Warren Buffett: Gambling on stocks is a losing investment bet (2024)

Adam Shell|USA TODAY

Warren Buffett has a message for Main Streetinvestors: Treating the stock market like a casino is a bad bet.

The CEO and chairman of Berkshire Hathaway warns thatwagering on stocks with borrowed money orloading up on exotic investments is akin to gambling.Investing in well-run companies whose products generate strong sales and profits is a better long-term investment strategy than a get-rich-quick approach.

“A lot of people like to gamble in the stock market,” the billionaire investor, whor*leased his closely watched annual letter to shareholders over the weekend,said Monday in an interview with CNBC. “It is insane.To risk starting all over again and losing everything is madness."

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Buffett's comments come amid a volatile period for the stock market, including its first 10% plunge in two years this month. The bull market, which turns 9 next month, has helpedthe Dow Jones industrial average quadruple in value since March 2009.

Signs of investors treating Wall Street like a Las Vegas casino are cropping up more frequently.

At the end of January, investors had a record $665.7 billion in borrowed money, or "margin debt," invested in all sorts of securities, according to the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority. The risk, FINRA says, is if the price of an investment bought on margin plunges, investors might have to raise cash to meet the minimum balance requirements in their brokerage accounts. These so-called "margin calls" often result in forced selling of stocks by investors to get the needed cash.

"There's no reason to borrow money against stocksunless you are in a hurry to get rich and willing to go broke," Buffett said.

Another sign of investors taking more risk, Buffett said, is the mania surrounding digital currencies such as bitcoin and the buying of "super-charged" index funds that bet on things such as market volatility, rather than a company such asApple that sells in-demand products andearns sizable profits.

"There are ways to get rich slowly," Buffett said.

He said investors must realizethat it's impossible to predict what will happen in markets or the worldand that the only way to survive bad times is to invest in companies that are strong enough to weather catastrophic events.

Even though Berkshire Hathawayhas $116 billion in cash available for investment, Buffett says his disciplined approach keeps him and his company out of danger.

The Oracle of Omaha shared other investment tidbits:

Buying stocks is a good deal

While Buffett thinks the market for acquisitions —or buying entire companies —is too pricey, investors canpurchasecompany sharesat much better prices, he said.

The reason: When purchasing a company, the buyer normally pays a “premium” price to get a deal done. The price of the actual stock has no such premium built in, the famed value investor said.

Don't count on dividend payout

While Buffett is sitting on a pile of cash, he downplayed, as he always does, the chances of Berkshire giving back some of the cash to shareholders viaa one-time cash dividend or by startinga regular dividend payout. Berkshire doesn't pay dividends.Buying back Berkshire shares is a more likely use of the extra cash, Buffett said.

He noted that once you pay a regular dividend, shareholders think you will "pay it forever." In contrast, buybacks, he said, boostsa firm's earnings per share, which "provides ongoing benefits to shareholders."

Buffett did say that he may lower the bar for stock buybacks. Currently, he won't buy backshares until the conglomerate's stock is trading at 1.2 times its price-to-book value, which is below the current 1.6 times book and way cheaper than the 3.4 times book the broad market tradesat, according to Cathy Seifert, an analyst at CFRA, a Wall Street research firm. Buffett said he may consider boosting the threshold to 1.27 times book value, which moves Berkshire closer to a buyback program.

How to create 'income' with Berkshire shares

Even without a dividend payout, Buffett said there’s a way for investors to generate income off of their Berkshire stockholdings.

"You can sell a little piece of Berkshire each year and still end up owning more of it," notingthat shares typically rise in value each year. "It's the equivalent of a dividend."

Warren Buffett: Gambling on stocks is a losing investment bet (2024)

FAQs

What does Warren Buffett say about gambling? ›

Remember this key 'fact of financial life'—and you'll avoid gambling in the market. For the speculators that are using the stock market like a casino, Buffett had one main tip: Remember who is really making money from your gambling—the House. “One fact of financial life should never be forgotten,” he wrote.

Is gambling considered an investment explain your answer? ›

Investing is the act of committing capital to an asset like a stock, with the expectation of generating income or profit. Gambling, on the other hand, is wagering money on an uncertain outcome, that statistically is likely to be negative. A gambler owns nothing, while an investor owns a share of the underlying company.

What does Warren Buffett say about investing in the stock market? ›

Investors should watch out for institutions that are encouraging “foolishness” and keep in mind that rash, frenzied trading behavior helps their bottom line, not yours, Buffett said. If you invest too much of your money in a volatile individual stock, it's easy to get burned.

Is investing in stocks any better than gambling? ›

Investing can result in a gain as much as it can a loss and it's usually done over the short or long term. The money you invest usually gets you ownership of an asset, such as a bond, stock, or bank account. Gambling, on the other hand, almost always results in a loss and is generally a short-lived activity.

Is the stock market glorified gambling? ›

However, institutional investors do tend to have more knowledge, as these are large companies with numerous analysts specialising in a particular market. Still, the stock market is not entirely comparable to a casino. Indeed, with gambling, it is the case that you cannot predict it at all, nor explain it afterwards.

Has anyone become a millionaire from gambling? ›

Yes, gambling can make you rich. You've probably seen articles in the media about gamblers who struck it big and made themselves rich in the process. Some of these gamblers won life changing sums of money. For example one sports bettor won nearly £1 million from just a £10 accumulator bet!

Is day trading just gambling? ›

Gambling vs. Day Trading. The main difference between day trading and gambling is that gamblers play available odds while traders strategize based on market trends, price movements, and past performances.

What percent of people lose money trading stocks? ›

It's a shocking statistic — approximately 90% of retail investors lose money in the stock market over the long run. With the rise of commission-free trading apps like Robinhood, more people than ever are trying their hand at stock picking.

Is gambling a good way to make money? ›

Key Takeaways. Gambling is not a good alternative for earning extra cash. Each game you play at a casino has a statistical probability against you winning. Slot machine odds are some of the worst, ranging from a one-in-5,000 to one-in-about-34-million chance of winning the top prize when using the maximum coin play.

What is the Warren Buffett 70/30 rule? ›

A 70/30 portfolio is an investment portfolio where 70% of investment capital is allocated to stocks and 30% to fixed-income securities, primarily bonds.

What is Warren Buffett's number one rule? ›

Buffett is seen by some as the best stock-picker in history and his investment philosophies have influenced countless other investors. One of his most famous sayings is "Rule No. 1: Never lose money.

What did Warren Buffett invest in to get rich? ›

His fortune is largely tied to his investment company.

The vast majority of Buffett's net worth is tied to Berkshire Hathaway, his publicly traded conglomerate that owns businesses like Geico and See's Candies and holds multibillion-dollar stakes in companies like Apple and Coca-Cola.

What is better than gambling? ›

But gambling is typically a short-lived activity, while investing can last a lifetime. Also, gamblers can expect a negative return, on average and over the long run. On the other hand, investing in the stock market typically carries with it a positive expected return on average and over the long run.

Should Christians invest in the stock market? ›

What Paul says in 1 Corinthians 10:31 can be applied to the stock market. There Paul said, “So, whether you eat or drink, or whatever you do, do all to the glory of God.” Certainly, investing in the stock market falls under “or whatever you do.” If you can do it to the glory of God, then do it.

What is more profitable than stocks? ›

You can make a much higher return using options, but you run the risk of a complete loss if you're wrong. Options can allow you to generate income. Some stockholders sell call options against their stock positions or write put options as a way to create income.

What did Einstein say about gambling? ›

Albert Einstein supposedly once said: “No one can win at roulette unless he steals money from the table while the croupier isn't looking.”

Why do wealthy people gamble? ›

Research shows that people with comparatively higher incomes are more tolerant of risk, and more drawn to thrill seeking and risk-taking activities. Studies also find them to have a more optimistic outlook when it comes to predicting outcomes. This aligns with gambling behavior.

Are there any billionaire gamblers? ›

Bill Benter - $1.55 Billion

Benter was only 22 years old when he left university, moved to Las Vegas, and started playing blackjack. With his interest and skill in gambling mathematics, he was able to beat the odds at winning blackjack hands, helping him become one of the richest gamblers in the world today.

What is the golden rule of gambling? ›

Rule 1: Do not gamble with money you cannot afford to lose.

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