgage once a month, like most home borrowers do, you’re going to pay it twice a month instead.

No, this doesn’t mean that you’re doubling up on payments. By paying your mortgage bi-weekly, you’re actually taking several years off of your mortgage payments.

Let’s run a scenario using two banks:

  1. First National Bank of Ramit (FNBR). At FNBR, we have a plan that allows you to make bi-weekly payments with 26 payments a year (52 / 2 = 26).
  2. U.S. Big Bank.They offer typical monthly mortgages payments at 12 payments a year.

Here’s what a $300,000 30-year fixed-rate mortgage at 6% APR looks like with each bank.

U.S. Big Bank: Each year you’ll make 12 monthly payments of $1,798.65. Over 30 years you’ll end up paying $347,514.57 in interest.

First National Bank of Ramit: With 26 payments of $899.38, you’ll be able to take off a few years from your mortgage AND end up paying just $276,591 in interest. That’s a savings of almost $71,000 in interest payments.

Wow. That’s like 18,000 lattesor one every day for the next 50 years.

Luckily for you, many banks offer bi-weekly plans just like FNBR. The best part? They automate their system so they can painlessly take money from your checking account each week.

Some of these banks might try to nickel-and-dime you with a $4 fee every month — but don’t worry. We have systems to help you negotiateout of those fees.

When it comes to your personal finances, though, worry about the things you can control.

Instead of worrying about the “what ifs” or rising interest rates, make sure your personal finance house is in order so you can maximize what you have.

My team and I worked hard on something to help you do just that:

The Ultimate Guide to Personal Finance

In it, you’ll learn how to:

  • Master your 401k: Take advantage of free money offered to you by your company … and get rich while doing it.
  • Manage Roth IRAs: Start saving for retirement in a worthwhile long-term investment account.
  • Spend the money you have — guilt-free: By leveraging the systems in this book, you’ll learn exactly how you’ll be able to save money to spend without the guilt.

Enter your info below and get on your way to living a Rich Life today.

How historic interest rates impact your mortgage is a post from: I Will Teach You To Be Rich.

How historic interest rates impact your mortgage (2024)

FAQs

How historic interest rates impact your mortgage? ›

How Historical Mortgage Rates Affect Home Purchases. Lower mortgage interest rates encourage home buying. Low rates mean you'll pay less money in interest over the life of the loan and have a lower monthly mortgage payment.

How much does a 1 interest rate increase affect a mortgage? ›

If you have a $300,000 mortgage, a one percent increase in interest rates costs you $175 per month more on your mortgage. If your rate goes up two percent, then your mortgage payment is $350 higher.

How much will interest rate rise affect my mortgage? ›

If you're on a discount or standard variable rate mortgage, it's likely that when the base rate rises, you'll see an increase in your mortgage payments too, but the specific amount is determined by your lender. The same applies if base rate decreases.

How do interest rates affect existing mortgages? ›

Of course, if you have a fixed-rate mortgage, the rising rate will have no impact on your loan: Your interest rate and the monthly payment will remain the same. However, rising interest rates could raise your monthly payment if you have an ARM, and fixed mortgage rates may be more expensive for new home loans.

What are 30 year mortgage rates through history? ›

30 Year Mortgage Rate in the United States averaged 7.73 percent from 1971 until 2024, reaching an all time high of 18.63 percent in October of 1981 and a record low of 2.65 percent in January of 2021. This page includes a chart with historical data for the United States 30 Year Mortgage Rate.

Will mortgage rates ever be 3 again? ›

Lawrence Yun, chief economist at the National Association of Realtors, even told CNBC that he doesn't think mortgage rates will reach the 3% range again in his lifetime.

How much difference does .25 make on a mortgage? ›

If your interest rate is 4.2 percent on $200,000 of principal, your monthly payment would be $978. When the rate dropped by . 25 percent, and the mortgage rates dropped on average to 3.75%, your monthly payment becomes $926.

Why did my mortgage go up if I have a fixed rate? ›

The benefit of a fixed-rate mortgage is that your interest rate stays consistent. But your monthly mortgage bill can still change — in fact, it generally fluctuates at least a little bit every year. Rising home values and insurance premiums have caused unusually dramatic increases for some homeowners in recent years.

Will interest rates go down in 2024? ›

Will mortgage rates go down—and stay there? The general consensus among industry professionals is that mortgage rates will slowly decline in the last quarter of 2024. The projected declines have shrunk, though, in recent months. At the start of the year, for instance, Fannie Mae predicted rates would drop to 5.8%.

What will mortgage rates be in 2024? ›

NAR: Rates Will Decline to 6.5% The National Association of Realtors expects mortgage rates will average 6.8% in the first quarter of 2024, rising to 7.1% in the second quarter, according to its latest Quarterly U.S. Economic Forecast.

Is it better to buy a house when interest rates are high? ›

The bottom line. Today's elevated mortgage rate environment isn't preferable for homebuyers, but it doesn't mean that you should refrain from acting, either. If you discover your dream home, can afford the interest rate, find an affordable house, or have an alternative to rent, it can be worth it for you now.

What is the mortgage payment on $100,000? ›

Monthly payments for a $100,000 mortgage
Annual Percentage Rate (APR)Monthly payment (15-year)Monthly payment (30-year)
6.25%$857.42$615.72
6.50%$871.11$632.07
6.75%$884.91$648.60
7.00%$898.83$665.30
5 more rows

How much is 1 point on a mortgage? ›

Mortgage points, also known as discount points, are a form of prepaid interest. You can choose to pay a percentage of the interest up front to lower your interest rate and monthly payment. A mortgage point is equal to 1 percent of your total loan amount. For example, on a $100,000 loan, one point would be $1,000.

What is the highest mortgage rate ever? ›

What's the Highest Mortgage Rate in History? From 1971 to present, the highest average mortgage rate ever recorded was 18.63% in October 1981.

What is the lowest mortgage rate ever recorded? ›

What were the lowest mortgage rates in history? The lowest recorded rate for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage was 2.65% in January 2021,This was likely due to the effects of COVID-19.

What is the highest mortgage interest rate historically? ›

What were the highest mortgage rates in history? Homebuyers in the early 1980s were subject to the highest mortgage rates in history — rates peaked at 18.63% in October 1981 and remained generally high throughout the 1980s.

How much difference does 1% interest make on a loan? ›

How Much Difference Does 1% Make On A Mortgage Rate? The short answer: It can produce thousands or even potentially tens of thousands in savings in any given year, depending on the purchase price of your property, your overall mortgage rate, and the total amount of the mortgage being financed.

How much does a mortgage payment increase for every $1000? ›

In general, estimate about $5 per $1,000 or $20 per $5,000 increase in the purchase price. Although it does differ slightly as interest rates fluctuate, this is the easiest way to estimate changes in your monthly payment.

Is it worth refinancing a mortgage for 1 percent? ›

As a rule of thumb, it's usually worth it to refinance if you could lower your current rate by one percent.

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