Why Are Leveraged ETFs Like TQQQ Not for the Average Investor? (2024)

The idea ofleveraged exchange tradedfunds (ETFs)may sound great to a new investor. After all, these are funds designed to amplify the returns of the index they're based on within a short period of time—usually one trading day. But some investors attracted by upside forget the risks that go along with using that leverage.

Since leveraged ETFs are specially created financial products designed for speculators, individuals who buy or trade them without understanding how they work should be extra cautious, because many leveraged ETFs are not structured like ordinary ETFs.

The Difference Between Leveraged and Regular ETFs

An ordinary ETF is apooledmutual fundthat owns an underlying basket of securities or other assets, most oftencommon stocks.That basket trades under its ownticker symbolthroughout the ordinary trading day, the same way shares of a company like Meta (formerly Facebook) or Amazon do.

From time to time, thenet asset value(the value of the underlying securities) may deviate from the market price, but on the whole, the performanceshouldtrack the underlying index and equal that performance over long periods (minus theexpense ratio).Simple enough.

With a leveraged ETF, however, the fund uses debt and derivatives to amplify the returns of the underlying index at a ratio of 2-to-1 or even 3-to-1, instead of 1-to-1 like a regular ETF. The financial derivatives and debt used in these funds introduce an outsized amount of risk, even as they have the potential to produce outsized gains. Leveraged ETFs also often come with higher expense ratios than regular ETFs.

Note

Where a regular ETF tracking an index could fall 5%, a leveraged ETF would fall 10% or 15%. Leveraged ETFs may see drastic drawdowns.

What Happens When You Buy and Hold an ETF Like TQQQ

With a leveraged ETF, on top ofthe asset management fees,frictional expenses such as trading costs, andcustody fees, you have theinterest expenseof the debt used to achieve the actual leverage.That means that every moment of every day, interest expense or its effective equivalent is reducing the value of the portfolio.

Let's take a look at one such ETF, the ProShares UltraPro QQQ (Nasdaq: TQQQ), which leverages the Nasdaq-1003-to-1. If the Nasdaq-100 moves by 1%, TQQQ moves by 3%.

If the market goes sideways, the ETF's shares will lose money, a reality that is exacerbated by the fact that the portfolio rebalances daily.Due to compounding, leveraged ETFs held over the long term can see strikingly different returns than the fund's target. Because these funds reset each day, you can see significant losses—even if the fund itself appears to be showing a gain.

Note

Even if the market ends up increasing in value over a multi-month period of time, and even if you are leveraged 3-to-1 on that increase, it is possible that the gains of your leveraged fund will not triple the gains of the underlying index. In fact, the ETF could actually end up losing money because of the combination of daily rebalancing and how it harms you during periods of high volatility. Additional expenses, interest, and transaction costs will also intensify this effect.

Who Should Consider Leveraged ETFs?

Who are these leveraged ETFs designed for, then?What types of people or institutions should consider buying or selling them?The answer is clear when you understand that they aren't meant for long-terminvestmentat all.

Investing involves owning shares of companies andcollecting dividends,or lending money and collecting interest income, and it is necessary for the functioning of the economy.Investors often follow long-term strategies and have future goals in mind when buying stocks, ETFs, or other investments.

The purpose of leveraging a stock market benchmark (such as the Nasdaq-100) by 300% and then resetting it every day is a way to gamble without risking the dangers of directly employingmargin debt.You can take the long side (bet that it will increase) or the short side (bet that it will decrease) as both have their own respective ticker symbols.

Note

Leveraged ETFs are really meant for those with deep pockets who can afford to take the outsized risk and are willing to bet that stocks will go up or down on any given day.

Understanding the Risks for New Investors

The takeaway of all of this for new investors is simple:Don't invest in something you don't understand. If financial derivatives, options contracts, and futures—all of which are tools used in leveraged ETFs—are beyond your comfort zone, stick to other investments.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

How do you trade leveraged ETFs?

The process of trading leveraged ETFs is the same as trading any other ETF or exchange-traded security. You simply need to place buy and sell orders while markets are open. The best way to trade leveraged ETFs is to use them as day trading vehicles. These products allow you to amplify small movements and multiply your profits (or losses) without holding on to the ETFs so long that they suffer from decay.

What is an inverse leveraged ETF?

An inverse leveraged ETF combines elements of both inverse and leveraged products. These ETFs multiply the movement of the underlying securities, and they do so with an inverse correlation. For example, if the S&P 500 index goes up 1%, an inverse leveraged ETF like SPXS will go down by roughly 3%.

Why Are Leveraged ETFs Like TQQQ Not for the Average Investor? (2024)

FAQs

Why don't people invest in TQQQ? ›

Re: Investing 100% into TQQQ

Don't hold it long term for anything more than your “play money”, which for those that even allow for “play money” in their IPS is no more than 5%. The biggest risk is a sideways choppy market. You will get killed from the volatility in that environment.

What is the problem with leveraged ETFs? ›

Leveraged ETFs use various financial instruments such as futures, options and swaps to achieve their leverage. These instruments have associated costs, including transaction costs, bid/ask spreads and management fees. These costs can eat into the returns of the ETF and contribute to its decay.

Why are leveraged and inverse ETFs generally considered to be unsuitable for long term investors? ›

Because they reset each day, leveraged and inverse ETFs typically are inappropriate as an intermediate or long-term investment. They may be appropriate, however, if recommended as part of a sophisticated trading or hedging strategy that will be closely monitored by a financial professional.

Why 3x ETFs are riskier than you might think? ›

A leveraged ETF uses derivative contracts to magnify the daily gains of an index or benchmark. These funds can offer high returns, but they also come with high risk and expenses. Funds that offer 3x leverage are particularly risky because they require higher leverage to achieve their returns.

Why is TQQQ not a good long-term investment? ›

TQQQ seeks daily returns that are three times those of the QQQ (before fees and expenses.) QQQ experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than TQQQ. Therefore, QQQ is best suited for long-term buy-and-hold investors, while TQQQ is better for active taders.

What is wrong with TQQQ? ›

Leveraged Returns: TQQQ's objective is to deliver three times the daily returns of the NASDAQ-100 Index, making it a leveraged product. While this can magnify gains during bullish market conditions, it also amplifies losses during downturns.

What is the biggest risk of leveraged ETF? ›

The two major risks associated with leveraged ETFs are decay and high volatility. High volatility translates to high risk. Decay emanates from holding the ETFs for long periods.

Can TQQQ go to zero? ›

"They all go to 0 over time." "If you hold them for more than a few days, you will lose money." The 3x Long Nasdaq 100 ETF (TQQQ) was launched in February 2010, over 8 years ago. Since its inception, it has advanced 4,357%, versus a gain of 378% for the unleveraged Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ).

Can I lose all my money with leveraged ETFs? ›

Leveraged ETFs amplify daily returns and can help traders generate outsized returns and hedge against potential losses. A leveraged ETF's amplified daily returns can trigger steep losses in short periods of time, and a leveraged ETF can lose most or all of its value.

Is it good to invest in TQQQ? ›

TQQQ Signals & Forecast

The TQQQ ETF holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the ETF giving a more negative forecast for the stock.

Should I invest in TQQQ or QQQ? ›

The performance of an investment option is often one of the most critical aspects investors consider. TQQQ is a leveraged ETF that aims to generate 3x the performance of the Nasdaq 100 Index. As a result, since QQQ tracks the performance of the Nasdaq 100 index, we expect TQQQ to generate higher returns than QQQ.

What happens if you hold TQQQ for a year? ›

TQQQ is not designed for long term holding. TQQQ is essentially exposing yourself to 3X the risk. Putting $10K into TQQQ is like putting $30K into QQQ. And, due to the way the ETF works, it will underperform during sideways and down markets, sometimes significantly (like all of 2022).

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