Tesla Earnings History, Expectations, Dividends, Projections – GallantCEO (2024)

  • Tesla is a closely watched company.
  • Tesla Q3 2023 earnings were reported October 18 after markets closed.
  • The automaker reported adjusted EPS of $0.66, missing the consensus estimate of $0.74.

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Information about Tesla’s financials is released on a quarterly basis, with Tesla CEO Elon Musk reporting progress to shareholders during earnings calls — and often facing tough questions from investors while doing so.

Here’s a quick guide to recent earnings from Tesla.

Tesla Q3 earnings 2023

Teslareported third-quarter earnings on Wednesday, Oct. 18, after the closing bell.

Tesla CEOElon Muskaddressed investors and analysts on an earnings call shortly after.

The automaker fell short of revenue forecasts and reaffirmed its vehicle-production target of 1.8 million for 2023.

Tesla CFO Vaibhav Taneja warns that the ongoing wars“impacts sentiment.”

Musk says “Buying a new car isn’t front of mind” for consumers with wars going on. The topic closed the Q3 call. The billionaire also says people who want everyone to work from home give off “Marie Antoinette vibes.”

Asked if he could share the timing of Tesla’s next vehicle, Musk says “not at this time.”

TheTesla CEOsays the EV pickup truck will require a “staggering” amount of work to ramp up because “it’s the nature of the newness.” Though, he says the company is doing its best to simplify the vehicle.

“Pricing is a key factor that could help Tesla make up for a possible demand drop and boost revenue. As such, I would not be surprised if Tesla seeks further price hikes in the weeks ahead as trouble starts to brew at some of its competitors, including Lucid Motors and Rivian,” Jesse Cohen, a senior analyst atInvesting.com said in a note following the earnings release.

3rd quarter results

  • Adjusted EPS: $0.66, vs $0.74 estimate (Bloomberg consensus)
  • Revenue: $23.35 billion, vs $24.06 billion estimate
  • Free cash flow: $848 million, vs $2.59 billion estimate
  • Gross margin: 17.9%, vs 18% estimate
  • Capital expenditure: $2.46 billion, +36% y/y, vs $2.03 billion estimate

Full-year 2023

  • Reaffirmed vehicle production of 1.8 million vehicles
  • Cybertruck deliveries are on track to begin later this year

Tesla Q2 earnings 2023

Tesla released information on net income and cash flow, as well as other financials and had already released Q2 2023 production and delivery information.

It produced 479,700 cars and delivered 466,140, up from the first quarter of 2023 for both categories. Deliveries are the closest figure to sales that Tesla reports.

Though most of Tesla revenue comes from EV sales, revenues also come from paid use of Superchargers, the sale of regulatory credits to other automotive manufacturers, and automotive leasing.

Tesla analyst Philippe Houchois of Jeffries raised his price target for Teslafrom $185 to $265 ahead of the upcoming earnings call.

Musk’s big bet that Tesla price cuts could boost sales and profits amid increasing competition and poor economic sentiment appears to be yielding mixed results. The company beat analyst expectations for net income in the April-June quarter, although its shares barely budged.

The Austin, Texas, maker of electric vehicles, solar panels and batteries reported net income of $2.7 billion in the quarter, a 20% increase from a year ago. Earnings per share also rose 20% to 78 cents when measured via generally accepted accounting principles.

Analysts, however, tend to focus on Tesla’s own measurement of profit, which excludes stock-based compensation expense. By that measure, Tesla’s net income zoomed to $3.15 billion, or 91 cents a share, sharply exceeding analyst estimates of 80 cents per share according to FactSet. Analysts had expected profits to fall because of the price cuts.

Other analysts contend Tesla’s true valuation lies in its autonomous driving capabilities — Tesla FSD and Autopilot.

Stock analysts were also closely watching Tesla’s margins.

What were Tesla earnings Q1 2023?

Tesla’s previous earnings call happened in April 2023.

While reporting on Q1 2023 results, Elon Musk was grilled on Tesla’s price cuts during the call and received more than a half dozen questions on the topic. Ahead of the call, Tesla had reduced the price of the Model YAll-Wheel Drive by $3,000, among other cuts.

Analysts said Tesla margin concerns were at top of mind for investors after the release of Q1 earnings.

Tesla earnings history

In January, Musk used the Tesla earnings call to brag about his Twitter popularity.

In response to an investor question about what Tesla is doing to mitigate brand damage resulting from the running Musk political commentary on Twitter, Musk replied:

“Let me check my Twitter account. OK, so I’ve got 127 million followers, and it continues to grow very rapidly. That suggests that I’m reasonably popular. Now, I might not be popular with some people, but for the vast majority of people, my follower count speaks for itself.”

Anticipation was high for the January call, where Q4 2022 earnings were reported.

“After experiencing unprecedented hyper growth over the past few years in the EV market which was essentially created by Musk, now Tesla faces a darker macro in 2023 with fierce competition coming from all angles,” Wedbush analyst Dan Ives said in a note in the days leading up to the Q4 2022 earnings report.

Tesla ended up beating Wall Street’s expectations, and Tesla’s stock price climbed 11% the day after earnings.

Tesla (TSLA) does not pay a dividend.

The Associated Press contributed to this report.

Tesla Earnings History, Expectations, Dividends, Projections – GallantCEO (2024)

FAQs

Are Tesla earnings expected to be good? ›

That signals another year of earnings declines for this growth stock. Analysts currently expect Tesla earnings per share of just $2.43 in 2024, according to FactSet. That would be a 22% decline vs. $3.12 in 2023. Wall Street's 2024 EPS consensus estimates for Tesla have come down 36% since the end of 2023.

What is the expected EPS for Tesla in 2024? ›

For the fiscal year ending Dec 2024 , the consensus EPS* forecast has remained the same over the past week at 1.89 and decreased over the past month from 1.97 to 1.89(4.06%). Of the 5 analysts making yearly forecasts, 1raised and 4 lowered their forecast.

What is the future EPS for Tesla? ›

Tesla Stock Valuation

Analysts now sees 2024 earnings per share targets at $2.46 a share, according to FactSet, down from $3.79 at the end of 2023, $5.62 a share at the end of March 2023 and a whopping $7.07 at the end of 2022.

What is Morningstar's prediction for Tesla? ›

We forecast Tesla's deliveries will be slightly higher in 2024 than the 1.81 million in 2023. We forecast lower average selling prices, as the company will likely have to cut prices in key markets like China, in line with peers. We forecast automotive gross margins will be 19% in 2024, in line with 2023 results.

What is expected from Tesla earnings? ›

Earnings per share: 45 cents adjusted vs. 51 cents expected. Revenue: $21.30 billion vs. $22.15 billion expected.

Will Tesla beat earnings in 2024? ›

The forecasts for Q1 2024

According to Yahoo Finance, the EV maker's first-quarter revenue will be around $0.55, which may lead to a 34% drop compared with the same quarter of 2023. The revenue estimate is about $23.13 billion, representing a flat growth year over year.

What is the EPS forecast for Tesla in 2025? ›

The Bernstein analyst wrote that Tesla has experienced "soft" demand in China and Europe in Q1 along with "constrained" U.S. Model 3 production. Sacconaghi also trimmed his first quarter deliveries forecast to 426,000 units, down from 490,000. The analyst also projects 2025 EPS of $2.22.

How much will Tesla stock be worth in 2025? ›

Tesla Stock Forecast 2024 & 2025

They believe an upside scenario for the stock over the next 12 to 24 months could be ~$300 using a multiple of 50x to 60x applied to the company's 2026E EPS, while a downside scenario could be ~$65 to $85 using a multiple of 30x applied to Tesla's 2024 EPS.

Is Tesla a buy or sell? ›

Is Tesla stock a Buy, Sell or Hold? Tesla stock has received a consensus rating of buy. The average rating score is and is based on 46 buy ratings, 32 hold ratings, and 16 sell ratings.

What is the EPS forecast? ›

An earnings estimate is an analyst's forecast for a public company's future quarterly or annual earnings per share (EPS). Investors rely heavily on earnings estimates to gauge a company's performance and make investment decisions about it.

What is a good EPS? ›

There's no definition of a “good” or “bad” EPS value. But all other things being equal, the higher a company's EPS is, the better. The opposite is true for a company's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio. In most cases, the lower a company's P/E ratio is, the better.

What is Tsla 12 month EPS? ›

The consensus earnings estimate of $2.47 for the current fiscal year indicates a year-over-year change of -20.8%. This estimate has changed -3.7% over the last 30 days. For the next fiscal year, the consensus earnings estimate of $3.24 indicates a change of +31% from what Tesla is expected to report a year ago.

What is a fair price for Tesla stock? ›

As of 2024-05-22, the Fair Value of Tesla Inc (TSLA) is 107.02 USD. This value is based on the Peter Lynch's Fair Value formula. With the current market price of 186.6 USD, the upside of Tesla Inc is -42.6%.

Is Tesla undervalued? ›

Shares were up over 10% in after-hours trading as the market reacted positively to management's outlook. We view Tesla as undervalued, with the stock trading in 4-star territory.

What is Tesla predicted to hit? ›

Average Price Target

Based on 32 Wall Street analysts offering 12 month price targets for Tesla in the last 3 months. The average price target is $173.29 with a high forecast of $310.00 and a low forecast of $22.86. The average price target represents a -0.89% change from the last price of $174.84.

Is Tesla a good stock to buy right now? ›

It has a Zacks Strong Sell recommendation due to the cuts to the earnings estimates. But this is just a short-term recommendation of 1 to 3 months. Some Tesla shareholders have owned the shares for more than 5 years.

Why is Tesla stock dropping after earnings? ›

April 22 (Reuters) - Tesla (TSLA. O) , opens new tab tumbled 4% on Monday, as its latest global price cuts fanned Wall Street concerns about dwindling margins at the electric-vehicle maker in the run-up to its earnings report later this week.

Is Tesla a buy, sell, or hold? ›

Is Tesla stock a Buy, Sell or Hold? Tesla stock has received a consensus rating of buy. The average rating score is and is based on 46 buy ratings, 32 hold ratings, and 16 sell ratings.

Is Tesla going to miss earnings? ›

First-quarter earnings per share (EPS) of 45 cents missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 46 cents and also declined from the year-ago figure of 85 cents. Total revenues of $21.3 billion missed the consensus mark of $22.6 billion and declined 9% year over year.

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