Bank fail: How rising interest rates paved the way for Silicon Valley Bank's collapse (2024)

The banking sector has been hammered by the failure of Silicon Valley Bank. But the bank had money stashed into what's supposed to be the safest asset around. What happened? TIMOTHY A. CLARY/AFP via Getty Images hide caption

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TIMOTHY A. CLARY/AFP via Getty Images

The banking sector has been hammered by the failure of Silicon Valley Bank. But the bank had money stashed into what's supposed to be the safest asset around. What happened?

TIMOTHY A. CLARY/AFP via Getty Images

Risk. It's tricky. Try to avoid one set of risks, you can just end up exposing yourself to another. That's what happened to Silicon Valley Bank.

"Silicon Valley Bank was a very good bank... until it wasn't," says Mark Williams, professor of finance at Boston University and a former bank examiner for the Federal Reserve.

A victim of its own success

Williams says the problem at Silicon Valley Bank really started with its wild success. Many of its tech company customers were raking in money during the early pandemic.

"Silicon Valley Bank was just flush," he says. "Its deposit base tripled between 2020 and 2022, with billions and billions of dollars flowing in."

A lot of those billions had come from all of the risks the bank took, lending money to start-ups and companies that couldn't get loans at other banks. Those risks paid off.

And Silicon Valley Bank took all of those billions it earned from taking those risks and stowed them into what is supposed to be the least risky investment around: US government bonds.

Bonds: The Riskless Asset

Bonds are like a little loan you give the government for 3 months, 1 year, 10 years etc., depending on which bond you buy.

At the end of that time, the government will pay you back for that loan, plus a little interest. US bonds are considered to be the safest investment on the planet. The U.S. always pays back its debts. They are often called a riskless asset.

The downside? Government bonds don't pay out a lot. Super safe, not super profitable. But some of these bonds are slightly more profitable than others.

Longer term bonds (like 10 year bonds) typically pay out more at the end than the 3 month or 1 year bonds, which makes sense: Long term bonds mean you agree to lend the government your money for years. You get more yield - a bigger payoff - for that wait.

"Basically what happened was Silicon Valley Bank wanted a bigger payout," says Alexis Leondis, who writes about bonds for Bloomberg. "So they basically wanted to reach for longer term bonds, because, I think, they felt like what they would get from shorter term bonds was kind of a joke."

Risky business

Silicon Valley Bank locked billions of dollars away into 10 year bonds. But there were risks it wasn't seeing.

Risk #1: Access. Those billions were now locked up for years. It wouldn't be easy to get that money in an emergency.

Risk #2: Interest rates. When interest rates started going up, the market value of Silicon Valley Bank's bonds went down.

That's because the bank bought its government bonds before interest rates started going up. The price you get from bonds is directly tied to interest rates. When interest rates go up, the market price of older bonds goes down because new bonds pay out higher interest rates.

When rates started climbing quickly, the price of Silicon Valley Bank's bonds tumbled.

Risk #3: Really, really rich customers. When rumors started up about the bank, customers panicked and and started pulling their money out. Because they were rich individuals and companies, that meant multi-million, even multi-billion dollar accounts cashing out all at once.

Silicon Valley Bank needed a lot of cash fast. But, of course, a lot of its cash was locked up in 10 year bonds. Now it had to try and sell those now to get cash.

Government Bond Fire Sale

That's where the interest rate risk bit Silicon Valley Bank: Trying sell those second hand, low interest rate bonds at a moment when all the new bonds being issued paid out far more was not easy.

"Now, that same bond and the yield would be about 20 times higher," says Mark Williams. "So, to encourage investors to even think about your old bond, you would have to discount it."

Discount as in, a fire sale.

Silicon Valley Bank took huge losses selling off its bonds, and more investors panicked and pulled out their money. Williams says it was a bank run on a scale the U.S. hadn't seen since the Great Depression.

"In a single day last week, depositors knocked on the door and pulled 41 billion depositor dollars out," says Williams. "That's about a quarter of their total deposits. No bank, no matter how strong, could ever survive that sort of withdrawal... that sort of run on the bank."

The rest of Silicon Valley Bank depositors were bailed out.

Guilt by association

Mark Williams says even though Silicon Valley Bank made a bunch of very specific mistakes, people all over the country got scared and started yanking money out of smaller banks.

"That means these smaller, regional banks are getting potentially destabilized," says Williams.

Where are these nervous investors putting their money? Williams says a lot of it is getting deposited into big banks that customers see as safer. Also, a lot of people are putting their money into U.S. government bonds.

Demand has spiked all week for the riskless asset.

Bank fail: How rising interest rates paved the way for Silicon Valley Bank's collapse (2024)

FAQs

What was the main reason for the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank? ›

Why did it collapse? The collapse happened for multiple reasons, including a lack of diversification and a classic bank run, where many customers withdrew their deposits simultaneously due to fears of the bank's solvency. Many of SVB's depositors were startup companies.

How do rising interest rates cause banks to fail? ›

Besides loans, banks also invest in bonds and other debt securities, which lose value when interest rates rise. Banks may be forced to sell these at a loss if faced with sudden deposit withdrawals or other funding pressures.

How did rising interest rates affect Silicon Valley Bank? ›

When interest rates started going up, the market value of Silicon Valley Bank's bonds went down. That's because the bank bought its government bonds before interest rates started going up. The price you get from bonds is directly tied to interest rates.

What are the effects of the Silicon Valley Bank failure? ›

The Fed took aggressive action, and tech stocks, which had benefited SVB, lost momentum as a result of higher borrowing costs. Long-term bonds that SVB and other banks bought during the time of extremely low, near-zero interest rates also lost value as a result of higher interest rates.

What is the conclusion of the Silicon Valley Bank collapse? ›

Over a period of just two days in March 2023, the bank went from solvent to broke as depositors rushed to SVB to withdraw their funds, resulting in federal regulators closing the bank for good on March 10, 2023. SVB's collapse marked the second largest bank failure in U.S. history after Washington Mutual's in 2008.

What is the interest rate for Silicon Valley Bank? ›

Free Checking1 Free unlimited wires, bill pay, mobile deposits with no monthly/transaction fees. Up to 5.10% annual percentage yield on qualifying balances2 Our startup money market account helps grow your savings and your business. 2X Unlimited Rewards3 Earn 2 points for every $1 spent on your SVB Innovator Card.

Are banks failing because of interest rates? ›

Consulting firm Klaros Group analyzed about 4,000 U.S. banks and found 282 banks face the dual threat of commercial real estate loans and potential losses tied to higher interest rates. The majority of those banks are smaller lenders with less than $10 billion in assets.

Why rising interest rates are hurting banks? ›

It's also an optimal confluence of events for banks, as they borrow on a short-term basis and lend on a long-term basis. Note that if interest rates rise too high, it can start to hurt bank profits as demand from borrowers for new loans suffers and refinancings decline.

Why are rising interest rates a problem? ›

A higher interest rate environment can present challenges for the economy, which may slow business activity. This could potentially result in lower revenues and earnings for a corporation, which could be reflected in a lower stock price.

Who is responsible for Silicon Valley Bank failure? ›

Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) failed because of a textbook case of mismanagement by the bank. Its senior leadership failed to manage basic interest rate and liquidity risk. Its board of directors failed to oversee senior leadership and hold them accountable.

How did a rise in interest rates contribute to the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank, Signature Bank, and First Republic? ›

First Republic's undoing was triggered by the Federal Reserve's rapid series of interest-rate increases, which led depositors to seek better returns elsewhere. That meant it had to pay more to keep them, just when rising rates were battering the value of its mortgage portfolio.

How the Silicon Valley bank collapse will affect the economy? ›

Failure of Silicon Valley Bank Reduced Local Consumer Spending but Had Limited Effect on Aggregate Spending. The failure of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) on March 10, 2023, raised concerns that deteriorating financial market conditions would reduce consumer spending.

Was Silicon Valley Bank too big to fail? ›

Most significant, the nation learned over the weekend that Silicon Valley Bank, the 16th largest depository institution in the United States, was deemed by the government to be too big to fail — at least in the sense that the normal rules for allocating losses were set aside.

What risks did Silicon Valley Bank take? ›

SVB's risk management framework was clearly deficient since it is evident that it did not effectively manage the bank's exposure to its funding risk, asset/liability mismatch risk, interest rate risk, funding liquidity risk and market liquidity risk.

Where is the Silicon Valley Bank failure? ›

On Friday, March 10, 2023, Silicon Valley Bank, Santa Clara, CA was closed by the California Department of Financial Protection & Innovation and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) was named Receiver. No advance notice is given to the public when a financial institution is closed.

What is Silicon Valley Bank and what happened? ›

On March 10, 2023, Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) failed after a bank run, marking the third-largest bank failure in United States history and the largest since the 2007–2008 financial crisis. It was one of three bank failures, along with Silvergate Bank and Signature Bank, in March 2023 in the United States.

What banks were affected by the Silicon Valley Bank collapse? ›

Banks affected were First Republic Bank, PacWest Bancorp, Regions Financial and Zions Bancorporation. Even shares of big banks lost ground in the aftermath of the SVB and Signature collapses, including Wells Fargo, JPMorgan Chase and Citigroup.

How did the Silicon Valley Bank collapse affect the stock market? ›

Silicon Valley Bank went into a tailspin, and so did the markets: Stocks dropped. Investors rushed into bonds, pushing prices up and yields down. But now, a few days after SVB 's failure, the fear of a broad banking crisis is fading. The markets panicked but clearly weren't paralyzed.

What is causing bank failures? ›

Poor risk management can lead to significant losses, erode the bank's capital, and eventually lead to failure. Economic Downturns. Banks are highly dependent on the overall health of the economy. During a recession, banks are more likely to experience loan defaults, lower profits, and higher operating costs.

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