Channel Breakouts Trading System (2024)

Submit by Janus Trader 04/91/2012

Channel breakouts are basically the same thing as triangle breakouts:

However, because channel formations typically take a longer time to build up (compared to triangle formations), they usually yield larger profits. Trading on a channel formation breakout is a great way to make hundreds of pips in less than a week!

How To Trade On Breakouts
Now I’m going to reveal to you one of the biggest secrets of how to properly trade on breakouts.

But before you can fully appreciate the beauty of this trading technique, you’ll first need to understand how most people typically (and wrongfully) trade on breakouts.

Typically, most traders will place a pending BUY or SELL order 1-5 pips outside of the triangle or channel to ‘catch’ the explosion. While this may seem like a logical thing to do, it’s actually a risky way to trade.

This is because explosions are periods of time where there is a lot of emotional trading in the market.

What I mean by ‘emotional trading’ is that there will be many traders who are letting the emotions of fear and greed guide their trading actions… and it is during these times that the institutional traders (aka. the market sharks) like to prey on such behaviour. I won’t go into too much detail regarding this because frankly, the only thing you’d need to know is not to trade on the initial explosion.


So how do we properly trade on breakouts?

The trick here is to first let the ‘emotional trading’ subside, and wait for the market to settle down and THEN tell you whether the bulls or bears are taking over.

Here’s how to trade on an explosion: below we see a channel explosion on the downside (on a 1-hour chart):

At this point, we’ll wait for the candle to fully form (i.e. wait till the hour is up) before placing our trade.

Once the explosion candle has completely formed and is shown to be a valid explosion (i.e. the candle does not close back into the channel), we will place our pending trade orders as such:

Pending SELL order: 5 – 10 pips below the ‘low’ of the explosion candle
• Stop Loss order: At half the real body of the explosion candle

Like this:

And of course… we make money!

This is how you should trade on explosions out of the triangle and channel formations.

The fundamental idea behind this technique is to first LET the market tell us that the explosion is a valid one. Many other traders will be greedy and want to trade on the explosion immediately as it happens… and those are the traders that that get eaten up by the sharks.

What About Profit Targets?
Profit targets are a little tougher to estimate for maximum profits… But here are four guidelines you may wish to follow when placing your profit targets:
• At least 2 – 3 times your stop loss allowance
• At a prominent support/resistance level
• At a round number (ex. 1.5600, 109.00 etc)
• When you see a slowing down of momentum.

Share your opinion, can help everyone to understand the forex strategy.

Write a comment

Comments: 6

  • #1

    Bob Christian (Sunday, 04 January 2015 22:31)

    2015 - Still works!

  • #2

    nsrajan (Friday, 17 April 2015 19:33)

    Very logical guideline to catch the B/O. The only problem is to catch the explosion candle. Requires lots of patience and attention to catch the train.

  • #3

    Taufiq (Tuesday, 03 November 2015 17:12)

    Beware of the candle retesting back the lower channel line. Most of the time it does.
    So be more safe on placing the stop loss and be patient to wait for the confirmation (e.g. by checking on lower time frame).

  • #4

    emre can (Sunday, 16 February 2020 11:10)

    hi

  • #5

    Wyzex (Tuesday, 07 September 2021 22:40)

    Anyone making a living off forex on that setup alone?

  • #6

    ayman (Monday, 21 February 2022 01:22)

    Good i like this so much

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Channel Breakouts Trading System (2024)

FAQs

How effective is breakout trading? ›

Breakout trading entails entering a trade in the early stages of a trend. You should go long if the stock price breaks above a resistance level. If it falls below support, you should go short. Trading breakouts may be lucrative as they allow an asset's price to move quickly once it breaks through the breakout.

What percentage of breakouts fail? ›

Most end up either failing and going back into a trading range or failing and going back above or below support or resistance. That is why, whenever you see a set up for a potential breakout your mindset MUST BE, this only has a 20 per cent chance of succeeding. The vast majority of breakout traders FAIL.

What is the best indicator for a breakout trade? ›

Indicators such as Moving Averages, RSI and MACD can be used to measure the strength of the breakout. Volume: An important factor to identify a breakout is the trading volumes of the stock. It is essential that the volumes traded should be high on the day of the breakout.

What is the win rate of breakout trading? ›

Usually, traders use stop orders to enter such breakouts. Check the example below. Traders can catch a big move without even being at the desk. Although, depending on your stop-loss tactic, the win rate tends to be around 30% or lower.

How to confirm breakout trading? ›

The higher than average volume helps confirm the breakout. If there is little volume on the breakout, the level may not have been significant to a lot of traders, or not enough traders felt convicted to place a trade near the level yet. These low volume breakouts are more likely to fail.

Is pullback better than breakout? ›

Risk Management: Pullback trading tends to involve lower risk compared to breakout trading because traders enter positions near established support or resistance levels, which can act as a safety net. However, a failed pullback can lead to losses, so risk management is still essential.

What is the fake breakout pattern? ›

The Fakey Pattern (Inside Bar False Break Out)

When price initially breaks out from the inside bar pattern but then quickly reverses, creating a false-break, and closes back within the range of the mother bar or inside bar, we have a fakey pattern. So, think of it like this: Inside Bar + False-Breakout = Fakey pattern.

How to find fake breakouts in TradingView? ›

A false breakout is when the price temporarily moves above or below a key support or resistance level, but then later retreats back to the same side as it started. The “False Breakout” indicator reveals false breakouts in comparison to the previous candle.

Which trading indicator has the highest accuracy? ›

Which is one of the most accurate trading indicators? The most accurate for trading is the Relative Strength Index. It is considered one of the best momentum indicators for intraday trading. It helps investors identify the shares which are bought and sold in the market.

What is fastest trading indicator? ›

The fast stochastic indicator (%K) is a momentum technical indicator that aims to measure the trend in prices and identify trend reversals. The indicator was developed by securities trader and technical analyst George Lane. The indicator is driven by two parameters: the lookback period and the smoothing parameter.

What indicator do most traders use? ›

10 most popular indicators for trading
  • Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) ...
  • Stochastic Oscillator. ...
  • Bollinger Bands. ...
  • Relative Strength Index (RSI) ...
  • Fibonacci Retracement. ...
  • Standard Deviation. ...
  • Ichimoku Cloud. ...
  • Client Sentiment. IG client sentiment provides insights into the positioning of traders in a specific market.

What trading strategy has the highest win rate? ›

If you're looking for a high win rate trading strategy, the Triple RSI Trading System is definitely worth checking out. This system uses three different Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicators to identify potential buy and sell signals in the market.

Is 90% win rate possible in trading? ›

Any system with a 5 pip profit target and a 500 pip stoploss will have a very high (probably 90%+) win rate. But then one loss will ambush you. In other words, you need to consider the RR (return to risk ratio) of each trade, as well as the win rate.

What are the advantages of breakout trading? ›

Advantages: 1. Potential for High Returns: Breakout trading can offer the potential for high returns if a trader correctly identifies a genuine breakout and enters a position in the right direction.

What is a downside breakout? ›

A breakout to the downside, also called a breakdown, hat the price will start trending lower. This signals traders to possibly go short or exit long positions. Once the support level is broken, it reverses its role and turns into a resistance level if price experiences a correction or pullback.

Is opening range breakout profitable? ›

Trading opening range breakouts can be very profitable in professional hands. And it can routinely cause losses for many novice traders. There are false breakouts and true breakouts that only last a short time.

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