Small Businesses Need Credit, Lenders Need a Better Way to Assess That Risk (2024)

Traditional credit scores — for decades, the prime metric to be granted or denied financing — is a bit of a relic, and in the aftermath of a global health and business crisis, it’s simply not that helpful.

In a time of off-the-charts small business formation, the old barriers to capital are coming down. Better to use reams of available data and digital processing to get a real-time picture of a business’s financial health before deciding whether or not to loan them working capital.

Parachuting into this problem is FlowCast, the small army of data scientists behind Tillful, a company aimed at transforming underwriting by finding new metrics for small and medium-sized business (SMB) vitals.

“Our claim to fame is building AI machine learning credit models for banks,” said FlowCast/Tillful founder and CEO Ken So. “We took a lot of that know-how to build Tillful.”

So told PYMNTS that the two corporate cousins are taking specific aim at the problem of entrepreneurs using personal credit cards to float operations.

Noting that more 40,000 small business owners are currently registered on the Tillful platform, So said those customers aren’t just looking for access to capital: they’re also looking to build credit for their business. He estimated that 80% are putting business spend on their personal credit cards.

The problem is that, “If you look at how traditional credit reporting agencies do underwriting or credit assessment, it’s based on what they call trade lines, and trade lines are like Home Depot or Costco reporting payment terms or the payment history of the customer to credit report agencies. It takes months, if not years, to build a credit report” that way, he said.

That presses the question: “How do we separate their personal credit from their business credit? That’s really one of the key goals for us.”

Related: Flowcast Introduces Tillful For SMB Credit Risk Modeling

No File? No Problem

Another problem with SMBs using personal credit lines to fund business expenses is that it adds nothing to the credit file of the business itself, which scares off lenders in droves.

“A lot of these younger businesses are considered no-file or thin-file, so they’re basically credit-invisible to a lot of these lenders,” said So. “How do we help them become credit visible and start getting access to different sources of credit?”

You do it by partnering with high-visibility brands in payments. In this case, Tillful teamed with Mastercard and card issuing platform Highnote on the Tillful Card.

“Within a single login, within the minute, we can ingest the past 12 plus months of historical transactions,” he told PYMNTS. “What Tillful is really good at is taking transaction data and understanding the insight and the credit quality of these small business.”

That granularity is incredibly useful in pandemic-era underwriting for SMBs.

“The [data] that really matters to us are things around cash flow,” said So. “Are you making money from one customer, or thousands of customers? Are your revenues pretty volatile or pretty stable on a monthly basis? Are they growing? The trajectory of their inflow and flow cashflow flow is very important.

“Then, on the spending side, how many employees do they have, do they have a bunch of contracts to a very stable set of employees? All that data we can capture.”

See also: Tillful Launches Card for Small Businesses With Highnote and Mastercard

Matching For Money

With so many SMBs forming and so much capital looking for a safe place to grow into more capital, Tillful and Flowcast are helping connect like-minded SMBs and lenders.

“Some lenders tend to like different verticals, and some will shy away from others,” said So. “We do a lot of the matchmaking because we have all the data on one side, and we are now onboarded with 40-plus different lending partners on the other side.

“Our goal is not just to help fund the top 5% of our user base, but rather 95% and be able to find credit our entire user base.”

When asked to talk about some recent successes, So mentioned that when a startup trucking company was looking to tap into supply chain needs, Tillful scaled that SMB from one truck to five with a loan.

Another borrower, an eCommerce company selling on Shopify and similar marketplaces, needed capital to scale and build up inventory. Tillful found a lender for that business, as well.

So noted that “because our audience or tends to be younger, thin-file/no-file clients, the types of capital that they’re getting [is] typically a $10,000 to $20,000 loan on the Tillful Funding side. Factor rate [can be] between high teens to 30 something percent. These are generally higher cost products. Term-wise, it’s six to nine months. These are term loans.”

Mentioning the prospects for B2B buy now, pay later (BNPL) loans in the company’s future, So said, “Our Tillful Card product is to help serve some of those working capital gaps. We help more so on the vendor side in their expenses side rather than on the AR side. We play more on the other side of the balance sheet for these small businesses.”

Read more: Closing The B2B Trade Credit Gap With AI, Machine Learning

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See More In: alternative credit, Featured News, funding, Lending, News, SMBs, Tillful

Small Businesses Need Credit, Lenders Need a Better Way to Assess That Risk (2024)

FAQs

How do you assess a company's credit risk? ›

Here are six ways to determine the creditworthiness of potential customers.
  1. Assess a Company's Financial Health with Big Data. ...
  2. Review a Businesses' Credit Score by Running a Credit Report. ...
  3. Ask for References. ...
  4. Check the Businesses' Financial Standings. ...
  5. Calculate the Company's Debt-to-Income Ratio.

What factors help lenders assess your credit risk? ›

Your income and employment history are good indicators of your ability to repay outstanding debt. Income amount, stability, and type of income may all be considered. The ratio of your current and any new debt as compared to your before-tax income, known as debt-to-income ratio (DTI), may be evaluated.

How do lenders determine the credit risk? ›

Credit risk is determined by various financial factors, including credit scores and debt-to-income (DTI) ratio. The lower risk a borrower is determined to be, the lower the interest rate and more favorable the terms they might be offered on a loan.

What risk is involved with a small business taking a loan? ›

No matter which loan you take out, defaulting or failing to make payments will have severe consequences. You will lose any collateral you've put up, and your business and personal credit scores can take a hit.

How to improve credit risk assessment? ›

Here are three ways to improve your credit risk analysis:
  1. Refine Credit Scoring Techniques.
  2. Incorporate Trend Analysis into your Credit Risk Assessment Process.
  3. Embrace New Technology and Tools to Improve Credit Risk Analysis.

How do you assess risk in lending? ›

Using data analytics, lenders can rapidly analyze and process vast amounts of data, including historical loan performance data, economic indicators, market trends, and borrower information. By analyzing this data, patterns, correlations, and potential risks can be identified.

What is the best measure of credit risk? ›

Lenders look at a variety of factors in attempting to quantify credit risk. Three common measures are probability of default, loss given default, and exposure at default. Probability of default measures the likelihood that a borrower will be unable to make payments in a timely manner.

How do lenders manage risk? ›

Lenders can mitigate credit risk by analyzing factors about a borrower's creditworthiness, such as their current debt load and income.

How do you assess a client's credit risk? ›

How To Determine Creditworthiness of a Customer?
  1. Collect relevant details to extend credit. Collecting relevant information about the client is the first step in assessing creditworthiness. ...
  2. Check credit reports. ...
  3. Assess financial reports. ...
  4. Evaluate the debt-to-income ratio. ...
  5. Conduct credit investigation. ...
  6. Perform credit analysis.
Apr 10, 2023

What is the credit risk method? ›

Credit risk modeling is a technique used by lenders to determine the level of credit risk associated with extending credit to a borrower. Credit risk analysis models can be based on either financial statement analysis, default probability, or machine learning.

Why is it important to assess credit risk? ›

Lenders use credit risk to determine if a borrower will be able to pay their loan reliably and have certain tolerances toward risk based on their goals as a business. Credit risk can also apply to lenders as they evaluate other sources of income which are used to furnish loans to their customers.

How do banks monitor credit risk? ›

How Does a Bank Monitor and Manage its Credit Risk Exposure Over Time? Banks typically monitor and manage their credit risk exposure over time by regularly reviewing their loan portfolio, assessing changes in borrower creditworthiness, and adjusting their risk management strategies as needed.

How do small business manage risk? ›

Managing risks involves developing cost effective options to deal with them including: Avoid the risk - change your business process, equipment or material to achieve a similar outcome but with less risk. Reduce the risk - if a risk can't be avoided reduce its likelihood and consequence.

How can small businesses avoid risk? ›

Tak's 10 Tips: How to Reduce Business Risk
  1. Create a business plan. ...
  2. Insurance against things going wrong. ...
  3. Contracts with partners, suppliers and employees. ...
  4. Business Structure. ...
  5. Protect Your Intellectual property. ...
  6. Reduce the impact of co-founder and boardroom disputes. ...
  7. Protect confidential information. ...
  8. Employees.

What are some of the risks involved when a small business uses credit? ›

Risks of financing a small business
  • Liability. Some business loans require a personal guarantee, which means your personal assets could be at risk if you fail to repay the loan. ...
  • Credit score. ...
  • Interest rate changes. ...
  • Losing collateral.
Jun 21, 2023

What are the 5 Cs of credit risk analysis? ›

Lenders also use these five Cs—character, capacity, capital, collateral, and conditions—to set your loan rates and loan terms.

How do you evaluate a company's risk? ›

Risk Analysis
  1. Assess the likelihood (or frequency) of the risk occurring.
  2. Estimate the potential impact if the risk were to occur. Consider both quantitative and qualitative costs.
  3. Determine how the risk should be managed; decide what actions are necessary.

How would you evaluate a company's credit? ›

A company's creditworthiness can be assessed using its financial information to calculate liquidity ratios, which illustrate a company's ability to pay its short-term borrowing when it is due; leverage ratios, which measure how much of its capital consists of borrowing and its ability to repay its debts; and the debt ...

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