Fundamental Analysis and Future Outlook (2024)

Pidilite is the largest adhesive manufacturing company in India. The company started its operations in the year 1959, with its most popular adhesive brand named Fevicol and since then it has established its presence in 80+ countries across the world. The company now manufactures adhesives, sealants, pigments, Industrial resins, construction and Paint chemicals etc. It currently has a portfolio of 500+ products.

Now, let’s take a deep dive into the fundamentals of the company.

The analysis is based on long term past performance, they are relevant for at least 3 years in the future until FY 2022. The categories are as follows.

  1. Economic Moat

  2. Business Model and Management

  3. Growth Ratios

  4. Profitability Ratios

  5. Cash Flow Ratios

  6. Liquidity and Solvency Ratios

  7. Efficiency Ratios

  8. Valuation Ratios

  9. ROE (Du Pont Analysis)

  10. Future Prospects

Economic Moat

Pidilite Industries have a total of 23+ manufacturing plants in India and a solid market presence of over 6 decades. The company has expanded into 18 international and 9 domestic subsidiaries and has established 8 R&D centres. The company owns some well know brands like Fevicol, M-seal, Dr Fixit, WD 40 etc which has a strong awareness in both consumer and industrial segments. The focus of the company is on-brand premiumization and Innovation.

Some of their brands like M-seal has 70% market share in the plumbing segment and Dr Fixit has achieved 98% top of the mind awareness among consumers. Fevicol has also been the most trusted adhesive brand for many decades. Overall the company has a solid economic moat with its innovative adhesive solutions and brand awareness. Its market dominance is also near-monopolistic in Fevicol and M seal brands which contributes a major portion of the revenue.

Business Model and Management

The company has distributed its brands across three major categories. The core brands include Fevicol, Fevicol Marine, Fevi Kwik, M-seal and Fevicryl. These brands have a very wide distribution and have market dominance even in remote areas. They are high volume medium margin products. The second category is growth, these brands have high awareness in their niche categories like WD 40, Dr Fixit, Nina Percept etc. They drive revenue growth, especially in urban areas. The third category is Pioneers which has Cipy, Jowat and Roff brands. These are innovative solutions and are in a nascent stage.

The business model is such that 56% of the revenue comes from adhesives and sealants, 20% from construction and paint chemicals, 8% from arts and crafts materials, 6% from pigments and the rest from Industrial adhesives and resins. This has helped the company to diversify its product portfolio and achieve sustainable growth in revenue.

Mr Bharat Puri is the Managing Director of the company and has 4 decades of experienceacross industries. Previously he held leadership roles at Asian Paints and Mondelez. Mr Vivek Sharma is the Chief Marketing Officer and has over 25+ years of experience. He has held senior leadership positions at Philips, MIRC Electronics, Ogilvy Advertising and Cadbury Kraft (now Mondelez India). Overall the company has a qualified management team which has been successful in delivering robust growth over the years.

Growth Ratios

The revenue has seen a growth of 12.4% CAGR over the last 10 years.The operating income and net income has also seen a growth of 13.6% and 13% CAGR respectively. This shows improving efficiency for the company.The working capital has also increased over the years which indicates a surplus of current assets like cash, receivables and inventory. The capital expenditure has also remained stationary over the years. Overall this indicates a steady and sustainable growth.

The capital expenditure as a percentage of sales has declined, which indicated over capacity or moderate growth in the future.The free cash flow as a percentage of net income has been stable and operating cash flows have also seen improvement. This overall indicates a good cash position for the company.

Liquidity and Solvency Ratios

The current ratio has seen a decent improvement over the years along with the quick ratio. This indicates a surplus of cash and receivables available with the company to meet the short term obligations. The financial leverage has been going down and debt to equity ratio is also very low. This overall indicates robust liquidity and solvency positions for the company.

Efficiency Ratios

The table in the excel model is colour formatted so the worst performance over the period is highlighted in red colour and the best performance is highlighted by green.

The table in the excel model is colour formatted so the worst performance over the period is highlighted in red colour and the best performance is highlighted by green.

Overall the business efficiency has not shown any significant improvement over the years.The inventory days have gone down slightly and the payable period has improved. The receivable days have also increased from 53 days to 63 days but this is necessary for increasing distribution reach for their products.Overall the cash conversion cycle has been positive which means an additional working capital requirement.

Valuation Ratios

The company is a near-monopoly in the adhesive segment in India and its market is witnessing a 7-8% annual growth rate since the last few years.The company also has a track record of profitability and innovation Therefore, the market has started pricing its shares at higher multiples. The growth is driven by fundamentals and is sustainable.

ROE 5 way Du Pont Analysis

The asset turnover has flattened over the years and the interest burden ratio has remained almost 100%. This is due to the zero long term debt in the capital structure.The Tax efficiency has remained stable and the operating margin has shown some recovery after FY 2015. Overall the ROE has flattened and has not seen any significant improvement.

Future Prospects

Some insights for the coming years from management discussion & analysis (MD&A) and con calls are as follows.

  • The COVID-19 outbreak will have a negative impact on sales across the countries. Exports will also see a significant decline. The demand for industrial adhesives will recover only after manufacturing companies start operating at their full capacity.

  • As of now, the company does not appear to be concerned about the impact of Coronavirus on China-based manufacturing of VAM (Vinyl Acetate Monomer) but are monitoring the situation closely. The disrupted supply chain can be an issue in the coming years for the company.

  • Pidilite will also benefit from the fall in the crude oil price as it constitutes a major portion of raw material cost. The actual impact will only be seen after the factories start operating.

  • The company is taking initiatives to achieve 15-16% value growth in the coming years. Expected demand scenario to improve from FY 2021 onwards in India. This may get delayed due to the COVID-19 lockdown.

  • Pidilite acquired a stake of $30 million in HomeLane due to evolving market dynamics and innovation. The company has an interest in interior design space and wants to be part of the changing landscape due to technology.

  • Tile adhesives are doing good with the category sales growing at a fast rate. The product is witnessing higher market acceptance with consumers increasingly switching from cement to tile adhesives.

The company shows promising growth opportunities once the temporary disruption due to COVID-19 clears.

Disclaimer: This post originally appeared on Billion Dollar Valuation written by Dhairya D Patel and has been reproduced here (with certain minor edits) with his kind permission. Also note that this post should not be construed as investment advice from Galactic Advisors.

Fundamental Analysis and Future Outlook (2024)

FAQs

What is fundamental analysis pick the best answer? ›

Fundamental analysis is a method of evaluating the intrinsic value of a stock. This form of analysis combines external events and influences, as well as financial statements and industry trends. Remember the intrinsic value/fair value of a stock does not change everyday.

Is fundamental analysis enough for investing? ›

Both fundamental and technical analysis can reveal potentially valuable information, and focusing on just one style could cause you to miss important clues about a stock's prospects. And because the intended duration of an investment or trade may change, using both forms of analysis is an approach you might consider.

Is fundamental analysis still relevant today? ›

But for medium to long-term investment, you have to analyze the fundamentals of the company. Even traders also consider the latest fundamental factors while choosing stocks for intraday trading. As fundamental analysis and technical analysis, both play an important role in the stock market.

What is a weakness of fundamental analysis? ›

The weaknesses of fundamental analysis

While fundamental analysis might help you identify companies that have been overpriced or underpriced, it won't necessarily reveal the likely timescale before the equity price moves in line with your assessment.

What PE ratio is good? ›

Average PE of Nifty in the last 20 years was around 20. * So PEs below 20 may provide good investment opportunities; lower the PE below 20, more attractive the investment potential.

What is the secret of fundamental analysis? ›

Fundamental analysis is the cornerstone of value investing, a strategy that seeks to identify stocks trading below their intrinsic value. Investors using this approach, analyse a company's financial statements, including the balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow statement, to determine its true worth.

Which is better, technical or fundamental analysis? ›

Technical analysis can help investors determine the momentum of a stock, while fundamental analysis can help predict how long a stock's momentum may last.

Why fundamental analysis is best? ›

Fundamental analysis helps in predicting the long-term trends in the market. It is generally used for long-term investments as it enables you to understand the price that the stock should reach. It also allows you to find good companies for investment, such as those with strong growth potential.

Which is the best stock for long term? ›

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1.Anand Rathi Wea.3942.10
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7 more rows

What are the pros and cons of fundamental analysis? ›

Advantages and disadvantages
  • Advantages: Objective: the quantitative part of fundamental analysis helps eliminate biases in making decisions on investments. ...
  • Disadvantages: Time-consuming: because fundamental analysis tries to capture both macro and micro factors, it can take a long to prepare.

Do quants use fundamental analysis? ›

As the race for analytical superiority rages on, true active quantitative managers have evolved and incorporated fundamental considerations into their portfolios that are comparable to those considered by fundamental managers. Examples of this are highlighted in Figure 1.

Who should use fundamental analysis? ›

Fundamental analysis serves as a robust tool for investors seeking a thorough understanding of a company's intrinsic value and long-term potential. By evaluating financial and non-financial factors, investors can make informed decisions aligned with a stock's true worth.

What is fundamental analysis in simple words? ›

Fundamental analysis is a method of evaluating the intrinsic value of an asset and analysing the factors that could influence its price in the future. This form of analysis is based on external events and influences, as well as financial statements and industry trends.

Is fundamental analysis a strategy? ›

Fundamental analysis is an in-depth approach to assessing currency price trends. It mostly applies to long-term investing, so many short-term trading strategies and trading objectives can't rely on this method of analysis.

Is fundamental analysis worth it on Reddit? ›

This would mean that all stocks are constantly accurately valued and that all real prices match current prices. Thus fundamental analysis would provide no benefit to an investor.

What is the fundamental analysis? ›

Fundamental analysis is a method of evaluating the intrinsic value of an asset and analyzing the factors that could influence its price in the future. This form of analysis is based on external events and influences, as well as financial statements and industry trends.

What is meant by fundamental analysis? ›

What is Fundamental Analysis? Fundamental analysis is a method of assessing the intrinsic value of a stock. It combines financial statements, external influences, events, and industry trends. It is important to note that the intrinsic value or a fair value of a stock does not change overnight.

How do you explain fundamental analysis? ›

Fundamental analysis is one method and can be understood as a process used to assess an instrument's strength over a period of time and into the future. This could include examining related economic and financial factors such as a country's interest rate, inflation, microeconomic indicators, and consumer behavior.

What is a fundamental analysis quizlet? ›

Fundamental analysis. the technique that attempts to determine the actual value of a security by focusing on the underlying factors that affect the company's business.

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