Want to survive the crypto winter? Start by inspiring regulatory confidence | TechCrunch (2024)

Only the strong will survive the avalanche of bankruptcies, layoffs and volatility now cascading through the crypto sector.

Investors burned by flimsy promises or forced to panic-sell digital assets will want evidence that companies have undergone proper licensing and due diligence. Customers who buy, sell, borrow or loan crypto will want to rest easy knowing their assets won’t be lost. Prospective buyers, lenders, partners and employees will demand similar assurances.

The crypto winter won’t last forever, but the table stakes for market entry have changed. Federal and state agencies are ramping up their enforcement efforts, legislators are putting forth new proposals and state agencies are setting rules of their own.

To seize new opportunities and stay competitive as the seasons change, regulatory clarity will be key. Answering two key questions can help lay the groundwork.

The crypto winter won’t last forever, but the table stakes for market entry have changed.

Is my digital asset going to be considered a security?

Chances are, your digital asset is one of two things: a security (i.e., a financial instrument, like a stock or bond, that represents value) or a commodity (i.e., a basic good that is interchangeable with goods of the same type).

At present, the Securities & Exchange Commission (SEC) essentially considers every digital asset aside from Bitcoin and Ethereum to be a security. Though the Commodities and Futures Trade Commission (CFTC) and many others might disagree — and proposed bipartisan legislation would effectively put most digital assets under the CFTC’s jurisdiction — critics say the CFTC isn’t equipped to manage the workload and has significantly less experience than the SEC, which nearly doubled the size of its crypto assets and cyber unit earlier this year.

For now, at least, most companies would do well to assume that their digital asset will be viewed as a security. And they should therefore register it with the SEC.

Some will continue to argue that their cryptocurrency or NFT is merely a “utility token” that can only be used within a closed ecosystem (e.g., as a ticket to specific events/access in the metaverse, to buy upgrades to particular NFTs, etc.), and therefore is not something that has value as a wider financial instrument. Yet, the bar for qualifying as such is growing ever higher, as outlined in the SEC’s 2019 guidance, which argues that a digital token will be a security so long as there is “an investment of money in a common enterprise with a reasonable expectation of profits to be derived from the efforts of others.”

Though registering and filing with the SEC can be costly and burdensome, the potential alternative could be far more expensive: facing a fine and enforcement action. While most in the industry would prefer common sense rule-making, the SEC is currently leading by enforcement. So if the SEC considers your digital asset to be a security, you probably should too.

Even if your asset is not a security, it does not mean that it will not be regulated. If it is considered a commodity, it will be regulated by the CFTC. If your digital asset can be used as a form of payment, you may be considered a Money Services Business and will be regulated by the Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (FinCEN), along with regulators in every state within which you transact with customers.

In light of these considerations, it might be useful to consider whether registering with the SEC is the better choice, because at the very least it provides a modicum of regulatory certainty. Moreover, it may serve to inspire confidence in potential investors, customers and counterparties.

Are you aware of other regulatory vulnerabilities?

Federal and state regulators are also renewing their focus on crypto, including:

  • The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) has said that movement on its own crypto regulations will likely happen this year, particularly with regard to stablecoins. In May, the agency also released an enforcement memo addressing deceptive claims of federal deposit insurance related to crypto assets. Executives marketing such products should take note.
  • The Federal Trade Commission (FTC) is concerned about the growing number of scammers in the crypto market. In a June report, the agency found that nearly 50,000 people have reported losses of over $1 billion in crypto to scams — more than any other payment method.
  • State financial regulators, commentors say, may move forward with standards of their own, such as liquidity requirements as a condition for crypto trading platforms to obtain an operating license. These regulators can move faster than the federal government.

For example, New York’s Department of Financial Services requires all virtual currency businesses to apply for a BitLicense. Their scope is broad: Even if you’re looking to launch digital assets in crypto-friendly states like Wyoming, a BitLicense may be necessary if you’re conducting business in New York.

The path forward

Though the industry already looks to be on the road to recovery, gone are the days where a splashy white paper or initial coin offering can take off without further examination. In the months to come, the focus will likely turn to crypto infrastructure applications, management solutions and security tools.

This pivot reflects the concerns investors, customers, lenders, regulators and mainstream corporations have with the budding industry. It also underscores the importance of providing these stakeholders with regulatory assurances. That starts with understanding the various agencies, frameworks, rules and enforcement actions now in play, as well as implementing professional management teams, effective internal policies and procedures, and comprehensive data privacy controls.

Today’s weather may be harsh, but the next phase of crypto is coming. Those who can inspire regulatory confidence will be better positioned to be on its leading edge.

Want to survive the crypto winter? Start by inspiring regulatory confidence | TechCrunch (2024)

FAQs

Want to survive the crypto winter? Start by inspiring regulatory confidence | TechCrunch? ›

Want to survive the crypto winter? Start by inspiring regulatory confidence. Today's weather may be harsh, but the next phase of cyrpto is coming. Those who can inspire regulatory confidence will be better positioned to be on its leading edge.

How long will crypto winter last? ›

A crypto winter is loosely defined as an extended period when cryptocurrency prices move lower, combined with a decrease in overall trading volume. They can last months or even years.

What caused the crypto winter? ›

The causes of a crypto winter can be many and varied. It can be due to a lack of regulatory clarity, a decrease in interest from institutional investors, or simply a result of market saturation.

What is the opposite of a crypto winter? ›

A crypto winter is similar to a bear market in stocks. Crypto bear markets are when the decline in the value of cryptocurrencies is ongoing. It's the opposite of the bull market, which is a period when asset prices rise.

What is the winter in digital currency? ›

A crypto winter is caused by a decline in the value of cryptocurrency assets and trading volume over a period. There are many different causes for why the value of cryptocurrencies decline leading to a crypto winter.

Is crypto winter over 2024? ›

No. Crypto is far from dead in 2024. Since Bitcoin began in 2009, every year someone has predicted the downfall of crypto, but despite all the adversity faced throughout the so-called crypto winter, the market has bounced back, with Bitcoin reaching a historic high of more than $73,000 in March 2024.

What's the worst month for crypto? ›

The largest crypto token (BTCUSD) is down 14.4% in April to date, and on pace for its worst monthly performance since November 2022, when it fell 16.1%, according to Dow Jones Market Data. Bitcoin was trading slightly above $60,000 on Tuesday, off more than 18% from its record high of $73,798 reached in March.

What to expect from crypto in 2024? ›

The cryptocurrency market has witnessed a remarkable trajectory of growth, with projections indicating a leap from $51.5 billion in 2024 to $71.7 billion by 2028. This represents a compound annual growth rate of 8.62%, showcasing the burgeoning interest and investment in digital currencies.

Can crypto fall to zero? ›

If a crypto goes to zero, it means that its value has dropped to zilch, and there is no market demand for it. The fall in value can happen due to various reasons, such as a lack of adoption, security vulnerabilities, regulatory issues, or the asset simply going out of favor with investors.

How much will 1 ethereum be worth in 2030? ›

By the end of 2030, the predicted Ethereum price could soar to a peak of $26,575.21. The current price of 1 Ethereum is $ 2,945.50003921.

Is crypto winter real? ›

A crypto winter, for the record, is a fairly loose term. It's often used the same way “bear market” refers to a decline in stock values. But unlike bear markets, which have to meet specific parameters to be called that, a crypto winter broadly just means a period of lower cryptocurrency prices.

Are we still in a crypto winter? ›

Depending on when it is that you're reading this, many would agree that, yes, we still are in a crypto winter as of mid-2023. However, since not all price declines in the market qualify as a crypto winter, the severity and duration of the decline must be significant enough to warrant the term.

Is crypto making a comeback? ›

This resurgence comes on the heels of a challenging period in 2022 when Bitcoin's value plummeted during a widespread market meltdown. Since November 2022, Bitcoin has defied expectations, enjoying a price surge of more than 300% and lifting the value of other cryptocurrencies too.

Is the US going to a digital dollar? ›

U.S. President Joe Biden ordered officials to look into a digital dollar in 2022 but it has become a divisive political issue with Biden's Republican rival in this year's U.S. election race, Donald Trump, vowing not to allow it.

Is Bank of America going to digital currency? ›

Central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) are coming, but a digital dollar is unlikely in the near term, Bank of America (BAC) said in a report on Monday.

Will digital currency replace cash? ›

Will a U.S. CBDC replace cash or paper currency? The Federal Reserve is committed to ensuring the continued safety and availability of cash and is considering a CBDC as a means to expand safe payment options, not to reduce or replace them.

What year will crypto boom again? ›

“Looking into 2024 and beyond, I'm personally very long-term bullish on bitcoin,” Sciberras says, citing the macroeconomic backdrop, April's halving event and the improved development of scalability within the Lightning network as well as BTC spot ETFs. However, bitcoin's future isn't without potential hurdles.

How long will this crypto cycle last? ›

"This bitcoin bull cycle — which kicked into gear earlier because of the January approval of the spot ETFs — might well be shorter and more explosive, culminating in a peak in late 2024 or early 2025," Trenchev added.

Will crypto go back up in 2024? ›

Our most recent Bitcoin price forecast indicates that its value will increase by 12.25% and reach $73,920 by May 17, 2024.

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