Bitcoin: Is the crypto-currency doomed? (2024)

  • Published

Bitcoin: Is the crypto-currency doomed? (1)Image source, Getty Images

By Chris Baraniuk

Technology reporter

A high-profile Bitcoin developer has said the crypto-currency has failed and he will no longer take part in its development.

Mike Hearn, a Zurich-based developer and long-time proponent of Bitcoin, surprised many this weekend when he published a blog calling Bitcoin a "failed" project.

Mr Hearn, who had until recently been working on new software for the currency, says he has now sold all of his own bitcoins and will no longer take part in the crypto-currency's development.

So, is Bitcoin doomed?

What is Bitcoin?

Bitcoin is a crypto-currency - a system of digitally created and traded tokens to which value is assigned.

Computers have to solve cryptographic problems in order to add blocks to the blockchain - a ledger that records every transaction that has ever occurred with Bitcoin.

In return, those computers receive bitcoins in a process known as bitcoin "mining".

Users have a "bitcoin address", to which bitcoins may be sent or from which they may be used.

Addresses are stored online in wallets that function like bank accounts.

Although most people refer to Bitcoin as a currency, it is worth noting that for regulatory reasons many countries - including the United States - have decided to define it as a commodity instead.

What are the problems?

Image source, Getty Images

The biggest issue most bitcoin users acknowledge is how quickly new transactions can be processed.

The size of blocks being added to the blockchain has been increasing steadily with the rise of Bitcoin.

As a result, the rate at which transactions can be processed has been slowing.

Indeed, some transactions face significant delays, hampering payments.

Who is Mike Hearn?

Image source, Mike Hearn

Mike Hearn is a software developer who has worked on Bitcoin technologies for over five years.

In 2014, he left his job at Google to focus on Bitcoin full time.

He has worked closely with Bitcoin chief scientist Gavin Andresen on alternative software for Bitcoin called Bitcoin XT, which aims to address capacity issues facing the network.

Mr Andresen is generally thought of as next in the chain of influence over the currency's development after Bitcoin's mysterious founder, Satoshi Nakamoto.

How might the capacity of the network be increased?

Image source, Getty Images

Currently, each block can be no more than 1MB.

But in May last year, Mr Andresen said bigger ones should be adopted.

He later wrote, "It is more likely people [will] just stop using Bitcoin because transaction confirmation becomes increasingly unreliable."

The Bitcoin XT version developed by Mr Hearn, Mr Andresen and others offers to increase the block size limit to 8MB

There are alternatives, however.

Nic Cary, co-founder of Bitcoin start-up Blockchain, points to BitcoinClassic, which would increase the block size limit to 2MB.

Why is there a dispute over this?

Image source, Getty Images

Bitcoin's history as a "decentralised" currency has led to much hesitation over decisions that might change its fundamental nature.

Any proposal relating to Bitcoin is likely to encourage fierce debate and, in some cases, stagnation.

Some have argued vehemently against Bitcoin XT, causing a deep divide in the community. The New York Times has reported that death threats had even been made against some Bitcoin developers.

Mr Cary says the need to update the block size limit is not as urgent as some say.

"This is a matter of perspective," he told the BBC.

"The Bitcoin network has been updated safely dozens of times and will continue to be the most reliable, affordable, and efficient way to send value around the world."

However, there are some who feel that Bitcoin's potential as a currency has already been exhausted.

"I'm sure there are smart people right now working out what the next generation [of Bitcoin] should look like but I have to say I'm not convinced that money or payments is the optimum [use] of the technology," Dave Birch, a director at consultancy firm Consult Hyperion, told the BBC.

Part of the problem was the lack of consensus over what Bitcoin was and how it should be used, he added.

How 'healthy' is Bitcoin?

Image source, Getty Images

Bitcoin's price fell quite sharply over the weekend, following the publication of Mr Hearn's blog.

One bitcoin is now worth $380 (£265), down from about $430 on Thursday.

However, the price of Bitcoin is notoriously volatile.

It has been classed as the best performing currency in the world in 2015.

But authors of that analysis, The Money Project, also noted it was the worst performing currency the previous year.

Besides price, Bitcoin has also suffered from a litany of cases in which bitcoins have been stolen from online exchanges in which they were stored, in some cases due to negligence or poor security.

Such incidents generally result in a complete loss of funds for the victims, since it is very difficult to trace where stolen bitcoins have been transferred.

Meanwhile, the currency continues to grow - a sign of good things to come, say many.

What will happen next?

Image source, Getty Images

Bitcoin remains popular.

There is still huge interest in developing both the currency and technologies based on the blockchain idea of recording data.

It seems unlikely the currency will collapse overnight.

But it certainly look as though fundamental questions over how Bitcoin works are now coming to a head.

Whether the community that uses and supports Bitcoin will be able to come to a consensus on these matters remains to be seen.

Mr Hearn has lost faith in the project, of that there is no doubt.

But many others are refusing to throw in the towel just yet.

Update: This report was changed on 19 January 2016 to clarify that some payments can take a considerable time to be processed rather than not going through at all.

More on this story

  • Firms charged over US Bitcoin 'scam'

    • Published

      2 December 2015

  • Big banks consider basic Bitcoin tech

    • Published

      17 September 2015

  • Bitcoin could split, say developers

    • Published

      18 August 2015

  • 'Light touch' Bitcoin regulation

    • Published

      23 October 2015

  • What is Bitcoin?

    • Published

      3 October 2013

Bitcoin: Is the crypto-currency doomed? (2024)

FAQs

Why is cryptocurrency doomed to fail? ›

Cryptocurrencies exhibit extreme price fluctuations, rendering them unreliable as stores of value or mediums of exchange. This volatility undermines confidence in their stability and inhibits the widespread adoption of everyday transactions. Regulatory ambiguity poses another significant threat.

What is the future of the Bitcoin? ›

A recent report predicts that Bitcoin will reach a new all-time high in 2024. Bitcoin (BTC) is expected to reach a new record of $88,000 (€82,000) throughout the year, before it settles around $77,000 at the end of 2024, according to a new report. The cryptocurrency's current price sits at around $43,000.

Is crypto currency going away? ›

But despite ongoing reservations by regulators and lawmakers about the safety and utility of crypto assets, blockchain technology and its adherents are not going away.

How high will Bitcoin go in 2024? ›

The 2024 Bitcoin halving is expected to happen on April 17, 2024, and is being highly anticipated. Experts, including Robert Kiyosaki, have predicted that Bitcoin could reach $100,000 by June 2024, while Standard Chartered suggests that Bitcoin could soar to $200,000 by the end of the year.

Could Bitcoin go to zero? ›

It is theoretically possible. Bitcoin has been around for close to 15 years now, and although it has survived several dramatic crashes before making new highs, its extreme volatile nature puts investors at risk of losing all their money.

Does crypto have a future? ›

The crypto market has maintained its bullish momentum in 2024 after Ethereum rallied 85% and bitcoin gained nearly 150% in 2023. Heading into April, bitcoin prices are up another 64.9% year-to-date, while Ethereum prices are up 55.6%.

How much will $1 Bitcoin be worth in 2025? ›

Bitcoin Overview
YearMinimum PriceAverage Price
2024$84,475.55$87,676.23
2025$121,440.85$124,947.50
2026$166,264.37$171,262.87
2027$251,829.81$258,680.13
8 more rows

What will $1000 of Bitcoin be worth in 2030? ›

If Wood is correct and Bitcoin does reach $3.8 million by 2030, an investment of $1,000 would be worth over $60,000. This would result in a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 100%. Read Next: Bitcoin has jumped another 45% already this year – how much would you need to get started today?

How much will Bitcoin be worth in 5 years? ›

We predict that Bitcoin will hold an average price of $60,000 in 2024, thanks to the Halving event, and settle more in 2025 with an average of $65,000. In 2026, we see Bitcoin trading as high as $90,000 by the end of the year. By 2030, we predict that Bitcoin could reach a high of $160,000.

How much will $100 Bitcoin be worth in 10 years? ›

A $100 investment in Bitcoin could purchase 0.00607 BTC today based on a price of $16,466.14 at the time of writing. If Bitcoin hits the $1 million price target by Wood in 2030, the $100 investment would turn into $6,070. This represents a gain of 5,970% from now until 2030.

Will crypto be around in 10 years? ›

Key Takeaways. Bitcoin, the cryptocurrency, is most likely to remain popular with speculators over the next decade. Bitcoin, the blockchain, will probably continue to be developed to address long-standing issues like scalability and security.

Is crypto in danger? ›

Crypto is volatile and a substantial risk. Invest only what you can afford to lose. Crypto scammers are experts at getting you to buy their digital assets. Be wary of “finfluencers” who get paid by crypto companies whether you lose money or not.

How much will 1 Bitcoin be worth in 2030? ›

Bitcoin (BTC) Price Prediction 2030

According to your price prediction input for Bitcoin, the value of BTC may increase by +5% and reach $ 86,256.26 by 2030.

Is it safe to invest in Bitcoin today? ›

Bitcoin is a risky investment with high volatility, and generally should be considered only if you have a high risk tolerance, are in a strong financial position already and can afford to lose some or all of your investment.

Who owns the most Bitcoin? ›

Who owns the most Bitcoin in the world? The top Bitcoin holder is still believed to be Satoshi Nakamoto, the anonymous creator of Bitcoin, who reportedly holds around 1.1 million BTC across many wallets. Despite this large holding, the top 10 holders collectively only possess about 5.5% of the total Bitcoin supply.

Why is cryptocurrency not the future? ›

Volatility and lack of regulation. The rapid rise of cryptocurrencies and DeFi enterprises means that billions of dollars in transactions are now taking place in a relatively unregulated sector, raising concerns about fraud, tax evasion, and cybersecurity, as well as broader financial stability.

Why is the crypto market dying? ›

Its value surged during the pandemic, when investors with easy access to money and plenty of idle time fueled many a speculative frenzy. Then the Federal Reserve began raising interest rates, and the crypto market abruptly tanked.

Why crypto is declining? ›

Bitcoin experienced a nearly 6 per cent decline on Wednesday, marking its the worst monthly performance since April 2022. This downturn occurred as investors withdrew funds from cryptocurrencies in anticipation of an interest rate decision from the Federal Reserve.

Why do so many cryptocurrencies fail? ›

One of the main reasons why cryptocurrency projects fail is due to the lack of demand for their tokens. Many of these coins were created without a clear use case or utility, which led to low demand and ultimately failure. These coins that were abandoned made up two-thirds of all failures.

Top Articles
Latest Posts
Article information

Author: Clemencia Bogisich Ret

Last Updated:

Views: 5939

Rating: 5 / 5 (60 voted)

Reviews: 91% of readers found this page helpful

Author information

Name: Clemencia Bogisich Ret

Birthday: 2001-07-17

Address: Suite 794 53887 Geri Spring, West Cristentown, KY 54855

Phone: +5934435460663

Job: Central Hospitality Director

Hobby: Yoga, Electronics, Rafting, Lockpicking, Inline skating, Puzzles, scrapbook

Introduction: My name is Clemencia Bogisich Ret, I am a super, outstanding, graceful, friendly, vast, comfortable, agreeable person who loves writing and wants to share my knowledge and understanding with you.