Stock market today: Asian shares surge on hopes the Federal Reserve’s rate hikes are done (2024)

TOKYO (AP) — Asian shares were mostly higher Thursday after the U.S. Federal Reserve indicated it may not need to pump the brakes any harder on Wall Street and the economy.

Japan’s benchmark Nikkei 225 gained 0.9% to 31,899.00. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 jumped 1.1% to 6,910.10. South Korea’s Kospi surged 1.8% to 2,342.87.

Hong Kong’s Hang Seng added 1.2% to 17,296.34, while the Shanghai Composite edged 0.1% higher to 3,026.32.

“It’s no surprise that Asian markets are responding positively to the gains in U.S. stocks and bonds after the Federal Reserve suggested its policy tightening cycle may be reaching the end of the runway. So maybe it is time to start engineering that elusive soft landing officially,” Stephen Innes, managing partner at SPI Asset Management, said in a commentary.

In Japan, Prime Minister Fumio Kishida announced an economic stimulus package worth about $113 billion that is meant to cushion the blow to household budgets from rising inflation and timed to counter weakening public support for his government. The package includes tax breaks for individuals and companies and subsidies to reduce rising energy costs.

Stocks climbed as Treasury yields eased in the bond market after the Fed announced its decision to hold interest rates steady, as expected. The Fed has already yanked the overnight rate from nearly zero early last year to its highest level since 2001, above 5.25%.

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Longer-term Treasury yields have in turn been rising rapidly, with the 10-year Treasury yield topping 5% last month to reach its highest level since 2007.

The 10-year yield was at 4.72% early Thursday, down from 4.92% late Tuesday.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell said the central bank is unsure that its main interest rate is high enough to ensure high inflation will move down to its 2% target. That kept alive the possibility of more hikes by the Fed. He also said the Fed is not considering cuts to interest rates, which can act like steroids for financial markets.

But Powell acknowledged that a recent run higher in longer-term Treasury yields, and the tumble in stock prices that helped cause, are working on their own to slow the economy and could be starving high inflation of its fuel. If they can do that persistently, he indicated they could help the Fed whip inflation without requiring more rate hikes.

The jump in yields has already brought the average 30-year fixed mortgage rate to nearly 8%, for example, “and those higher costs are going to weigh on economic activity to the extent this tightening persists.”

The Fed has time to assess the full effects of its past rate hikes, he said.

“It takes time, we know that, and you can’t rush it,” Powell said.

All together, Powell’s comments were “dovish enough” for financial markets, according to Yung-Yu Ma, chief investment officer for BMO Wealth Management. “Dovish” is what Wall Street calls an inclination to keep interest rates easier, and Ma expects the Fed won’t hike rates any more.

On Wall Street, the S&P 500 rose 1.1% to 4,237.86 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.7% to 33,274.58. The Nasdaq composite jumped 1.6% to 13,061.47.

High yields knock down prices for stocks and other investments while making borrowing more expensive for nearly everyone. That slows the economy and puts pressure on the entire financial system.

U.S. employers were advertising slightly more job openings at the end of September than economists expected, a report said Wednesday. The Fed has been hoping for softening there, which could take pressure off inflation without requiring many layoffs.

Big Tech stocks were winners Wednesday, along with other high-growth stocks typically seen as the biggest beneficiaries of easier interest rates.

Chipmaker Advanced Micro Devices rose 9.7% after it reported stronger profit and revenue for the latest quarter than forecast.

In other trading Thursday, benchmark U.S. crude added 90 cents to $81.34 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude, the international standard, gained 88 cents to $85.51 a barrel.

The U.S. dollar edged down to 150.35 Japanese yen from 150.96 yen. The euro cost $1.0601, up from $1.0570.

___

AP Business Writer Stan Choe contributed.

Stock market today: Asian shares surge on hopes the Federal Reserve’s rate hikes are done (2024)

FAQs

What happens to stock market if Fed raises rates? ›

A higher interest rate environment can present challenges for the economy, which may slow business activity. This could potentially result in lower revenues and earnings for a corporation, which could be reflected in a lower stock price.

What stocks will go up when interest rates go down? ›

Preferred stocks are not the same thing as bonds, but they are income securities and share characteristics that make them attractive when rates are falling. Specifically, they have an inverse relationship with the general direction of rates, meaning, like bonds, preferred stocks generally go up when rates fall.

What happens to money markets when the Fed raises rates? ›

Whenever the Fed raises rates, investors should prepare for potential volatility as the market adjusts to a new environment. Areas of the market with high leverage or low liquidity may react the most.

What is the average stock market return over 30 years? ›

Average Stock Market Returns Per Year
Years Averaged (as of end of April 2024)Stock Market Average Return per Year (Dividends Reinvested)Average Return with Dividends Reinvested & Inflation Adjusted
30 Years10.473%7.743%
20 Years9.882%7.13%
10 Years12.579%9.521%
5 Years13.712%9.246%
3 more rows
May 15, 2024

Who benefits from high interest rates? ›

With profit margins that actually expand as rates climb, entities like banks, insurance companies, brokerage firms, and money managers generally benefit from higher interest rates. Central bank monetary policies and the Fed's reserver ratio requirements also impact banking sector performance.

What happens to bank stocks when interest rates rise? ›

Increased funding costs: Banks need to raise capital to fund their lending activity, and rising interest rates can also increase the cost of borrowing for banks. This can put pressure on banks' profit margins and dampen stock prices.

Will stocks crash when interest rates rise? ›

Generally, interest rates and the stock market have an inverse relationship. When interest rates rise, share prices fall. Bonds become more attractive.

Should you invest when interest rates are high? ›

Stocks can be a solid hedge against both rising interest rates and rising inflation. Companies that can raise prices without sacrificing demand for their products (for example, food staples or gasoline) have “pricing power” and are most likely to benefit in this type of environment.

Where to put money when interest rates drop? ›

5 investing ideas for falling interest rates
  • US stocks. Falling rates have historically been a positive for the stock market broadly—a relationship that's held true, on average, regardless of whether the economy is in a recession or not. ...
  • Small caps. ...
  • Cyclical stock sectors. ...
  • Investment-grade corporate bonds. ...
  • US Treasurys.
Mar 6, 2024

Who makes money when the Fed raises rates? ›

One sector that tends to benefit the most is the financial industry. Banks, brokerages, mortgage companies, and insurance companies' earnings often increase—as interest rates move higher—because they can charge more for lending.

Has any money market fund ever broken the buck? ›

On Sept. 16, 2008, the Reserve Primary Fund broke the buck when its net asset value (NAV) fell below $1 per share. It was one of the first times in the history of investing that a retail money market fund had failed to maintain a $1 per share NAV. The implications sent shockwaves through the industry.

How to make money with rising interest rates? ›

8 money moves to make as interest rates remain high
  1. In a nutshell. ...
  2. Search for banks with the best savings accounts. ...
  3. Keep an eye on credit card interest. ...
  4. Refinance a mortgage (it's not too late) ...
  5. Invest in stocks. ...
  6. Consider Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) ...
  7. Buy short-term bonds instead of long-term bonds.
May 9, 2024

How much money do I need to invest to make $3,000 a month? ›

Imagine you wish to amass $3000 monthly from your investments, amounting to $36,000 annually. If you park your funds in a savings account offering a 2% annual interest rate, you'd need to inject roughly $1.8 million into the account.

How much was $10,000 invested in the S&P 500 in 2000? ›

$10,000 invested in the S&P 500 at the beginning of 2000 would have grown to $32,527 over 20 years — an average return of 6.07% per year.

What is the safest investment with the highest return? ›

These seven low-risk but potentially high-return investment options can get the job done:
  • Money market funds.
  • Dividend stocks.
  • Bank certificates of deposit.
  • Annuities.
  • Bond funds.
  • High-yield savings accounts.
  • 60/40 mix of stocks and bonds.
May 13, 2024

Does raising interest rates help the stock market? ›

When interest rates are rising, both businesses and consumers will cut back on spending. This will cause earnings to fall and stock prices to drop. On the other hand, when interest rates have fallen significantly, consumers and businesses will increase spending, causing stock prices to rise.

What will happen if Fed raises interest rates? ›

Rising or falling interest rates can also impact the psychology of investors. When the Federal Reserve announces a hike, both businesses and consumers will cut back on spending. This will cause earnings to fall and stock prices to drop, and the market may tumble in anticipation.

What happens if the Fed raises interest rates too fast? ›

When interest rates increase too quickly, it can cause a chain reaction that affects the domestic economy as well as the global economy. It can create a recession in some cases. If this happens, the government can backtrack the increase, but it can take some time for the economy to recover from the dip.

What happens to the stock prices when the Fed increases the money supply? ›

In other words, they argue that increase in money supply means that money demand is increasing in anticipation of increase in economic activity. Higher economic activity implies higher expected profitability, which causes stock prices to rise.

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