Why Bonds Will Make You Broke (2024)

Your 2% bonds are going to make you broke. You need to buy these safe, higher paying dividends instead.

We’ll get to these “real yields” (up to 9.3%!) in a moment. First, let’s recap. Treasury yields just took their biggest bath in weeks, sending the 10-year T-note to 2%. Less than a year ago, the 10-year was flirting with (a not exactly nosebleed) 3%.

And now that Fed chair Jay Powell has fallen in love with the doves (whether by choice or by force), he’s going to keep rates low for a long time. Which means bonds will have no place in a retirement portfolio geared towards income.

It wasn’t always this way. Decades ago, bonds rightfully earned their reputation as a source of not just safe, but substantial income that could actually support a high-quality retirement.

But for nearly a decade, investors subject to traditional wisdom have been put in peril. They’ve been told that bonds are safe, that they’re “wealth preservers.” However, they now yield so little that their income is almost completely gobbled up by inflation, and their paltry coupons don’t even support basic necessities.

Put another way: If you rely on plain-Jane bonds in retirement, you’ll be underwater paying for even the most bare-bones lifestyle.

The table below shows the monthly income from a $1 million nest egg 100% invested in Treasuries, as well as the average Social Security paycheck, stacked up against a list of basic retirement costs compiled by NerdWallet.

Contrarian Outlook

Contrarian Outlook

Bond investors come up $380 shy each and every month under this low-frills budget. And even if they didn’t spend a penny in “entertainment,” they’d still be broke.

This “new normal” requires a different set of income strategies. You need better yields and substantial payout growth to make sure you’re ahead of the inflation curve.

Of course, you’re not going to get those from Uncle Sam at 2%. You will, however, find them in this five-pack of bigger paying bonds.

BlackRock Core Bond Trust (BHK)

Type: Multi-Sector

Distribution Yield: 5.6%

The BlackRock Core Bond Trust (BHK) closed-end fund (CEF) lives up to its name, providing a core collection of primarily investment-grade bonds. Investment-grade corporates make up about a third of the portfolio, with double-digit holdings in U.S. government bonds, junk debt and agency mortgages. It also holds developed- and emerging-market debt, securitized products, bank loans and more.

About three-quarters of the portfolio is rated BBB or above, so quality is no issue. And you even have roughly 15% exposure to international debt, which gives you a splash of geographic diversity.

A core ETF such as the iShares Core Aggregate Bond ETF (AGG) will offer typically a little better overall credit quality, but less than half the yield. That’s the power of closed-end funds, which can use leverage and wily active management to juice returns and distributions.

A 7% discount to the fund’s net asset value (NAV) would seem to cinch the deal. After all, who wouldn’t want broad bond-market exposure with 2x the yield for 93 cents on the dollar?

The problem is that there are better options. BHK has delivered 7.1% in annual total returns since inception, versus a 7.6% category average. Plus it has underperformed in most other time periods, too.

Luckily, BlackRock has more to offer, as I’ll show you in a minute.

Calamos Convertible & High Income Fund (CHY)

Type: Multi-Sector

Distribution Yield: 9.3%

Calamos offers another type of somewhat-blended fixed income, though it’s far from the “core” allocation you’d get via BHK.

The Calamos Convertible & High Income Fund (CHY) invests in a portfolio of convertible securities and other high-yield fixed income instruments. Convertible securities are the lion’s share at 57%, followed by corporate bonds at 32%.

Convertible bonds get very little press. They’re like traditional bonds in that they make regular, fixed coupon payments. But as the name implies, they can be converted–into common stock. So, you can enjoy the income of bonds with the potential upside of equities.

While convertibles’ yields are typically less than regular bonds, CHY’s other holdings, as well as a hefty amount of leverage, help fuel a massive distribution of more than 9% despite a slight reduction in the payout late last year. Its 7.7% annualized total return since inception is in line with the category average.

A 3% discount to NAV is a bargain considering CHY has traded at a premium on average over the past year.

BlackRock Taxable Municipal Bond Trust (BBN)

Type: Taxable Municipal

Distribution Yield: 6.1%

It’s hard to read “taxable municipal bond” without doing a double-take. Isn’t the whole appeal of a municipal bond the fact that you get to pull a fast one on the IRS?

Sure, tax-free munis can offer smaller yields thanks to that tax benefit. But what happens when you collect that income in a tax-advantaged account like an IRA?

That’s right: You lose municipal bonds’ primary perk.

Enter the BlackRock Taxable Municipal Bond Trust (BBN), which invests at least 80% of its assets in taxable munis, including Build America Bonds. The fund can, if necessary, invest in other assets, from Treasuries to even tax-exempt bonds, but it mostly stays faithful to its charge.

There’s plenty to like here. BBN is able to juice a 6.1% yield its taxable municipal bonds, which it has converted into a 9.4% average annual total return since inception. That’s better than the category mark by 50 basis points. And you can purchase that outperformance at a tidy little discount of about 4% to NAV right now.

That makes BBN an unorthodox but nonetheless attractive buy.

Cohen & Steers Limited Duration Preferred & Income (LDP)

Type: Preferred

Distribution Yield: 7.6%

I love preferred stocks. These under-covered, under-loved “hybrid” securities fall well off the radar of many investors. But for those in the know, they’re a dependable source of high yield.

Cohen & Steers skims a lesser-traveled area of the preferred world with its Limited Duration Preferred & Income (LDP) closed-end fund, which, as the name suggests, invests in low-duration preferreds. Just like many investors will duck into low-duration bonds to fight off interest-rate risk, they can tap into this fund when they’re worried about rising rates.

Given the Fed’s current disposition, that’s a big strike against it for now. So is a mere 2% discount that sits below its 52-week average discount of about 5%. (In other words, we’re likely to see this fund trading at a bigger bargain down the road.)

But I always make sure to have a plan for every market condition, and that includes an eventual return to rising rates, whenever that might be. Under that condition, LDP and its collection of about 150 holdings–including preferreds from JPMorgan Chase (JPM) and Bank of America (BAC)–will be the right way to play this asset class.

BlackRock Corporate High Yield Fund (HYT)

Type: High Yield

Distribution Yield: 8.1%

Junk debt has looked less like a fixed-income product and more like a hard-charging blue chip in 2019. That has led to stellar returns for the likes of the BlackRock Corporate High Yield Fund (HYT).

HYT’s more than 1,100 holdings aren’t exclusively junk debt, of course. While 83% of the fund is dedicated to junk, another 11% of assets are piled into term loans, with a peppering of collateralized loan obligations, preferred stocks and other assets.

This closed-end fund takes chances, too. Only a little more than a third of the fund is in the highest credit-quality level of junk (BB); much more is in B (45%), and another 14% is dedicated to CCC-rated bonds. That’s much farther down the ladder than what you get in typical junk index funds such as iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (HYG) and SPDR Bloomberg Barclays High Yield Bond ETF (JNK). BlackRock’s managers double down on those risks, too, with a healthy 28% leverage ratio.

The chutzpah is worth it. BlackRock Corporate High Yield has stomped its category return, 8.3%-6.7%, since inception. And anyone who steps into the fund today can buy HYT’s high-performing assets at a 9% discount.

Brett Owens is chief investment strategist for Contrarian Outlook. For more great income ideas, click here for his latest report How To Live Off $500,000 Forever: 9 Diversified Plays For 7%+ Income.

Disclosure: none

Why Bonds Will Make You Broke (2024)

FAQs

Why do you lose money on bonds? ›

What causes bond prices to fall? Bond prices move in inverse fashion to interest rates, reflecting an important bond investing consideration known as interest rate risk. If bond yields decline, the value of bonds already on the market move higher. If bond yields rise, existing bonds lose value.

Why might bonds be a bad choice? ›

Historically, bonds have provided lower long-term returns than stocks. Bond prices fall when interest rates go up. Long-term bonds, especially, suffer from price fluctuations as interest rates rise and fall.

What happens when bonds are broken? ›

When chemical bonds break and new bonds form, new chemical substances are generated. This is known as a chemical reaction. Chemical potential energy is stored in chemical bonds, and when the bonds break, energy is released.

What are the risks of bonds? ›

Bonds are considered as a safe investment & also come with some risks which are Default Risk, Interest Rate Risk, Inflation Risk, Reinvestment Risk, Liquidity Risk, and Call Risk. Investors who like to take risks tend to make more money, but they might feel worried when the stock market goes down.

How much is a $100 savings bond worth after 30 years? ›

How to get the most value from your savings bonds
Face ValuePurchase Amount30-Year Value (Purchased May 1990)
$50 Bond$100$207.36
$100 Bond$200$414.72
$500 Bond$400$1,036.80
$1,000 Bond$800$2,073.60

Are bonds no longer a good investment? ›

High-quality bond investments remain attractive. With yields on investment-grade-rated1 bonds still near 15-year highs,2 we believe investors should continue to consider intermediate- and longer-term bonds to lock in those high yields.

Is there a downside to bonds? ›

These are the risks of holding bonds: Risk #1: When interest rates fall, bond prices rise. Risk #2: Having to reinvest proceeds at a lower rate than what the funds were previously earning. Risk #3: When inflation increases dramatically, bonds can have a negative rate of return.

What is downside risk of a bond? ›

The probability that an asset or security will fall in price.

Why don't people buy bonds? ›

Holding bond funds for shorter periods than that opens you to the risk of further, short-term gyrations in your fund's value, without sufficient time for recovery. And if you buy longer-term individual bonds and have to sell them, you risk the kinds of losses that investors have been experiencing lately.

Is bonds breaking positive or negative? ›

Generally, a positive change in enthalpy is required to break a bond, while a negative change in enthalpy is accompanied by the formation of a bond. In other words, breaking a bond is an endothermic process, while the formation of bonds is exothermic.

Are bonds broken or overcome? ›

within the molecules. When simple molecular substances melt or boil, it is these weak intermolecular forces that are overcome. The covalent bonds are not broken. Very little energy is needed to overcome the intermolecular forces, so simple molecular substances usually have low melting and boiling points.

Do bonds cause debt? ›

A bond is a debt obligation, like an Iou. Investors who buy corporate bonds are lending money to the company issuing the bond. In return, the company makes a legal commitment to pay interest on the principal and, in most cases, to return the principal when the bond comes due, or matures.

Why do bonds lose money when interest rates rise? ›

Most bonds pay a fixed interest rate that becomes more attractive if interest rates fall, driving up demand and the price of the bond. Conversely, if interest rates rise, investors will no longer prefer the lower fixed interest rate paid by a bond, resulting in a decline in its price.

Can you lose money on a Treasury bond? ›

Yes, you can lose half your money in government guaranteed bonds. The iShares index ETF “TLT TLT -0.2% ” of 20-year Treasury bonds shown below has lost half its value in the last 3 years. Some bonds, 30-year Treasuries for example, have been impacted even worse.

What are the pros and cons of bonds? ›

Con: You could lose out on major returns by only investing in bonds.
ProsCons
Can offer a stream of incomeExposes investors to credit and default risk
Can help diversify an investment portfolio and mitigate investment riskTypically generate lower returns than other investments
1 more row

What are the pros and cons of bond funds? ›

Pros and cons of bond funds
ProsCons
Bond funds are typically easier to buy and sell than individual bonds.Less predictable future market value.
Monthly income.No control over capital gains and cost basis.
Low minimum investment.
Automatically reinvest interest payments.
1 more row

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