After a year of blockbuster revenue growth, BNGO stock deserves a major re-rating
California-headquartered life sciences company Bionano Genomics(NASDAQ:BNGO) focuses on advancing genome mapping technology. Emerging scientific fields are often risky bets, so there’s no real safety factor here if you’re going to hold BNGO stock.
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As long as you’re willing to accept the risk, however, then you might be richly rewarded for taking a chance on Bionano Genomics. Nothing ventured, nothing gained, as they say.
The company has a number of products, but is mainly known for one of them. As a result, if that product becomes the standard of care in the medical community, BNGO could move much higher.
How much higher? There’s no way to know for certain, but at least one expert on Wall Street is bracing for the share price to double or more. With that in mind, let’s get warmed up by conducting some technical analysis.
A Closer Look at BNGO Stock
For a long time, $5 has been a battle zone for the buyers and sellers of BNGO stock. That’s because some traders informally define a stock that represents a small company and trades for less than $5 per shareas a penny stock.
Undoubtedly, Bionano’s investors would prefer that the share price stay above the penny stock threshold. However, they might be disappointed to find out that the current stock price is barely above $2.
Therefore, it’s a worthy goal for the buyers to get BNGO stock back above $5. Better yet, they can target the early November 2021 peak of $6.
We’ll discuss that $6 price target again in a moment. For the time being, let’s just say that $2 is a very low price point to start a position in Bionano Genomics.
After all, the stock was trading above $10 a year ago, so $5 or $6 really isn’t too much to ask for.
Addressing Rare Diseases
First things first. Bionano’s primary product is called the Saphyr system. It’s a “genome imaging tool for high-speed, high-throughput structural variant detection and analysis with exceptional sensitivity and specificity.”
The Saphyr system is based on the idea thata range of conditions, including “cancers and developmental disorders,” can be detected quickly through “structural variations” in a patient’s DNA.
This product has the potential to target rare diseases through the power of optical genome mapping (OGM). Bionano Genomics takes rare diseases seriously, and has even launched a rare undiagnosed genetic disease (RUGD) strategic initiative.
In doing so, Bionano is addressing a vast market. Over 7,000 rare diseases have been identified, and and estimated that 25 million Americans and 30 million Europeans are living with a rare disease.
Moreover, roughly 80% of rare diseases are believed to be caused by genetic factors. This implies that the Saphyr system could help to quickly and accurately detect a large number of rare diseases.
Mapping a Path to $6
Given Maxim analyst Jason McCarthy’s bullish outlook on BNGO stock, it’s likely that he’s envisioning broad adoption of the Saphyr system.
Not long ago, McCarthy reiterated his “buy” rating on Bionano Genomics shares. Furthermore, he issued $6 price target on the stock.
That implies a 2x or even a 3x move from the current BNGO stock price. This could be realistic, given Bionano’s outstanding financial performance.
Consider that Bionano Genomics achieved 58% year-over-year revenue growth in the fourth quarter of 2021. Not only that, but the company reported a 111% year-over-year revenue increase in full-year 2021.
Additionally, Bionano had cash, cash equivalents and available-for-sale securities of $250.6 million at the end of 2021. That’s a whole lot more than the $38.4 million the company had at the end of 2020.
The Bottom Line
McCarthy’s $6 price target on BNGO stock is ambitious but not unrealistic. From a financial standpoint, Bionano Genomics is on solid ground.
Also, the company is ready and able to address rare diseases with its OGM technology. This is great news for the medical community and, potentially, for millions of patients.
Just be sure to assess the risks if you’re going to hold BNGO stock. There’s a lot of upside potential here, but reaching $6 is definitely not guaranteed.
On the date of publication, David Moadeldid not have (either directly or indirectly) any positions in the securities mentioned in this article.The opinions expressed in this article are those of the writer, subject to the InvestorPlace.comPublishing Guidelines.
