South Africa Government Bonds - Yields Curve (2024)

COUNTRY • SUMMARY

SOUTH AFRICA

Last Update: 9 Mar 2024 0:15 GMT+0

The South Africa 10Y Government Bond has a 10.110% yield.

Central Bank Rate is 8.25% (last modification in May 2023).

The South Africa credit rating is BB-, according to Standard & Poor's agency.

Current 5-Years Credit Default Swap quotation is 226.01 and implied probability of default is 3.77%.

Table of contents

South Africa Government Bonds - Yields Curve (1)

The first official book of South Africa Government Bonds - Yields Curve (2)

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South Africa Yield Curve

If data are not all visible, swipe table left

Residual
Maturity
Yield ZC Price Last
Change
Last Chg 1M Chg 6M Last Chg 1M Chg 6M
3 months 8.350% -15.0 bp -35.0 bp 09 Mar
5 years 8.955% +15.0 bp -5.5 bp 65.13 -0.69 % +0.26 % 08 Mar
10 years 10.110% +17.0 bp -26.5 bp 38.17 -1.55 % +2.44 % 08 Mar
12 years 10.950% +17.0 bp -31.5 bp 28.74 -1.81 % +3.46 % 08 Mar
20 years 12.490% +14.0 bp -7.5 bp 9.50 -2.46 % +1.39 % 08 Mar
25 years 12.600% +13.5 bp -5.5 bp 5.15 -2.83 % +1.38 % 08 Mar
30 years 12.520% +13.5 bp -5.0 bp 2.90 -3.65 % +1.05 % 08 Mar
Last Update: 9 Mar 2024 0:15 GMT+0

South Africa Yield Analysis

Normally, longer-duration interest rates are higher than short-duration. So, the yield curve normally slopes upward as duration increases. For this reason, the spread (i.e. the yield difference) between a longer and a shorter bond should be positive. If not, the yield curve can be flat or inverted.
The curve convexity is measured considering some key bond durations (usually 2 years and 10 years, but also other maturities).

If data are not all visible, swipe table left

Residual
Maturity
Yield Spread vs Bond Spread vs
Central Bank
Rate (8.25%)
3 months 5 years 10 years
30 years 12.520%

417.0 bp

356.5 bp

241.0 bp

427.0 bp
10 years 10.110%

176.0 bp

115.5 bp

186.0 bp
5 years 8.955%

60.5 bp

70.5 bp
3 months 8.350% 10.0 bp

South Africa Credit Ratings

A credit rating is an assessment of the creditworthiness of a borrower (in general terms or with respect to a particular debt or financial obligation). For a deeper analysis of credit ratings, click here South Africa Credit Ratings History

Rating AgencyRatingOutlook
Standard & Poor'sBB--
Moody's Investors ServiceBa2-
Fitch RatingsBB--
DBRS--

South Africa Interest Rates

A bank rate is the interest rate at which a nation's central bank lends money to domestic banks, often in the form of very short-term loans.

Interest Rates Value
Central Bank Rate 8.25%

South Africa Credit Default Swaps

The term credit default swap (CDS) refers to a financial derivative that allows an investor to swap or offset their credit risk with that of another investor. To swap the risk of default, the lender buys a CDS from another investor who agrees to reimburse the lender in the case the borrower defaults.

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Credit Default SwapCDS Value Var % 1W Var % 1M Var % 1Y Implied PD(*)
5 Years CDS 226.01 -1.26 % -0.14 % -8.03 % 3.77 %
(*) Implied probability of default, calculated on the hypothesis of a 40% recovery rate.

South Africa 10Y Bond Yield Spread

The South Africa 10Y Government Bond has a 10.110% yield.

A positive spread, marked by , means that the 10Y Bond Yield is higher than the corresponding foreign bond. Instead, a negative spread is marked by a green circle .

Click on the values in "Current Spread" column, for the historical series of the spread.
Click on the "Compare" button, for a report with the full comparison between the two countries, with all the available data.

If data are not all visible, swipe table left

South Africa 10Y vsCurrent Spread Chg 1M Chg 6M Compare
Countries
vs Japan 10Y 938.2 bp +16.2 bp-35.2 bp
vs Germany 10Y 783.8 bp +27.3 bp+7.4 bp
vs China 10Y 780.4 bp +31.1 bp+11.1 bp
vs France 10Y 738.5 bp +33.8 bp+15.3 bp
vs Spain 10Y 702.3 bp +43.4 bp+29.2 bp
vs Canada 10Y 675.5 bp +38.5 bp+8.9 bp
vs Italy 10Y 653.2 bp +55.0 bp+50.4 bp
vs United Kingdom 10Y 614.3 bp +26.7 bp+19.1 bp
vs Australia 10Y 611.0 bp +33.7 bp-14.4 bp
vs United States 10Y 603.3 bp +27.2 bp-8.2 bp
vs India 10Y 307.9 bp +25.3 bp-9.7 bp
vs Brazil 10Y -65.0 bp +18.0 bp+30.7 bp
vs Russia 10Y -313.0 bp -58.0 bp-89.5 bp

South Africa Government Bonds Prices

Price Simulation: bonds with a face value of 100, with different coupon rates.

The highlighted column refers to the zero coupon bond.
Click on for a forecast of the yield.

If data are not all visible, swipe table left

Residual
Maturity
Yield Bond Price - with different Coupon Rates Fx
0% 1% 3% 5% 7% 9%
30 years 12.520% 2.90 10.66 26.17 41.68 57.19 72.70
25 years 12.600% 5.15 12.67 27.73 42.79 57.84 72.90
20 years 12.490% 9.50 16.75 31.24 45.73 60.22 74.71
12 years 10.950% 28.74 35.25 48.26 61.28 74.29 87.31
10 years 10.110% 38.17 44.29 56.52 68.75 80.98 93.21
5 years 8.955% 65.13 69.02 76.81 84.60 92.39 100.18
Maturity Date 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00

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South Africa Government Bonds - Yields Curve (2024)

FAQs

What is the yield on government bonds in South Africa? ›

The South Africa 10Y Government Bond has a 10.773% yield. Central Bank Rate is 8.25% (last modification in May 2023).

What is a government bond yield curve? ›

The yield curve is a graphical illustration of the relationship between interest rates and bond yields of various maturities, ranging from 3-month Treasury bills to 30-year Treasury bonds. The graph is plotted with the y-axis depicting interest rates, and the x-axis showing the increasing time durations.

What is the bond yield curve right now? ›

US Treasury Yield Curve (updated daily)
1-month yield5.388%
1-year yield5.19%
2-year yield4.861%
10-year yield4.494%
30-year yield4.639%

What is the yield of the SA 15 year bond? ›

The South Africa 15 Years Government Bond has a 9.960% yield (last update 17 Jul 2019 20:15 GMT+0).

What is the 10 year bond yield in South Africa? ›

The South Africa 10-Year Government Bond Yield is expected to trade at 10.85 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate it to trade at 10.59 in 12 months time.

What is the bond rate for 5 years in South Africa? ›

The South Africa 5 Years Government Bond has a 9.412% yield (last update 12 May 2024 2:15 GMT+0).

What's the riskiest part of the yield curve? ›

Lenders tend to demand high yields, which get reflected by the steep yield curve. Longer-duration bonds become risky, so the expected yields are higher.

What is the belly of the yield curve? ›

The “belly” of the curve is what it sounds like, the middle of the curve. It reflects rates anywhere from two years out to a decade.

Should you buy bonds when interest rates are high? ›

Should I only buy bonds when interest rates are high? There are advantages to purchasing bonds after interest rates have risen. Along with generating a larger income stream, such bonds may be subject to less interest rate risk, as there may be a reduced chance of rates moving significantly higher from current levels.

How much is a $100 savings bond worth after 30 years? ›

How to get the most value from your savings bonds
Face ValuePurchase Amount30-Year Value (Purchased May 1990)
$50 Bond$100$207.36
$100 Bond$200$414.72
$500 Bond$400$1,036.80
$1,000 Bond$800$2,073.60

Are T bills better than CDs? ›

If you're saving for a goal less than a year away: If you're saving money for a goal with a short-time horizon, T-bills can make more sense than CDs. They provide a higher APY than savings accounts, and they're more liquid than CDs.

Do bond yields fall when prices rise? ›

Bond price and bond yield are inversely related. As the price of a bond goes up, the yield decreases. As the price of a bond goes down, the yield increases.

What is South Africa's risk premium? ›

The average market risk premium in South Africa increased to 8.7 percent in 2023. Market premium risk represents the difference between return on equities and a risk-free investment, which is normally associated with short-term government bonds.

What is the US bond yield for 30 years? ›

BondsYieldDay
US 30Y4.63-0.009%
US 10Y TIPS2.14-0.008%
US 5Y TIPS2.15-0.016%
US 30Y TIPS2.28-0.005%
11 more rows

What are the returns on government bonds? ›

Treasury Yields
NameCouponYield
GB12:GOV 12 Month0.005.17%
GT2:GOV 2 Year4.884.87%
GT5:GOV 5 Year4.634.51%
GT10:GOV 10 Year4.384.50%
3 more rows

How to buy government bonds in South Africa? ›

These bonds can be acquired at the South African post office or online through https://secure.rsaretailbonds.gov.za.

What is the interest rate in South Africa? ›

South Africa Interest Rate Decision
Release DateActualPrevious
Mar 27, 2024 (Mar)8.25%8.25%
Jan 25, 2024 (Jan)8.25%8.25%
Nov 23, 2023 (Nov)8.25%8.25%
Sep 21, 2023 (Sep)8.25%8.25%
2 more rows

What is the yield of the 10 year bond in Namibia? ›

Namibia Government Bonds
Residual MaturityYield
3 years9.604%
7 years10.328%
10 years11.017%
15 years13.144%
5 more rows

What are government bonds in South Africa? ›

When you buy a government bond, you lend the government an agreed amount of money for an agreed period of time. In return, the government will pay you back a set level of interest at regular periods, known as the coupon. This makes bonds a fixed-income asset.

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