Will We See Another Mortgage Crisis? (2024)

By Engage Team 15 Mar, 2022

From the Big Island to Oʻahu One of the benefits of living in the island archipelago of Hawaiʻi is that the other Hawaiian islands are a short flight away. It was during a spontaneous visit to Oʻahu from the Big Island of Hawaiʻi – where we lived for 6 years – that my partner and I got the idea to switch islands. Although each of the Hawaiian islands has unique merits, we were ready to experience Oʻahu’s convenience, plentiful hiking trails and beaches, and diverse economic opportunities. After landing a job offer based in downtown Honolulu, our relocation planning began. Since we were still largely unfamiliar with Oʻahu, we tailored our apartment search to a few factors, including: proximity to work; walkability to groceries and other necessities; and amenities like air conditioning, a pool, and a gym. Of course, budget was a factor as well, and we set our price range accordingly. Choosing Kakaʻako While the apartment criteria narrowed our search to three Honolulu neighborhoods – Waikiki, Ala Moana, and Kakaʻako – we focused on Kakaʻako because of its newer buildings and walkability to shops and dining. While living in a downtown Airbnb, we cruised sites like HICentral , Zillow , and Craigslist to find leads, and looked at several apartments before securing a 1-bedroom in the recently completed Keauhou Place tower. In addition to our unit having an incredible view overlooking downtown and the harbor, it came with shared amenities like covered parking, a pool, gym, and barbecue grills. As well, we enjoyed access to its ground-level pedestrian mall, which offered a natural grocery store, spa, and spots for dining and takeout – not to mention a short jaunt to even more options at SALT and Ohana Hale Marketplace . Aside from walkability, the location served as a central jumping off point for weekend adventures around the island. Change of Scenery Two years, a pandemic, and one job transition later, we were ready for another change of scenery. Since I switched from working in-person to working remotely, we no longer needed to live close to downtown, and began exploring the idea of moving to Oʻahu’s east side, where we would be closer to some of our favorite hikes and beaches. While the search process was similar, the inventory in our budget range was different, and it took a bit longer to find a suitable home. As opposed to the ample selection of apartment and condo listings in Honolulu’s urban core, the east side neighborhoods of Kaneohe, Kailua, and Waimanalo offered mostly ADU’s (additional dwelling units) or single family homes converted into multiple rentals units – sometimes lacking the privacy or amenities we needed. It took about 3 months to find our ideal rental home in Kailua, a similar 1-bedroom condo within a comfortable walking distance to town and the beach. It took a lot of patience, because the inventory was more limited; but, luckily we had flexibility to keep searching until we found our match.  Urban v. Suburban: Which to Choose? Ultimately, I am glad we got the experience of living in both Honolulu and Kailua. Particularly, the Kakaʻako neighborhood, with its abundant street art, well-maintained parks, and diverse shops and dining options, is a great place to get a feel for Oʻahu’s urban core. On the other hand, Kailua has an intimate, beachy feel, which could be a better fit if you can work remotely – and avoid the driving commute into “town” (local shorthand for Honolulu). Either way, pre-determining your unique home, budget, timing, and lifestyle criteria can help to narrow your search and point you in the right direction. About the Author Ali Slous is the founder of Perspective Media , an Oʻahu-based creative agency whose mission is to empower entrepreneurs and small businesses to channel creativity in ways that generate both professional success and personal satisfaction. When she is not creating Perspective Media, Ali enjoys access to the incredible nature Hawaiʻi has to offer. Resources HICentral: https://www.hicentral.com/ Zillow: https://www.zillow.com/honolulu-hi/?utm_content=319854744|1301821912900950|kwd-81363927204438:loc-190|81363895177301|&utm_campaign=zbw_br_natgeo_usa_x_nat_cities_e_b_1&semQue=zillow%20honolulu&msclkid=330d4f9cfa6b19b9b07d2db5ba061625 Craigslist: https://honolulu.craigslist.org/search/hhh SALT: https://saltatkakaako.com/ Hale Ohana Marketplace: https://www.ohmhawaii.com/ Perspective Media: https://perspectivemediahawaii.com/

New Year, Same Same?

By Jacqueline Little 16 Feb, 2022

A new year is upon us, and I must say it feels familiar, yet unpredictable. What I mean by that is, although we’re still dealing with the pandemic, the real estate market is still very dynamic. Mortgage rates dropped to record lows for much of last year, while home values and sales peaked to record highs. Where does it go from here? To say that there will be a housing market cool down is too drastic. Steady buyer demand and low inventory will continue to drive up prices. My insight for 2022 aligns with what most are predicting for the housing market’s future - everything will be high. Demand, prices, home appreciation rates, and eventually home inventory and interest rates will rise too. While some trends from 2021 will continue into the new year, some things will change. This year will be defined as a steady year of (slow) growth. The market will no doubt be in the favor of the sellers for now, but things will start to swing the other way. Because the real estate market is affected by current events, fluctuations are inevitable. If you’re looking to buy, pay attention to interest rates and always be in tune with your own personal finances. If you’re in a position to sell this year, it wouldn’t be a bad idea. The smaller housing inventory fares to your advantage because low inventory creates competition among buyers, essentially increasing your property’s value. If you’re a seller, know that there are options for selling. Whether it’s your first home sale or your fifth, talking to a real estate agent will help you explore your options so you can market your home to a wide range of potential buyers and get you top dollar for it. If you’re a buyer, the same advice rings true here. Talk to a real estate agent who can help you navigate this active housing market and help you find the right situation for you to act on. As always, Royal Realty is here for you and ready to take on 2022 with you!

Will We See Another Mortgage Crisis? (2024)

FAQs

Will We See Another Mortgage Crisis? ›

Experts overwhelmingly say that the housing market isn't going to crash anytime soon. The last housing crash helped cause today's lack of supply, which is what's keeping prices from falling. Mortgage rates, however, are expected to fall this year. This will help make homeownership more affordable.

Will the mortgage crisis happen again? ›

Most experts do not expect a housing market crash in 2024 since many homeowners have built up significant home equity. The issue is primarily an affordability crisis. High interest rates and inflated home values have made purchasing a home challenging for first-time homebuyers.

Will the housing crisis repeat itself? ›

We will not have a repeat of the 2008–2012 housing market crash,” Yun said in a statement last fall. “There are no risky subprime mortgages that could implode, nor the combination of a massive oversupply and overproduction of homes.”

Will 2024 be a good time to buy a house? ›

Yes. This is the best time to buy a house in California. With the current trend in the CA housing market, you'll find better deals on your dream home during Q2 2024. As per Fannie Mae, mortgage rates may drop more in Q2 of 2024 due to economic changes, inflation, and central bank policy adjustments.

Should I sell my house now or wait until 2024? ›

Best Time to Sell Your House for a Higher Price

April, June, and July are the best months to sell your house in California. The median sale price of houses in June 2023, was $796,400, which is expected to grow more in 2024. However, cities like Arcadia and San Mateo follow an upward trend throughout the year.

Is there going to be a housing market crash in 2024? ›

There probably won't be a housing recession in 2024 based on current expectations, as limited inventory is likely to push prices up further. Once rates drop, more buyers should re-enter the market as well.

Will mortgage rates go back down in 2024? ›

The 30-year fixed mortgage rate is expected to fall to the mid-6% range through the end of 2024, potentially dipping into high-5% territory by the end of 2025.

How cheap were houses when the recession happened in 2008? ›

For the whole year of 2008, NAR reported that the median existing-home price dropped by 9.5% to $197,100, compared to $217,900 in 2007. S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices: Home prices fell by 18.2% in November 2008 compared to November 2007 in 20 major metropolitan areas.

How long did the 2008 housing crisis last? ›

The American subprime mortgage crisis was a multinational financial crisis that occurred between 2007 and 2010 that contributed to the 2007–2008 global financial crisis. The crisis led to a severe economic recession, with millions of people losing their jobs and many businesses going bankrupt.

How much did houses drop in 2008? ›

The long, sharp slide in Southern California home values is all but eliminating demand for new houses.

Is it better to buy a house when interest rates are high? ›

The bottom line. Today's elevated mortgage rate environment isn't preferable for homebuyers, but it doesn't mean that you should refrain from acting, either. If you discover your dream home, can afford the interest rate, find an affordable house, or have an alternative to rent, it can be worth it for you now.

Should I wait to buy a house until the market crashes? ›

Even if a crash is predicted, it doesn't mean it's guaranteed to happen. If you're just looking to buy a home, you should do what makes the most sense for your household's needs and finances, rather than viewing the home as an investment.

What is the best month to buy a house? ›

Late summer to early fall is also considered one of the best times of the year to buy a house because the competition levels cool down following the busy spring and early summer months.

Is it a buyers or sellers market in 2024 in the USA? ›

The median home-sale price as of February 2024 was $384,500, up 5.7 percent from one year ago, according to NAR data. The nation had a 2.9-month supply of housing inventory as of February, per NAR, which is low enough to be considered a seller's market.

What will mortgage rates be at the end of 2024? ›

Mortgage rate predictions 2024

The MBA's forecast suggests that 30-year mortgage rates will fall into the 6.4% to 6.7% range throughout the rest of 2024, and Fannie Mae is forecasting the same. NAR believes rates will average 7.1% this quarter and fall to 6.5% by the end of 2024.

Why aren't homeowners selling? ›

Reasons Why Your Home Isn't Selling. The real estate market is complex and numerous factors contribute to the saleability of a property. These reasons can include an overpriced listing, a slow market, necessary repairs, inadequate marketing, or even the lack of an experienced real estate agent.

Will 2026 be a good year to buy a house? ›

However, increases should slow between 2024 and 2026, and rates may even decline in 2027. Among the factors that could impact mortgage rates in the next 5 years are inflation, Federal Reserve policy, and economic growth. Homebuyers should consider locking in a low mortgage rate now, as rates are expected to rise soon.”

What is the market prediction for 2024? ›

The market sees a greater than 80% chance of at least five rate cuts from current levels by the end of 2024. Investor optimism about the economic outlook has improved dramatically from a year ago, but there's still a risk that Fed policy tightening could tip the economy into a recession in 2024.

Will recession bring down mortgage rates? ›

Interest rates usually fall during a recession. Historically, the economy typically grows until interest rates are hiked to cool down price inflation and the soaring cost of living. Often, this results in a recession and a return to low interest rates to stimulate growth.

Who predicted the mortgage crisis? ›

Burry likely will be best known for being one of the few investors who predicted the subprime mortgage crisis that lasted from 2007 to 2010. He shorted the 2007 mortgage bond market by swapping CDOs and profited mightily from it. Vanity Fair. "Betting on the Blind Side."

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