Weekend Reading – Oops, they did it again (Bank of Canada) (2024)

Hi Again!

Welcome to a new Weekend Reading edition: Oops, they did it again (Bank of Canada) edition.

via GIPHY

You know I had to include this, ha.

First up, a few recent Weekend Reading articles in case you missed them!

Based on the market turning sour for 2022, is there a new safe withdrawal rate lower than 4% to consider?

Is there now a growing alternative to only investing in stocks?

Weekend Reading – Oops, they did it again (Bank of Canada)

You know, I just put this Britney Spears song on loop in my head all weekend…

On Wednesday this week, The Bank of Canada (BoC) announced another modest increase in its key interest rate, continuing a torrid climb upwards in monetary policy. Higher interest rates are however, a necessary evil.

Here’s how we got here, key milstones in bold:

  • October 2018 – the rate was 1.75%. Very low in fact, and it remained unchanged until COVID hit us all.
  • March 4, 2020 – the BoC cut its key interest rate by half a percentage point to 1.25% triggered by pandemic concerns; days before the World Health Organization declared a global pandemic.
  • March 13, 2020 – the BoC lowered lending to 0.75% – it was an unscheduled announcement (which is rare).
  • March 27, 2020 another key interest rate occured, to 0.25%, a record low; when quantitative easing (i.e., central bank buys government bonds) occurred to stimulate the economy as the pandemic spread.
  • October 2021/Fall 2021 – Not that we were out of the pandemic woods, by any stretch, but signs were indicating that our central bank would eventually raise rates – people were put on notice.
  • March 2, 2022 – after freezing the interest rate for almost two years, a slight bump in rates occurred to 0.50%, that included more hints that rates would eventually go higher.
  • April 13, 2022 – another rate hike was made, by a half a percentage point to a full 1%.
  • June 1, 2022 – the hints were over (!), the BoC raised its key interest rate by another half of a percentage point to 1.5%.
  • July 13, 2022 – this summer, rates were pumped higher again by a full percentage point, marking the largest single rate hike since August 1998 from what I know about…
  • Sept. 7, 2022 – and the fun keeps going….The Bank of Canada rose its key interest rate by another 0.75% bringing the tally up to 3.25% and highlighted there is even more to come!
  • Oct. 26, 2022 – and oops, they did it again…another raise, this time, 50 basis points. Nailed it!

Weekend Reading – Oops, they did it again (Bank of Canada) (1)

Through all this interest rate noise of course, it is frustrating to hear political leaders vent about inflation and do what they do best – make things political.

One particular political leader was recently quoted in saying:

“The inflation target alone can’t be the mandate. It should also consider maximum employment.”

Sure, I guess.

But the primary mandate of The Bank of Canada is actually monetary policy. I’m not making that up. It’s actually readily accessible information:

Weekend Reading – Oops, they did it again (Bank of Canada) (2)

Source: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/publications/annual-reports-quarterly-financial-reports/annual-report-2020/mandate-and-planning/

No doubt more political drama will ensue as politicians continue to argue over what is or is not a “self-inflicted recession”.I recently wrote about some things you might want to consider, what I’m considering for sure, to navigate this next recession cycle.

More Weekend Reading…

Rob Carrick shared some great Canadian dividend paying stocks – ready for the taking yielding over 6% (subscribers only). The usual suspects are there: Canadian banks, pipelines, telcos and insurance companies. I liked his summary:

“Still, all the stocks mentioned above have increased their dividends over the past five years by annualized rates that range from 10 per cent for AQN to 4.2 per cent for CM. If you’re going to buy stocks on sale, a record of dividend growth is a good place to start your research.

Very much aligned to Beat the TSX stocks for 2022 in fact.

Dale Roberts with MoneySense wrote about the ultimate guide to the couch potato portfolio.

Joe from Retire by 40 shared his cost of living – how much does it cost to live a modest lifestyle?

Although Joe’s math is in U.S. dollars, he arrives at a number most Canadians could probably retire on, just fine, once all debts are paid off of course. I profiled that monthly spend number in this retirement case study below:

How much do you need to retire on $6,000 per month?

As a follow-up to the TINA vs. TARA Weekend Reading post above, what asset class is more attractive now? Stocks or bonds? A Wealth of Common Sense shares some thoughts.

Dividend Growth Investor, one of my favourite U.S. sites, shared the list of U.S. dividend aristocrats as of October 2022.Check out his post for the impressive return history as well:

Weekend Reading – Oops, they did it again (Bank of Canada) (3)

Source: Dividend Growth Investor.

Kudos to Our Life Financial with this impressive September 2022 dividend income update:

  • “Total dividends received for September $3,451.19
  • This works out to $115.04 every day (even on weekends) or when compared to a 9-5 job that’s $21.57/hr
  • It’s an increase of almost 52% over last September
  • We’ve earned a total of $26,873 in dividends this year which is 77% of our $35,000 goal”

Dividend Daddy is an inspiration, not just because he went to Italy recently (nice pics):

  • “I earned $155.41 every day from dividends ($4,662.42 / 30 days).
  • I earned $26.49 per hour from dividends (assuming a 9-5pm job).
  • I earned $6.48 every hour of every day of the month from dividends.”

A reminder like Our Life Financial, like Dividend Daddy and many other dividend investors, I own many dividend stocks that rock and you can too! You can take advantage of my deep lifetime discount with Dividend Stocks Rock (DSR). Head on over to the top of my Deals pageandto save awhopping 33%on your DSR subscription– making sure you only own dependable dividend growers and performers during any market cycle.

I’m off to the Ottawa REDBLACKS game today, and taking in an Ottawa 67s hockey game this weekend too.

Have a great weekend!

Mark

Mark

Weekend Reading – Oops, they did it again (Bank of Canada) (4)

My name is Mark Seed - the founder, editor and owner of My Own Advisor. As my own DIY financial advisor, I'm looking to start semi-retirement soon, sooner than most. Find out how, what I did, and what you can learn to tailor your own financial independence path. Join the newsletter read by thousands each day, always FREE.

Weekend Reading – Oops, they did it again (Bank of Canada) (2024)

FAQs

What is the Bank of Canada rate prediction for 2024? ›

The predictions range from a decrease of 25 basis points (0.25%) to a total drop of around 100 basis points (1.00%) by year-end. The next Bank of Canada rate announcement is on June 5th, 2024, and could be a turning point. Market expectations lean towards a potential decrease of 25 basis points.

What is the next Bank of Canada rate announcement? ›

The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is June 5, 2024. The Bank will publish its next full outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, in the MPR on July 24, 2024.

What is the current interest rate in Canada? ›

The prime rate in Canada today, May 4, 2024, is currently 7.2%. The prime rate, also known as the prime lending rate, is the annual interest rate Canada's major banks and financial institutions use to set interest rates for variable loans and lines of credit, including variable-rate mortgages.

Will the Bank of Canada cut interest rates? ›

Canadian Interest Rate Cut Expectations

a 68% chance of a 0.25% drop in interest rates in Canada by June 2024, a 33% chance of a 0.50% drop by September 2024, a 61% chance of a 0.75% drop by March 2025, and.

What is the Bank of Canada rate forecast for 2025? ›

By the end of next year, it predicts interest rates will be roughly half of what they are now. That reduction would put the Bank of Canada's key overnight rate — currently at five per cent — at 2.5 per cent by the end of 2025, according to Desjardins' forecast.

What will cash rate be in 2024? ›

At its February 2024 meeting, the Reserve Bank Board decided to leave the cash rate target unchanged at 4.35 per cent. This decision supports progress of inflation to the midpoint of the 2–3 per cent target range within a reasonable timeframe and continued moderate growth in employment.

Will Bank of Canada lower interest rates in 2024? ›

Officials at the central bank signalled that they still expect to cut their key interest rate three times in 2024 despite signs that inflation remained surprisingly high at the start of the year. Yet they foresee fewer rate cuts in 2025, and they slightly raised their inflation forecasts.

Is Canada in a recession? ›

Canadian economy not in recession, but 2023 was one of its weakest recent years. The Canadian economy expanded at an annualized rate of one per cent in the fourth quarter as high interest rates weighed on growth, but not enough to push the economy into a recession.

Where can I get 7 percent interest? ›

As of May 2024, no banks are offering 7% interest rates on savings accounts. Two credit unions have high-interest checking accounts: Landmark Credit Union Premium Checking with 7.50% APY and OnPath Credit Union High Yield Checking with 7.00% APY.

Which Canadian Bank has the best savings interest rate? ›

Top HISA rates in Canada
Savings AccountInterest RateInsurance
Manulife Bank Advantage Accountup to 5.75%*CDIC
MAXA Financial High Interest Savings Account3.60%Deposit Guarantee Corporation of Manitoba
Meridian Credit Union High interest savings account2.25%Financial Services Regulatory Authority of
19 more rows
6 days ago

Who has the highest interest rates in Canada? ›

More High Interest Savings Rates
Bank/Credit UnionAccountRate
Canadian Tire BankHigh Interest Savings3.70%
Hubert FinancialHappy Savings3.60%
Ideal SavingsIdeal Savings3.60%
MAXA FinancialMAXA Savings3.55%
5 more rows

Who has the best interest rates in Canada? ›

Best high-interest savings account rates in Canada
High-interest savings account (HISA)HISA rate
Maxa Financial High-Interest Savings3.60%
Motive Savvy Savings Account4.10%
Neo Money4.00%
Saven Financial High Interest Savings Account4.20%
6 more rows

What is the Bank of Canada prime rate today? ›

What is Canada's prime rate today? The Prime rate in Canada is currently 7.20%. The Prime rate is the interest rate that banks and lenders use to determine the interest rates for many types of loans and lines of credit.

Is the Bank of Canada likely to lead the US Fed in rate cuts? ›

Analysts and economists have said that the BoC is likely to lead the Federal Reserve in rate cuts as the countries have diverging economic data, with the current U.S. economic resilience not trickling into Canada, despite three-fourths of its international trade being dependent on its bigger neighbor.

Will interest rates continue to increase in Canada? ›

According to the Central Bank of Canada, it could take until summer 2024 for inflation to settle below 3%, and until 2026 for the prime interest rate to drop to its 'neutral rate'. In other words, there will not likely be a sharp drop in Central Bank rates but a gradual drop over 2 years.

Will interest rates drop in 2024 in Canada? ›

The Bank, aiming to balance economic growth and inflation, is expected to adjust this rate as economic conditions evolve. Predictions suggest a potential decrease in the key interest rate starting in the second half of 2024, with gradual reductions thereafter​.

How high will interest rates go in 2024? ›



All told, Fannie Mae predicts mortgage rates will average 6.6% in 2024 and 6.1% in 2025.

Will interest rates still be high in 2024? ›

The Federal Reserve announced at its May 2024 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting that it would maintain the overnight federal funds rate at the current range of 5.25% to 5.5%.

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