What are negative interest rates? (2024)

  • Published

What are negative interest rates? (1)Image source, Getty Images

By Szu Ping Chan

Business reporter, BBC News

The Bank of England has taken another step towards adding negative interest rates to its crisis-fighting toolbox.

It's given High Street banks six months to be operationally ready for them.

Policymakers stressed that this did not mean that sub-zero borrowing costs were "imminent, or indeed in prospect".

But what exactly are negative interest rates? And could a world where savers are penalised and borrowers rewarded end up doing more harm than good?

What are negative interest rates?

The term "interest rates" is often used interchangeably with the Bank of England base rate.

Described as the "single most important interest rate in the UK", the base rate determines how much interest the Bank of England pays to financial institutions that hold money with it, and what it charges them to borrow.

High street banks also use it to determine how much interest they pay to savers, as well as what they charge people who take out a loan or mortgage.

The Bank of England usually lowers interest rates when it wants people to spend more and save less.

It cut them to a fresh low of 0.1% in March 2020 to try to stimulate the economy amid the coronavirus pandemic.

Image source, Getty Images

In theory, taking interest rates below zero should have the same effect. But in practice, it's a bit more complicated.

Why might this happen now?

The Bank of England's number one job is to keep prices across the economy rising steadily every year.

This is known as the Bank's inflation target, which is set at 2% by the government.

Inflation measures how quickly the cost of living is rising.

And, measured by the consumer prices index (CPI), it stood at 0.6% in December, up from 0.3% in November 2020.

While low inflation means prices aren't rising quickly, if it remains low for too long, bosses start factoring that into pay reviews.

This can then dampen consumer confidence and spending.

Central banks have been cutting interest rates to spur inflation for years. But as rates approached zero across the developed world, a handful went a step further.

Sweden, Switzerland, Japan and the 19 nations of the eurozone all took interest rates below zero.

In Switzerland, negative interest rates have also helped to discourage investors from pouring money into the country during times of uncertainty.

How will this affect savers?

British savers have already seen their returns dwindle in recent years.

The average UK instant access account pays just 0.12%, according to the Bank of England, while accounts that require you to lock your money away currently offer an average return of 0.51%.

In countries with sub-zero interest rates, commercial banks have passed them on to big companies.

However, the evidence suggests there is a very high bar to pass the pain on to ordinary savers.

Christina Nyman, chief economist at Swedish lender Handelsbanken, says charging savers to put money in their own accounts is seen as "taboo" in Sweden.

She says: "Competition is fierce, and households are ready to move their money to another bank, so nobody wants to lose business."

Swiss banks UBS and Credit Suisse only impose negative rates on deposits of more than 2 million Swiss francs.

In Germany, where some banks impose charges on deposits of more than €100,000 (£90,000), some people have started stashing their money in vaults.

Image source, Getty Images

According to Germany's central bank, physical cash holdings by families and businesses there have almost trebled to €43.4bn since the European Central Bank (ECB) introduced a negative deposit rate in 2014.

But David Oxley at Capital Economics says there hasn't been a wider shift towards cash because most people still prefer the security and convenience of keeping it in the bank.

Putting it in a vault "runs the risk of the money either being lost, stolen, or damaged," he says. "Bank deposits cannot catch fire, but banknotes can."

  • What is the UK's inflation rate?
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What about borrowers?

Negative rate mortgages already exist. In 2019, Danish bank Jyske announced that it would effectively pay borrowers 0.5% a year to take out a 10-year loan.

James Pomeroy, an economist at HSBC, says this was only possible because of the nature of the mortgage market.

When someone in Denmark applies for a home loan, Danish banks act as a middleman between potential borrowers and investors.

"In Denmark the banks don't take the hit, investors do," says Mr Pomeroy. "Banks are then charging higher product fees, so have actually made money off of this."

But negative rate mortgages are unlikely to be offered in the UK any time soon.

When UK interest rates were slashed to 0.5% in March 2009, some borrowers thought they could be in line for a payment.

Around 1,500 Cheltenham and Gloucester customers had a mortgage that tracked 1.01 percentage points below the Bank of England base rate.

But any prospect of a windfall was quickly dashed when financial regulators described interest payments as "a one-way obligation on the borrower".

Image source, Matt Cardy

In a letter to UK bank bosses, Sam Woods, chief executive of the Prudential Regulation Authority (PRA), said some lenders would need up to 18 months to make permanent changes needed to deal with negative rates.

While "short-term fixes" could be implemented within six months, upgrading systems not built to deal with a negative Bank of England base rate would take longer, especially for some mortgage customers.

Banks said they would find it easier to explain and implement changes to big corporate clients, because many already had international experience with negative rates.

What are the side effects of negative interest rates?

Negative interest rates hit bank earnings by squeezing the gap between the money they make on loans and what they pay to savers.

"If not passed on to customers, negative rates would hurt bank profitability, especially at a time when they are expected to be hit by crisis-related loan losses," says Danae Kyriakopoulou, chief economist at the Official Monetary and Financial Institutions Forum (OMFIF).

Image source, Nationwide

Negative interest rates pose a particular challenge to building societies, which hold around £1 of every £5 in British savings accounts.

While commercial banks can access cheaper borrowing by tapping financial markets, building societies must raise at least half their funding from individual savers.

Related Topics

  • Economics
  • Personal finance
  • Personal debt
  • Inflation
  • UK economy
  • Bank of England

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What are negative interest rates? (2024)

FAQs

What are negative interest rates? ›

When inflation is 3 percent, and the interest rate on a loan is 2 percent, the lender's return after inflation is less than zero. In such a situation, we say the real interest rate—the nominal rate minus the rate of inflation—is negative.

Why did Japan have negative interest rates? ›

Negative interest rates are used by central banks to stimulate economic growth and combat deflation. In Japan, negative interest rates were an “extraordinary form of large-scale monetary easing that has continued for many years,” said Seisaku Kameda, the Executive Economist at the Sompo Institute Plus.

What is a negative interest rate in real life? ›

Even if the nominal rate is positive, real interest rates could be negative when inflation is higher. For example, if you earn 4% on your savings account but inflation is at 6%, you might be losing 2% of your purchasing power each year.

Are negative interest rates a good thing? ›

When interest rates are low – or even negative – financial firms are more likely to charge lower interest rates on loans to customers. Customers will then spend this money on goods and services, which helps boost growth in the economy and inflation. Lower interest rates also tend to lead to a lower exchange rate.

Did the US ever have negative interest rates? ›

In the early 2010s, the world's big three central banks - the BOJ, European Central Bank and U.S. Federal Reserve - all cut rates to rock-bottom. The Fed went no further, partly because its policymakers doubted U.S. law would permit a negative rates policy.

Which country has a negative interest rate? ›

Switzerland. Switzerland has one of the lowest interest rate policies of any country in the world, set at -0.75% for commercial banks who store their money with the central bank – the Swiss National Bank (SNB).

How does negative interest rates affect the economy? ›

Negative interest rates are used by central banks to increase borrowing in times of economic recession. By offering a negative interest rate, the central bank decreases the overall economy-wide cost of borrowing, aiming to increase economic activity through increased investment and consumption spending.

Why does Switzerland have negative interest rates? ›

The Swiss National Bank and the Danmarks Nationalbank explicitly introduced NIR to make their respective currencies less attractive and thus to dampen the appreciation pressure.

What are the disadvantages of negative interest rates? ›

Negative interest rates could squeeze profit margins to a level where risk/reward no longer make sense, resulting in reduced lending. If consumers start being charged interest to hold money in their bank account, there is nothing to stop them withdrawing all their cash and storing in their cupboard under the stairs.

What is the US real interest rate? ›

It reflects the rate of time preference for current goods over future goods and is calculated as the difference between the nominal interest rate and the inflation rate. The Federal Reserve. "Monetary Policy Report."

Do banks lose money on mortgages? ›

Lenders lose money on a loan when it's more expensive to produce the loan than the revenue it generates. To combat these losses, lenders started shedding personnel and lowering their origination costs.

Which country first had a negative interest rate? ›

Denmark was the first country to impose negative rates on deposits held by commercial banks in 2012. The European Central Bank (ECB) adopted a negative interest rate policy (NIRP) in 2014. Other European central banks followed in the ECB's footsteps.

What are the pros and cons of negative interest rates? ›

Negative rates fight deflation by making it more costly to hold onto money, incentivising spending. Theoretically, negative interest rates would make it less appealing to keep cash in the bank. But the big problem is instead of earning interest on savings, depositors could be charged a holding fee by the bank.

What is the highest interest rate ever in US? ›

Interest rates reached their highest point in modern history in October 1981 when they peaked at 18.63%, according to the Freddie Mac data. Fixed mortgage rates declined from there, but they finished the decade at around 10%.

Why was the US interest rate so high in 1980? ›

The fed funds rate has never been as high as it was in the 1980s. The main reason is because the Fed wanted to combat inflation, which soared in 1980 to its highest level on record: 14.6 percent.

What is the highest federal interest rate in US history? ›

The benchmark interest rate in the United States was last recorded at 5.50 percent. Interest Rate in the United States averaged 5.42 percent from 1971 until 2024, reaching an all time high of 20.00 percent in March of 1980 and a record low of 0.25 percent in December of 2008.

When did Japan use negative interest rates? ›

But due to lower international oil prices, it was unable to achieve this target and was forced to take further measures. Hence, in February 2016, the BOJ adopted a negative interest rate policy by massively increasing the money supply through purchasing long-term Japanese government bonds (JGB).

Why did Japan have deflation? ›

Sudden turnabout in Japanese monetary policy of 1989 was the main reason why the speculative bubbles on the Japanese stock exchange and housing market burst, starting deflationary processes in the economy. From that moment, the rates of inflation were lower and lower and eventually deflation appeared.

When did BOJ introduce negative interest rates? ›

The negative interest rates, introduced in February 2016, are a pillar of its unconventional monetary easing policies.

Why would there be negative interest rates? ›

At these times, central banks may resort to negative interest rates. The purpose of negative interest rates is to fight deflation, discourage people from hoarding their cash, and encourage lending by financial institutions.

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