The Dip in 2024 Tax Refunds: Why It's Happening and How to Tweak Your W-4 (2024)

After two weeks of filing, IRS statistics showtax refunds are trending lower this year. The average tax refund so far is $1,741 -- a 13% drop from the average at this time last year, and a 46% drop from the $3,252 average for the total 2023 tax season.

It's always nice to receive a hefty check from the government, but a bigger tax refund might not be as great as it seems. After all, that tax refund check represents the money you overpaid the government throughout the previous year, and you could have gotten that money much earlier in larger paychecks.

This story is part of Taxes 2024, CNET's coverage of the best tax software, tax tips and everything else you need to file your return and track your refund.

Luckily, it's fairly simple to make your tax refund bigger or smaller each year: It takes just a few minutes, once you have the paperwork in hand. The IRS even bakes the process into one simple step on its tax forms.

Learn how to adjust your IRS W-4 tax form to change the size of your tax refund, and all of the factors you should consider before doing so. For more, learn whether your income from Social Security is taxableand our picks for the best tax software.

What is a W-4 form?

A W-4 form is a federal tax form from the IRS that lets your employer know how much money should be withheld from your paycheck for federal taxes. The IRS website says that taxpayers should "consider completing a new Form W-4 each year and when your personal or financial situation changes."

The W-4 form was revised for the 2020 tax season to "reduce the form's complexity and increase the transparency and accuracy of the withholding system." Withholding allowances -- or exemptions that reduced the amount withheld -- were eliminated and replaced by calculations of additional untaxed income and expected tax deductions.

How do I change my W-4 to get a bigger tax refund?

If you want to get more money back in your tax refund each year, you can designate that a larger amount of your paycheck is withheld. It's simple -- just enter the extra amount you want withheld from each paycheck on line 4(c) of your W-4 form. The line is marked "Extra withholding."

The Dip in 2024 Tax Refunds: Why It's Happening and How to Tweak Your W-4 (2)

Likewise, if you find yourself owing taxes to the IRS each year, adding the right amount of extra withholding via line 4(c) of your W-4 can reduce your tax burden to zero each year. Just divide the amount you usually pay in federal taxes by the number of paychecks you receive in a year to find out how much extra should be withheld each pay period.

While lending the IRS your money for 12 months or more at no interest might seem nuts to the financially disciplined, it's an undeniably bulletproof method of saving money. You might not be earning interest, but you're not spending it.

Why shouldn't I increase my withholding to get a bigger tax refund?

Quite simply, it's your money, and the IRS is holding onto it for up to a year with no interest. You could be spending that money, investing it to keep up with inflation or doing whatever the heck it is you want to do with that money … because it's yours!

While it's nice to get a big tax refund check in the spring, inflation is hovering around 3.9% right now. That means that your $1,000 from February 2023 will get you about $961 worth of stuff now, in February 2024. If you had put that money into a money-market fundor a high-yield savings account instead of letting the IRS hold it, you could be getting 5% interest and have $1,050 now instead.

How do I adjust my W-4 to get more money back in my paycheck?

As mentioned, the IRS eliminated withholding allowances in 2020, so withholding less money is no longer as simple as increasing the number of allowances on your W-4 form.

Also note that the US is a "pay as you go" tax system. You're not allowed to eliminate withholding completely and pay your tax burden each April -- there's a penalty for underpayment of taxes.

However, if you're getting a big tax refund every year and you'd rather have that money back sooner in your regular paycheck, you have some options, the biggest being deductions.

Take a look at your existing W-4 and your deductions from your last federal tax return. Increase the deductions amount on your W-4 form to meet the amount on your income tax returns. Make sure to look at student loan interest and IRA contributions, which are included in addition to your deductions estimation.

If you had no tax liability for the previous year, it's possible you might not have to pay any taxes at all in the current year. To declare yourself exempt from withholding, according to the IRS, you "must have had no tax liability for the previous year and must expect to have no tax liability for the current year."

If both conditions are true, per the IRS, write "Exempt" on Form W-4 in the space below Step 4(c). Complete steps 1(a), 1(b) and 5, then stop.

Also important, according to the IRS, the "Form W-4 claiming exemption from withholding is valid for only the calendar year in which it's furnished to the employer. To continue to be exempt from withholding in the next year, an employee must give you a new Form W-4 claiming exempt status by February 15 of that year."

On its website, the IRS provides a tax withholding estimator tool that can help you figure out how to adjust your W-4 form in order to pay more or less taxes during the year from your paycheck.

When can I adjust my W-4?

You can adjust your W-4 form any time that you would like. The IRS recommends checking your W-4 form once a year, but you should also update it upon certain events:

  • Birth of a child, or new dependent
  • Marriage or divorce
  • New job for you or your spouse
  • Purchase of a house or other major tax change

Your employer must implement your new W-4 info by the start of the first payroll period that ends on or after the 30th day after you submit an updated W-4.

Note: Talk to a tax expert to discuss your personal tax situation before adjusting your W-4 form. IRS local offices provide expert advice at various times via appointment.

For more, learnhow to set up an IRS account.

The Dip in 2024 Tax Refunds: Why It's Happening and How to Tweak Your W-4 (2024)

FAQs

Why did my federal withholding decrease in 2024? ›

For example, if you made $45,000 in 2023, you would have fallen into the 22% tax bracket for that tax year. But if your income remains at $45,000 in 2024, you'll drop down to the 12% bracket. That means you'll be on the hook for less federal tax next year and will have less money withdrawn from your paycheck.

Why is my refund so low in 2024? ›

You may be in line for a smaller tax refund this year if your income rose in 2023. Earning a lot of interest in a bank account could also lead to a smaller refund. A smaller refund isn't necessarily terrible, since it means you got paid sooner rather than loaning the IRS money for no good reason.

How to adjust W4 to get more money? ›

To receive a bigger refund, adjust line 4(c) on Form W-4, called "Extra withholding," to increase the federal tax withholding for each paycheck you receive. Tax withholding calculators help you get a big picture view of your refund situation by asking detailed questions.

Is there a new W4 for 2024? ›

The 2024 form is intended to be easier for employees to fill out and to accurately tell their employers how much federal income tax they want withheld from their pay.

Did federal withholding change in 2024? ›

Your new year paycheck might have different withholding amounts for federal taxes. Effective Jan 1 2024, IRS has updated the federal tax brackets. The rates remain at 0%, 10%, 12%, 22%, 24%, 32%, 35%, or 37% but the ranges have been adjusted for inflation.

Will I get more tax refunds in 2024? ›

So far in 2024, the average federal income tax refund is $2,850, an increase of 3.5% from 2023. It's not entirely unexpected: To adjust for inflation, the IRS raised both the standard deduction and tax brackets by about 7%.

What is the average tax refund for $75000? ›

Which income bracket got the biggest refund?
Income levelAverage refund% of income
$25,000 to $49,999$2,845.815.7% to 11.4%
$50,000 to $74,999$2,830.103.8% to 5.7%
$75,000 to $99,999$3,347.693.3% to 4.5%
$100,000 to $199,999$4,436.362.2% to 4.4%
3 more rows

Will my 2024 tax refund be lower? ›

Bigger tax refunds in 2024

Through the end of February, tax refunds are about 4% higher than last year – although they are still below the recent high of $3,473 in 2022, when pandemic benefits bolstered the typical refund check. All data reflects average tax refunds through the end of February for each year.

How do I adjust my W4 to get less refund? ›

Change Your Withholding
  1. Complete a new Form W-4, Employee's Withholding Allowance Certificate, and submit it to your employer.
  2. Complete a new Form W-4P, Withholding Certificate for Pension or Annuity Payments, and submit it to your payer.
  3. Make an additional or estimated tax payment to the IRS before the end of the year.
Jan 30, 2024

Is it better to claim 1 or 0? ›

By placing a “0” on line 5, you are indicating that you want the most amount of tax taken out of your pay each pay period. If you wish to claim 1 for yourself instead, then less tax is taken out of your pay each pay period.

What should you claim on W4 to get the most money back? ›

If you want to get more money back in your tax refund each year, you can designate that a larger amount of your paycheck is withheld. It's simple -- just enter the extra amount you want withheld from each paycheck on line 4(c) of your W-4 form. The line is marked "Extra withholding."

Why do I owe taxes if I claim 0? ›

If you claimed 0 and still owe taxes, chances are you added “married” to your W4 form. When you claim 0 in allowances, it seems as if you are the only one who earns and that your spouse does not. Then, when both of you earn, and the amount reaches the 25% tax bracket, the amount of tax sent is not enough.

Do I claim 0 or 1 on my W4? ›

Claiming more allowances will lower the amount of income tax that's taken out of your check. Conversely, if the total number of allowances you're claiming is zero, that means you'll have the most income tax withheld from your take-home pay.

Why would my federal withholding go down? ›

Federal tax withholding

If you earn less (such as work fewer hours or increase contributions to your 401k), the FITW will decrease. Your employer sends the federal income tax withholding to the IRS on your behalf.

Did the payroll tax rate change for 2024? ›

Did payroll tax rates increase for 2024? Payroll tax rates have remained unchanged for 2024. FICA tax is still 15.3%, and FUTA tax is still 6%.

What are the tax changes for 2024 tax year? ›

For single taxpayers and married individuals filing separately, the standard deduction rises to $14,600 for 2024, an increase of $750 from 2023; and for heads of households, the standard deduction will be $21,900 for tax year 2024, an increase of $1,100 from the amount for tax year 2023.

How much is federal withholding tax in 2024? ›

Head of household
Tax rateTaxable income bracketTaxes owed
10%$0 to $23,200.10% of taxable income.
12%$23,201 to $94,300.$2,320 plus 12% of the amount over $23,200.
22%$94,301 to $201,050.$10,852 plus 22% of the amount over $94,300.
24%$201,051 to $383,900.$34,337 plus 24% of the amount over $201,050.
3 more rows
3 days ago

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