US raises interest rates despite banking turmoil (2024)

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US raises interest rates despite banking turmoil (1)Image source, Getty Images

By Natalie Sherman

Business reporter, New York

The US central bank has raised interest rates again, despite fears that the move could add to financial turmoil after a string of bank failures.

The Federal Reserve increased its key rate by 0.25 percentage points, calling the banking system "sound and resilient".

But it also warned that fallout from the bank failures may hurt economic growth in the months ahead.

The Fed has been raising borrowing costs in a bid to stabilise prices.

But the sharp increase in interest rates since last year has led to strains in the banking system.

Two US banks - Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank - collapsed this month, buckling in part due to problems caused by higher interest rates.

Banks tend to hold large portfolios of bonds and as a result are sitting on significant potential losses. Falls in the value of bonds held by banks are not necessarily a problem unless they are forced to sell them.

Authorities around the world have said they do not think the failures threaten widespread financial stability and need to distract from efforts to bring inflation under control.

Last week, the European Central Bank raised its key interest rate by 0.5 percentage points.

The Bank of England is due to make its own interest rate decision on Thursday, a day after official figures showed that inflation unexpectedly shot up in February to 10.4%.

Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell said the Fed remained focused on its inflation fight. He described Silicon Valley bank as an "outlier" in an otherwise strong financial system.

But he acknowledged that the recent turmoil was likely to drag on growth, with the full impact still unclear.

Economic impact

Forecasts released by the bank show officials expect the economy to grow just 0.4% this year and 1.2% in 2024, a sharp slowdown from the norm - and less than officials projected in December.

The announcement from the Fed also toned down earlier statements which had said "ongoing" increases in interest rates would be needed in the months ahead.

Instead, the Fed said: "Some additional policy firming may be appropriate".

The moves "signal clearly that the Fed is nervous", said Ian Shepherdson, chief economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics.

Image source, Getty Images

Wednesday's rate rise is the ninth in a row by the Fed. It lifts its key interest rate to 4.75%-5%, up from near zero a year ago - the highest level since 2007.

Higher interest rates mean the cost to buy a home, borrow to expand a business or take on other debt goes up.

By making such activity more expensive, the Fed expects demand to fall, cooling prices.

That has started to happen in the US housing market, where purchases have slowed sharply over the last year and the median sales price in February was lower than it was a year ago - the first such decline in more than a decade.

But overall the economy has held up better than expected and prices continue to climb faster than the 2% rate considered healthy.

Inflation, the rate at which prices climb, jumped 6% in the 12 months to February. The cost of some items, including food and airfare, is surging even faster.

Before the bank failures, Mr Powell had warned that officials might need to push interest rates higher than expected to bring the situation under control.

The bank projections show policymakers expect inflation to fall this year - but less than expected a few months ago.

Still, they forecast interest rates of roughly 5.1% at the end of 2023 - unchanged since December - implying the Fed is poised to stop raising rates soon.

Mr Powell described the effect of the recent turmoil as the "equivalent of a rate hike".

He said the Fed may be able raise its key rate less aggressively, if the turmoil in the financial system prompts banks to limit lending, and the economy to slow more quickly.

But he repeated that the Fed would not shy away from its inflation fight.

"We have to bring down inflation down to 2%," he said. "There are real costs to bringing it down to 2% but the costs of failing are much higher."

Additional reporting by Annabelle Liang, BBC Business reporter.

Related Topics

  • US economy
  • US Federal Reserve
  • Jerome Powell
  • Economy

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US raises interest rates despite banking turmoil (2024)

FAQs

US raises interest rates despite banking turmoil? ›

The Federal Reserve increased its key rate by 0.25 percentage points, calling the banking system "sound and resilient". But it also warned that fallout from the bank failures may hurt economic growth in the months ahead. The Fed has been raising borrowing costs in a bid to stabilise prices.

Why did US raise interest rates? ›

The Fed raises interest rates to slow the amount of money circulating through the economy and drive down aggregate demand. With higher interest rates, there will be lower demand for goods and services, and the prices for those goods and services should fall.

Why are rising interest rates a problem for banks? ›

Besides loans, banks also invest in bonds and other debt securities, which lose value when interest rates rise. Banks may be forced to sell these at a loss if faced with sudden deposit withdrawals or other funding pressures.

What is the turmoil in the banking sector? ›

The March turmoil is a powerful reminder of the challenges posed by the interaction between tighter monetary and financial conditions and the buildup in vulnerabilities—challenges amplified by ineffective interest, liquidity, and credit risk management practices at some banks.

What is the people's main concern when the Federal Reserve raises interest rates? ›

Higher rates from the Fed also make it harder for borrowers to get approved for new loans. One of the reasons higher interest rates slow demand: They cut off households from the never-ending credit spigot.

Who benefits from higher interest rates? ›

As interest rates rise, the interest income from loans typically increases faster than the interest paid on deposits, leading to wider profit margins. Additionally, higher interest rates can boost the earnings of insurance companies and investment firms, as they often hold large portfolios of interest-sensitive assets.

Why do the feds keep raising rates? ›

To push unemployment down, the Fed runs wide-open, lowering interest rates and creating money. But to moderate inflation, the Fed does the opposite, raising interest rates and reducing the money supply.

Why do banks make more money when interest rates rise? ›

When interest rates are higher, banks make more money by taking advantage of the greater spread between the interest they pay to their customers and the profits they earn by investing. A bank can earn a full percentage point more than it pays in interest simply by lending out the money at short-term interest rates.

What banks are most at risk right now? ›

These Banks Are the Most Vulnerable
  • First Republic Bank (FRC) . Above average liquidity risk and high capital risk.
  • Huntington Bancshares (HBAN) . Above average capital risk.
  • KeyCorp (KEY) . Above average capital risk.
  • Comerica (CMA) . ...
  • Truist Financial (TFC) . ...
  • Cullen/Frost Bankers (CFR) . ...
  • Zions Bancorporation (ZION) .
Mar 16, 2023

Does the government make money off higher interest rates? ›

The Fed pays interest on reserves to banks and to other financial institutions that have, effectively, made deposits at the Fed. As long as the Treasury interest the Fed receives is greater than the interest the Fed pays, the Fed makes money. It spends some, and returns the balance to the Treasury.

What banks caused the financial crisis? ›

6 Some of the largest banks to fail were investment banks, including Lehman Brothers and Bear Stearns. JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, and Bank of America were all bailed out by the federal government and did not fail.

What happens if banking collapses? ›

Here's what typically happens. The FDIC announces that the bank is closed, and the FDIC is appointed as its receiver so it can help use the bank's assets to pay depositors and creditors. In most cases, the FDIC will try to find another banking institution to acquire the failed bank.

What are the three biggest bank failures? ›

List of largest bank failures in the United States
BankCityAssets at time of failure
Nominal
First Republic BankSan Francisco$229 billion
Silicon Valley BankSanta Clara$209 billion
Signature BankNew York$118 billion
77 more rows

Why are interest rates so high right now? ›

When inflation is running high, the Fed raises those short-term rates to slow the economy and reduce pressure on prices. But higher interest rates make it more expensive for banks to borrow, so they raise their rates on consumer loans, including mortgages, to compensate.

What are the disadvantages of increasing interest rates? ›

Higher interest rates tend to negatively affect earnings and stock prices (often with the exception of the financial sector). Changes in the interest rate tend to impact the stock market quickly but often have a lagged effect on other key economic sectors such as mortgages and auto loans.

Who benefits from low interest rates? ›

Low interest rates mean more spending money in consumers' pockets. That also means they may be willing to make larger purchases and will borrow more, which spurs demand for household goods. This is an added benefit to financial institutions because banks are able to lend more.

Do banks make more money when the Fed raises interest rates? ›

A rise in interest rates automatically boosts a bank's earnings. It increases the amount of money that the bank earns by lending out its cash on hand at short-term interest rates.

How does raising interest rates affect the US economy? ›

A higher interest rate environment can present challenges for the economy, which may slow business activity. This could potentially result in lower revenues and earnings for a corporation, which could be reflected in a lower stock price.

When did US interest rates start rising? ›

In March 2022, the Fed made its first interest rate increase since 2018, raising rates from 0% by 0.25% to a level of 0.25–0.50% Inflation peaked at 9.1% in June 2022. In July 2023, the Fed made its final 0.25% increase, bringing rates to 5.25–5.50%. The Fed funds rate has not been cut since then.

Why do interest rates rise with inflation? ›

When inflation is high, there is a significant increase in prices of goods and services. Central banks usually increase their interest rates to tackle inflation and this influences interest rates charged by commercial banks on your loans.

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