The U.S. is considering a radical rethinking of the dollar for today's digital world (2024)

A shopper pays with cash back in 2000 in Austin, Texas. Such transactions are less and less common and are likely to become more so if the Federal Reserve adopts a digital version of the dollar. Joe Raedle/Getty Images hide caption

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Joe Raedle/Getty Images

The U.S. is considering a radical rethinking of the dollar for today's digital world (2)

A shopper pays with cash back in 2000 in Austin, Texas. Such transactions are less and less common and are likely to become more so if the Federal Reserve adopts a digital version of the dollar.

Joe Raedle/Getty Images

Since its establishment as the country's national currency, the dollar has undergone many updates and changes, but nothing compares to the proposal being debated today.

The U.S. is gingerly considering whether to adopt a digital version of its currency, one better suited for today's increasingly cashless world, ushering in what could be one of the dollar's most fundamental transformations.

In that scenario, the U.S. would not only mint the coins and print paper bills but also issue digital cash, or a central bank digital currency (CBDC), that would be stored in apps or "digital wallets" on our smartphones.

We could then use them to pay for things, just like we do with Venmo or Apple Pay, and no physical money would change hands.

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It's a vision of a cashless future that other countries are already embracing. China, for example, has unveiled the digital yuan on a trial basis. India this week said it would create a digital rupee.

Now the U.S. is weighing whether it wants to get into the game.

Last month, the Federal Reserve released a much-anticipated paper, laying out the advantages and disadvantages of a digital currency.

The Fed says it's a first step, meant to kick-start an important conversation among policymakers and to gather feedback from average people to some of the country's largest financial institutions.

Here's what to know about the digital dollar.

Digital payment systems like Apple Pay, shown here, and Venmo are becoming increasingly popular. Jenny Kane/AP hide caption

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Jenny Kane/AP

The U.S. is considering a radical rethinking of the dollar for today's digital world (5)

Digital payment systems like Apple Pay, shown here, and Venmo are becoming increasingly popular.

Jenny Kane/AP

So, how would it actually work?

Policymakers stress these are early days yet, and there is a lot that needs to be hammered out. All in all, the transactions conducted with digital dollars probably wouldn't seem too different from existing private alternatives that allow us to pay for things by bringing our smartphones next to digital readers.

China, for example, allows digital yuan payments in the cities in which the country is piloting its digital currency, allowing citizens to make payments via an app set up by the government.

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Why pursue a digital currency?

Reducing or eliminating fees is one clear benefit.

When you make a contactless payment today, it may seem immediate, but according to Chris Giancarlo, the former chairman of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, a lot happens behind the scenes.

"My mobile device tells his mobile device to inform a whole series of banks, to confirm who I am, how much money is in my bank, that there is enough money to move from my bank to his bank," he says.

And at each step of the way, there are transaction fees. In 2020, they added up to more than $110 billion, which was generally shouldered by businesses.

With a digital dollar, you could in theory eliminate those middlemen. If you wanted to buy a sandwich, for instance, you could transfer money from a digital wallet directly to a cashier.

It wouldn't necessarily entirely eliminate nongovernment players. In China, for example, users who want to use the digital yuan can go to banks to add money to their digital wallets.

But just having digital dollars in circulation could put pressure on credit card companies and payment processors to lower fees to be competitive. That is, if enough people start using the Fed-run version.

In China, adoption of the e-renminbi has been slow given that private providers such as WeChat or Alipay are already pretty popular and entrenched.

Another argument for creating a digital dollar is to open up digital transactions to Americans who don't have bank accounts. According to the Fed, more than 5% of U.S. households are "unbanked."

Providing them with a digital wallet would allow people to participate in our increasingly cashless financial system.

It would also make it easier for the federal government to distribute benefits.. For example, having a digital dollar in place during the pandemic could have allowed the government to transfer relief payments directly into digital wallets.

The U.S. is considering a radical rethinking of the dollar for today's digital world (7)

The U.S. currency has undergone it share of changes over the centuries. This $8 Continental Currency paper note was issued by the Continental Congress to finance the Revolutionary War. After gaining independence, the U.S. adopted the dollar as its national currency. Public Domain / University of Notre Dame/U.S Currency Education Program/www.uscurrency.gov hide caption

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Public Domain / University of Notre Dame/U.S Currency Education Program/www.uscurrency.gov

What are the challenges?

Without question, one of the biggest issues is privacy. Because the Fed would implement and oversee the project, the central bank could accrue a vast amount of data, potentially giving it a lot more visibility into everyone's financial life.

That could be useful to regulators who want to combat money laundering, for example, but it would also raise serious privacy concerns.

That makes it critical to sort out how much information the Fed would have, according to Raghuram Rajan, a professor of finance at The University of Chicago Booth School of Business and a former governor of the Reserve Bank of India.

"There will be legitimate questions about how much the government knows about each individual, and also, how much it can act to restrain activities by individuals," he says.

Cybersecurity is another critical issue, especially given the uptick in hacks and heists at cryptocurrency exchanges.

To implement a digital dollar, the U.S. government would need to modernize the country's financial infrastructure to stave off attacks.

A digital version of the Chinese yuan is displayed during a trade fair in Beijing in September. China is among a handful of countries that are experimenting with national digital currencies. Ng Han Guan/AP hide caption

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Ng Han Guan/AP

The U.S. is considering a radical rethinking of the dollar for today's digital world (9)

A digital version of the Chinese yuan is displayed during a trade fair in Beijing in September. China is among a handful of countries that are experimenting with national digital currencies.

Ng Han Guan/AP

So what's next?

Fed Chair Jerome Powell and his colleagues are moving ahead cautiously and methodically.

The Fed is in the process of soliciting feedback from the public after releasing its paper last month. And last week, the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston released preliminary results of its ongoing research into the technological challenges associated with implementing a digital currency in the U.S.

It would take five to 10 years to introduce a digital currency in the U.S., several experts say, but they argue policymakers can't sit idly by.

There is concern that by moving slowly, the U.S. is letting other countries shape standards for national digital currencies, and the popularity of the dollar could be diminished.

After all, for decades, it has been the world's primary reserve currency, meaning many countries hold their reserves in U.S. dollars.

But Powell has made it clear he's in no hurry. Last year, a reporter asked the central banker whether he was worried the U.S. was falling behind countries like China.

"I think it's more important to do this right than to do it fast," he replied.

The U.S. is considering a radical rethinking of the dollar for today's digital world (2024)

FAQs

What happens if the US goes to digital dollar? ›

Critics claim the digital dollar, or any form of digital currency, would have major privacy and security concerns and could give the government unprecedented access to Americans' financial data. Digital currencies may also be more susceptible to cyberattacks or hacking than traditional payment methods.

Is the United States going to digital currency? ›

Is the US Going to Digital Dollar? As of June 2024, the US Federal Reserve has not decided to transition to a CBDC or supplement its existing monetary system with one. It is researching the effects a CBDC would have on the dollar, the US, and the global economy.

Will digital currency replace cash? ›

Will a U.S. CBDC replace cash or paper currency? The Federal Reserve is committed to ensuring the continued safety and availability of cash and is considering a CBDC as a means to expand safe payment options, not to reduce or replace them.

How to avoid digital dollars? ›

If you want to opt out of the digital-only dollar regime, consider buying bitcoin and physical gold. Bitcoin is a digital payments system. But unlike a CBDC, which hands even more power to central banks, bitcoin is decentralized. And if you self-custody your bitcoin using a digital wallet, no one can confiscate it.

What are the risks of a digital dollar? ›

While a CBDC does not offer any unique benefit to the American people, it does pose serious risks to financial privacy, freedom, markets, and cybersecurity. A CBDC is a digital national currency that is a liability of the central bank.

Should we get rid of cash? ›

For instance, using cash instead of credit or debit cards may help keep some people from overspending, because you can see how little is left in your wallet after every purchase. In short, getting rid of cash would impose hardships on society's most vulnerable people and could jeopardize our privacy.

Is cash becoming obsolete? ›

If it's been a long time since you pulled out actual dollars and coins to pay for something — here's a conversation for you. It might seem like cash is slowly becoming obsolete. But, Brett Scott says it's a false narrative that we're all pining for a cashless society.

What will replace US currency? ›

A future counterweight to the greenback could take a number of different forms, such as a central bank digital currency, a stablecoin, a basket of existing BRICS currencies or a currency backed by precious metals like gold and silver.

What is the point of a digital dollar? ›

Digital money streamlines financial infrastructure, making it cheaper and faster to conduct monetary transactions. It can also make it easier for central banks to implement monetary policy. Examples of types of digital money are central bank digital currencies, cryptocurrency, and stablecoins.

What are the pros and cons of US digital currency? ›

Pollina even lays out the advantages of a digital dollar, such as unbanked access, fraud resistance and quicker payments. There are many ongoing privacy and security risks, cyber threats and surveillance.

Who controls digital currency? ›

A central bank digital currency (CBDC) is a form of digital currency issued by a country's central bank. It is similar to cryptocurrencies, except that its value is fixed by the central bank and is equivalent to the country's fiat currency.

What happens if the US dollar goes digital? ›

Here in the U.S., if the Fed issued a digital dollar, that digital dollar would be substantially identical to the cash dollar and could be exchanged as such. The exchange rate would be constant, as they would be the same thing created by the same governmental mechanism.

Is the United States going to a cashless society? ›

Progress of cashless initiatives in key countries

The US is moving toward cashless payments, with a substantial increase in the use of mobile wallet apps and contactless cards. A report from the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco found that payments made using cash accounted for just 18% of all US payments in 2022.

What will happen if the US dollar is worthless? ›

A currency collapse is a severe and sudden decline in the value of a nation's currency, leading to economic instability, financial distress, and often political turmoil.

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