Your Savings Account Will Beat The Stock Market By 20% In 2022​ - The Art of FI (2024)

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  • September 7, 2022

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The common rule of thumb in personal finance is to NEVER put your investments in the bank’s savings account unless you plan on using the money soon. The savings account is traditionally a place for capital preservation, meaning to place a higher priority protecting the amount that is in the account and less on making money from it. Due to the supposed safety of these accounts, the overall returns are lower than other “riskier” investments, such as stocks, real estate, cryptocurrency, etc.

It’s also commonly thought of as a fatal investing mistake to leave money in your bank account as it doesn’t keep up with inflation and devalues (lowers the value of) the money in the account.

This is because when you have $100 in the bank with a 1% interest rate, then after one year the amount will be $101. However, with historical inflation at 2%-3%, if an item you are saving for was $100 in one year, then the product now costs $102-$103 a year later. You now must pay extra out of pocket for this same product.

In 2022, inflation has consistently been up between 8%-9%, so the product now costs $108-$109, meaning you will pay even more out of pocket for the product.

For a $100 item, paying out a few extra dollars may not seem like a big issue. However, what if you are saving for a higher priced item, such as $10,000. The product at 2%-3% inflation is now will cost $10,200-$10,300, but your bank only returned $10,100. In just this year (2022), inflation has been consistently around 8%-9%. Now, you need to come up with an extra $700-$800 for the same item. This has a much larger impact on your finances.

The year 2022 is a year where you should never say never to any type of investment. Since May 2022 through September 2022, my bank’s savings account interest rate slowly crept up from 0.50% to 2%. This is largely due to the Federal Reserve raising their rates multiple times this year. This shows that inflation isn’t all negative.

Also, this year the stock market went from a historical 52-week high to being down in bear market territory with an over 20% decline from this 52-week high in only 5 months from January to June.

If I had $1M invested in the stock market at the 52-week high, as of this writing in September 2022 that $1M will be worth ~$800k, losing ~$200k.

If this same amount was in my savings account, then at the interest rate of 0.50%, the savings account would be valued at $1,005,000, which is still $205k more than what the stock market is returning.

At the 2% interest rate, if this rate stayed constant, then the account would be worth $1,020,000, which is $220k more than the stock market.

Of course, I am only comparing stock market investing and leaving your money in a bank savings account. I have other “alternative” investments that returned double digits this year as they are inflation and recession resistant investments. It will be wise to have these investments in your portfolio for times like these.

In short, you never say never to any type of investment. There is a time and place for all investment, but because we don’t have a crystal ball to know when an investment is going to be better than another, you should diversify your investments across multiple asset classes.

While it is typically not advisable to time the market, which means to try and buy and sell your investments at specific times to take advantage of the highs and lows of the investment, by understanding where your investments are at in a particular market cycle, you can know where you can potentially focus your investments at different periods of time. I don’t consider this timing the market but instead taking advantage of market cycles.

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Your Savings Account Will Beat The Stock Market By 20% In 2022​ - The Art of FI (2024)

FAQs

What percentage of your savings should be in the stock market? ›

Calculating How Much to Invest

A common rule of thumb is the 50-30-20 rule, which suggests allocating 50% of your after-tax income to essentials, 30% to discretionary spending and 20% to savings and investments. Within that 20% allocation, the portion designated for stocks depends on your risk tolerance.

What is the rule of 20 in stock market? ›

In other words, the Rule of 20 suggests that markets may be fairly valued when the sum of the P/E ratio and the inflation rate equals 20. The stock market is deemed to be undervalued when the sum is below 20 and overvalued when the sum is above 20.

Should you put your savings in the stock market? ›

If your goal requires quick access to cash, you'll likely opt to hold money in a savings account or similarly liquid space. On the other hand, if you're hoping for better returns on your money than can be achieved with savings account interest rates and over a long time, then investing may be the answer.

How much money do I need to invest to make $3,000 a month? ›

Imagine you wish to amass $3000 monthly from your investments, amounting to $36,000 annually. If you park your funds in a savings account offering a 2% annual interest rate, you'd need to inject roughly $1.8 million into the account.

What is the 20 percent savings rule? ›

Budget 20% for savings

In the 50/30/20 rule, the remaining 20% of your after-tax income should go toward your savings, which is used for heftier long-term goals. You can save for things you want or need, and you might use more than one savings account. Examples of savings goals include: Vacation.

Is 20% good for savings? ›

Do not subtract other amounts that may be withheld or automatically deducted, like health insurance or retirement contributions. Those will become part of your budget. The 50-30-20 rule recommends putting 50% of your money toward needs, 30% toward wants, and 20% toward savings.

What is the 1 rule in stock market? ›

The 1% risk rule means not risking more than 1% of account capital on a single trade. It doesn't mean only putting 1% of your capital into a trade. Put as much capital as you wish, but if the trade is losing more than 1% of your total capital, close the position.

What is 80 20 strategy in stock market? ›

In investing, the 80-20 rule generally holds that 20% of the holdings in a portfolio are responsible for 80% of the portfolio's growth. On the flip side, 20% of a portfolio's holdings could be responsible for 80% of its losses.

How often do stocks drop 20%? ›

How Common Are 20% Declines in the Stock Market? 20% drops in the S&P 500 are still common. Expect one to two within a five-year period. That said, most 20% declines are great long-term buying opportunities because there are relatively a small number of 20% declines that drop beyond 30% (but it does happen).

Should I take my savings out of the stock market? ›

Unlike the rapidly dwindling balance in your brokerage account, cash will still be in your pocket or in your bank account in the morning. However, while moving to cash might feel good mentally and help you avoid short-term stock market volatility, it is unlikely to be a wise move over the long term.

Why did Susan have a higher balance at the age of 65? ›

Susan had a larger balance at the age of 65 because she began saving at the age of 25 and continued for ten years, giving her investments 40 years to increase. 4. What important piece of information is missing from this graph? An important piece of information that is missing from the graph is what they invested in 5.

Is it better to keep your money in banks or stocks? ›

Investing products such as stocks can have much higher returns than savings accounts and CDs. Over time, the Standard & Poor's 500 stock index (S&P 500), has returned about 10 percent annually, though the return can fluctuate greatly in any given year.

Can I live off interest on a million dollars? ›

Once you have $1 million in assets, you can look seriously at living entirely off the returns of a portfolio. After all, the S&P 500 alone averages 10% returns per year. Setting aside taxes and down-year investment portfolio management, a $1 million index fund could provide $100,000 annually.

How much money a month to make $100,000 a year? ›

$100,000 a year is how much a month? If you make $100,000 a year, your monthly salary would be $8,333.87.

Can you live off $3,000 a month? ›

Top the amount with 401(k) savings, living on $3,000 a month after taxes is possible for a retiree. For those who only have social security benefits to rely on, there are many places where they can retire on their checks both in the USA and around the world.

What is the 80 20 rule in the stock market? ›

In investing, the 80-20 rule generally holds that 20% of the holdings in a portfolio are responsible for 80% of the portfolio's growth. On the flip side, 20% of a portfolio's holdings could be responsible for 80% of its losses.

How much of your wealth should be in the stock market? ›

Generally, experts recommend investing around 10-20% of your income. But the more realistic answer might be whatever amount you can afford. If you're wondering, “how much should I be investing this year?”, the answer is to invest whatever amount you can afford!

What is the 40 30 20 10 rule? ›

The most common way to use the 40-30-20-10 rule is to assign 40% of your income — after taxes — to necessities such as food and housing, 30% to discretionary spending, 20% to savings or paying off debt and 10% to charitable giving or meeting financial goals.

What is the stock market 4% rule? ›

The 4% rule entails withdrawing up to 4% of your retirement in the first year, and subsequently withdrawing based on inflation. Some risks of the 4% rule include whims of the market, life expectancy, and changing tax rates. The rule may not hold up today, and other withdrawal strategies may work better for your needs.

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