Why moving into apartment REITs makes sense right now (2024)

One of my friends just bought an investment property. It’s an older, run-down house near the university where his son is living in residence. The plan is to fix it up and have his son and some roommates move in next year.

He got the house for a good price, and it may well turn out to be a great investment.

But you won’t catch me buying an investment property.

Don’t get me wrong. I love the idea of investing in real estate. It’s just that I have no interest in the hands-on aspects, such as collecting rent, fixing toilets or evicting tenants who build a grow-op in the basem*nt.

Fortunately for people like me, there’s an asset class called apartment real estate investment trusts. These businesses, also known as multifamily or residential REITs, give investors the benefits of owning real estate – namely steady income and long-term capital appreciation – without the hassles.

Residential REITs invest primarily in apartment buildings but some also own townhomes and leased-land communities. Now is an especially interesting time to consider apartment REITs, for a few reasons.

First, a tight rental market is driving up rental rates. Rent controls limit annual increases for existing tenants, but when suites turn over rents adjust to higher, market rates, providing an earnings tailwind.

Second, even as rents are rising, unit prices for apartment REITs have fallen substantially. This reflects surging inflation, which raises operating expenses for REITs, and higher interest rates, which increase borrowing costs and decrease property valuations. Also weighing on unit prices is the federal government’s 2022 budget pledge to explore “potential changes” to the tax treatment of corporate owners of real estate.

The silver lining? Because unit prices are down, distribution yields have risen. What’s more, with a lot of the bad news about inflation and interest rates already baked into unit prices, further downside risk may be limited. All of this means that, just like my friend’s rental house, REITs are selling at bargain prices.

“We’ve been adamant that there is a window to buy Canadian multifamily REITs at a once-in-a-decade discount, a window that closes” once Ottawa drops its review of the asset class, said Johann Rodrigues, an analyst with iA Capital Markets, in a recent research note. “The window is closing so take advantage quickly.”

Here are three apartment REITs worth considering:

Canadian Apartment Properties REIT (CAR.UN)

Price: $44.56

Yield: 3.3 per cent

Canadian Apartment Properties REIT is Canada’s largest residential landlord, with about 67,000 rental suites and land-lease sites in Canada and the Netherlands. Thanks to strong expense controls and an 11-per-cent lift in rents on suite turnovers, CAP REIT’s same-property net operating income – essentially rental income minus operating expenses for suites in the portfolio – rose 2.7 per cent in the second quarter.

Yet the units have plunged about 28 per cent in the past year and now trade more than 15 per cent below the REIT’s estimated net asset value per unit. “We believe CAP REIT’s discount valuation remains compelling,” Brad Sturges, an analyst with Raymond James, said in a note to clients.

Even in a recession, CAP REIT should hold up relatively well, analysts say. The REIT’s “size, liquidity and stable cash flow profile are attractive in the event of slowing economic activity,” Kyle Stanley of Desjardins Securities said in a note.

InterRent REIT (IIP.UN)

Price: $12.15

Yield: 2.8 per cent

InterRent REIT owns more than 13,000 apartment units in major metropolitan areas including Toronto, Hamilton, Ottawa, Montreal and Vancouver. One of the REIT’s specialties is acquiring older buildings and upgrading suites, common areas and exteriors to increase revenue “while extending the useful life of buildings that would otherwise be heading for demolition,” InterRent said in its second-quarter earnings presentation. More recently, the REIT has also purchased newly built assets and has several developments in progress.

Even as InterRent’s average rent per suite jumped 7.1 per cent in June from a year earlier, the unit price has tumbled about 31 per cent in the past year. One factor is elevated vacancies in Montreal, reflecting weakness in the flow of international students because of COVID-19. But with universities returning to in-person classes, demand for rental housing should improve, particularly as student visa-processing delays are resolved. Ottawa, another soft market, has also started to bounce back as people return to offices downtown.

Boardwalk REIT (BEI.UN)

Price: $48.48

Yield: 2.2 per cent

When energy prices were collapsing and Alberta’s economy was on the ropes, Boardwalk REIT was the undisputed dog of the residential REIT market. Not any more. Thanks to higher oil and gas prices, Calgary and Edmonton are once again experiencing population and employment growth.

That’s great news for Boardwalk, which has about 62 per cent of its portfolio in Alberta. It also explains why Boardwalk’s unit price has risen slightly in the past year even as other apartment REITs have been getting crushed.

Mr. Stanley of Desjardins Securities recently upgraded Boardwalk to a buy rating, citing second-quarter results that topped expectations, good cost controls and an attractive valuation.

But he warned that Boardwalk isn’t without risks. For one thing, the REIT is more leveraged than its peers, which “presents a risk in the current interest rate and macro environment,” he said.

Full disclosure: The author owns CAR.UN and IIP.UN personally and holds CAR.UN in his model Yield Hog Dividend Growth Portfolio.

E-mail your questions to jheinzl@globeandmail.com. I’m not able to respond personally to e-mails but I choose certain questions to answer in my column.

Be smart with your money. Get the latest investing insights delivered right to your inbox three times a week, with the Globe Investor newsletter. Sign up today.

Why moving into apartment REITs makes sense right now (2024)

FAQs

Are residential REITs a good investment now? ›

Residential REITs provide consistent income and growth potential. March 20, 2024, at 4:33 p.m. There is more demand in the market than there is supply. As long as this imbalance continues residential real estate will be a sound investment.

Are REITs better than rental property? ›

Perhaps the biggest advantage of buying REIT shares rather than rental properties is simplicity. REIT investing allows for sharing in value appreciation and rental income without being involved in the hassle of actually buying, managing and selling property. Diversification is another benefit.

What is the outlook for residential REITs? ›

AEW Capital Management forecasts total REIT returns of approximately 25% over the next two years, which also roughly translates to low double digits in 2024, according to Gina Szymanski, managing director and portfolio manager, real estate securities group for North America, with the firm.

Why are REITs not doing well? ›

Interest rate risk. The biggest risk to REITs is when interest rates rise, which reduces demand for REITs. 6 In a rising-rate environment, investors typically opt for safer income plays, such as U.S. Treasuries. Treasuries are government-guaranteed, and most pay a fixed rate of interest.

Do REITs lose value when interest rates rise? ›

Rising interest rates hurt not only the value of REITs' property holdings but also the cost of debt to finance those properties or even refinance already-owned assets.

Will REITs recover in 2024? ›

The REIT (VNQ) market has been in a bear market for over two years now with the broader market averages dropping by over 25%. But despite that, most REITs have kept growing their dividend. Most of them hiked in 2022, 2023, and will hike again in 2024.

What is the 2% rule in real estate? ›

The 2% rule is a rule of thumb that determines how much rental income a property should theoretically be able to generate. Following the 2% rule, an investor can expect to realize a positive cash flow from a rental property if the monthly rent is at least 2% of the purchase price.

Can REITs lose value? ›

Because REITs use debt to purchase investments, rising interest rates could mean these companies would have to pay more interest on future loans. This could in turn reduce their return on investment. Because of this, REITs could potentially lose value when interest rates rise.

Which REITs pay the highest dividend? ›

The market's highest-yielding REITs
Company (ticker symbol)SectorDividend yield
KKR Real Estate Finance Trust (KREF)Mortgage14.0%
Two Harbors Investment (TWO)Mortgage14.0%
Ares Commercial Real Estate (ACRE)Mortgage13.8%
Brandywine Realty Trust (BDN)Office13.6%
7 more rows
Feb 28, 2024

What is the outlook for residential REITs in 2024? ›

After lagging equities the past two years, REITs offer an attractive investment opportunity in 2024. The headwind of higher bond yields and central bank rate hikes is likely to abate and may turn into a tailwind if our view about an impending economic slowdown and decelerating inflation trends is correct.

What is the 90% rule for REITs? ›

How to Qualify as a REIT? To qualify as a REIT, a company must have the bulk of its assets and income connected to real estate investment and must distribute at least 90 percent of its taxable income to shareholders annually in the form of dividends.

What is the best time to buy REITs? ›

REITs historically rebound when interest rates pivot and have the potential for rent growth. Realty Income, Agree Realty, VICI Properties, Essential Properties Trust, and American Tower are strong picks for long-term growth and income.

Why are apartment REITs down? ›

Apartment owners' profits were pinched last year between excess apartment supply and increasing costs. Cash flows at UDR, which REITs call “funds from operations,” are expected to decline this year. Those at Independence will be flat. By next year, things could turn up.

Can REITs go to zero? ›

By law, 75% of a REITs asset must be invested in real estate. The market value of the property owned by the REIT offers a bit of protection, as long as the value of the property doesn't go to zero. That's not to say that REIT values can't go down, though.

Can REITs go out of business? ›

What this means is that REITs are ideal borrowers for banks. They are exactly who they want to do business with because they know that the risk of a REIT bankruptcy is extremely low. Just look at the past. There have been very few REIT bankruptcies over the past 50+ years.

What are the most profitable REITs to invest in? ›

Best-performing REIT mutual funds: April 2024
SymbolFund name1-year return
BRIUXBaron Real Estate Income R612.08%
JABIXJHanco*ck Real Estate Securities R611.07%
RRRRXDWS RREEF Real Estate Securities Instil9.26%
CSRIXCohen & Steers Instl Realty Shares9.84%
1 more row
Apr 11, 2024

Will REIT bounce back? ›

In fact, REIT total returns bounced back with impressive performance in the last quarter of 2023. Based on historical experience, the convergence of the wide valuation gap between public and private real estate will likely ensure continued REIT outperformance into 2024.

Is realty income a buy, sell, or hold? ›

Realty Income has a conensus rating of Moderate Buy which is based on 3 buy ratings, 5 hold ratings and 0 sell ratings. The average price target for Realty Income is $58.75. This is based on 8 Wall Streets Analysts 12-month price targets, issued in the past 3 months.

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