S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 Gain for Fourth Day in a Row as Traders Await Key Earnings (2024)

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S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 Gain for Fourth Day in a Row as Traders Await Key Earnings (1)

Diego Colman, Contributing Strategist

What's on this page
  • MARKET EXPECTATIONS FOR NETFLIX AND TESLA
  • NASDAQ 100 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
  • NASDAQ 100 TECHNICAL CHART
  • EDUCATION TOOLS FOR TRADERS

S&P 500 AND NASDAQ 100 KEY POINTS:

  • After a weak open, and Nasdaq 100 reversed losses and finished the day in positive territory, with the technology index leading gains in the U.S. market
  • Earnings season will be the main catalyst for stock prices in the near term
  • Netflix and Tesla's quarterly results will take center stage this week
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S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 opened with moderate losses on Monday weighed by worse-than-expected economic data in China and stagflation anxiety, but quickly reversed their declines as on overnight rally in oil prices faded, alleviating some fears of mounting inflationary pressures and policy tightening.

At the market close, the S&P 500 rose 0.34% to the 4,486, while the Nasdaq 100 climbed 1.02% to 15,300, gaining ground for the fourth consecutive day in both cases, a sign that buying interest may be increasing ahead of key quarterly earnings over the next few days and weeks.

As of today, 81% of companies reporting results belonging to the S&P 500 have beaten EPS forecasts, with major banks surpassing expectations handsomely, an outcome that has boosted sentiment and eased concerns over the doom and gloom narrative making its way around Wall Street.

However, it is important to note that investors will likely pay more attention to the performance of companies in the technology sector, given their monumental size in proportion to the overall market. That said, the spotlight will on Netflix and Tesla this week when they release their financial statements on Tuesday and Wednesday, respectively.

If both NFLX and TSLA, with a combined market capitalization of approximately $1.2 trillion, manage to surprise to the upside, sentiment toward the tech sector could continue to improve, creating a constructive backdrop for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 to prolong their recovery in the near-term. The reverse is also true. If these companies disappoint by a wide margin, traders could begin to bail on big tech, disrupting the stock market's nascent rebound.

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MARKET EXPECTATIONS FOR NETFLIX AND TESLA

S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 Gain for Fourth Day in a Row as Traders Await Key Earnings (6)

NASDAQ 100 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

After the recent rebound, the Nasdaq 100 breached a short-term descending trendline in play since last month, printing a higher high on the daily chart and invalidating the near-term bearish bias. Moreover, following today’s rally, the index has broken above cluster resistance in the 15,195 area, created by the 50-day simple moving average and the 61.8% Fib retracement of the September/October pull-back. If price holds above this region in the coming sessions, buying interest could accelerate, paving the way for a move towards 15,360, followed by 15,700, the record high.

Conversely, if the Nasdaq 100 drops below 15,195 decisively, the first technical support to watch out for appears at 15,010. Ifbears manage to push price below this floor, the downside pressure could strengthen, triggering a pullback towards 14,800.

NASDAQ 100 TECHNICAL CHART

S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 Gain for Fourth Day in a Row as Traders Await Key Earnings (7)

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---Written by Diego Colman, Contributor

DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.

DISCLOSURES

Nasdaq Bulls Maintain Upward Trajectory Ahead of US Data, Fed Speakers2024-03-04 18:30:17 Dow and Nasdaq 100 Ease Back While Hang Seng Bounce Hits a Wall2024-02-29 12:30:00

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S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 Gain for Fourth Day in a Row as Traders Await Key Earnings (12)54m

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S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 Gain for Fourth Day in a Row as Traders Await Key Earnings (2024)

FAQs

What is the average return of Nasdaq-100? ›

Returns have been calculated based on TradingView charts. Since 1985 (39 years) the Nasdaq 100 has produced an annualized return of 13.65% (not including dividends).

What is the difference between the Nasdaq and the S&P 500? ›

S&P 500 Index Futures are at 5145.00, up 13.50 or +0.26% and Nasdaq-100 Index Futures are trading 17923.50, up 77.75 or +0.44%.

Why is the Nasdaq-100 falling? ›

The Nasdaq Composite fell for a sixth straight session on Friday, notching its longest losing streak in more than a year. The downtrend comes as Nvidia dived, adding to recent market woes tied to geopolitical conflicts and sticky inflation.

What is the growth rate of the Nasdaq earnings? ›

Nasdaq 2023 annual EPS was $2.08, a 7.96% decline from 2022. Nasdaq 2022 annual EPS was $2.26, a 3.83% decline from 2021. Nasdaq 2021 annual EPS was $2.35, a 26.34% increase from 2020.

What is the average return of the S&P 500? ›

The average stock market return is about 10% per year, as measured by the S&P 500 index, but that 10% average rate is reduced by inflation. Investors can expect to lose purchasing power of 2% to 3% every year due to inflation. » Learn more about purchasing power with NerdWallet's inflation calculator.

What is the average annual return of the S&P 500? ›

Bottom Line. Since 1957, the S&P 500's average annual rate of return has been approximately 10.5% (through March 2023) and around 6.6% after adjusting for inflation.

Should I trade Nasdaq or S&P 500? ›

Therefore, the downside risk is likely to be higher in case of the Nasdaq 100 when compared S&P 500 index, which has a much broader representation of the US companies across different sectors. So, if you are looking to own a more diversified basket of stocks, the S&P 500 will be the right fit for you.

Is there an overlap between the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq? ›

Nasdaq 100 vs.

There is some overlap between the Nasdaq 100 and the S&P 500. For example, Apple appears on both indices. But the weighting of the S&P 500 index is more evenly distributed across sectors, and it isn't so technology heavy. Just 26% of the S&P 500 is in technology stocks.

What ETF is better than the S&P 500? ›

Despite how great of an investment option the S&P 500 is, one ETF has historically been a better investment: the Vanguard Growth ETF (NYSEMKT: VUG).

What affects Nasdaq 100 the most? ›

What Moves the Nasdaq 100 Index?
  • Share Price. The weight given to each company included in the Nasdaq100 influences how the individual share price moves the overall index. ...
  • Trader Sentiment. Trader sentiment impacts the Nasdaq 100 by influencing the values of the underlying shares. ...
  • Political Events.

Why is Nasdaq 100 so volatile? ›

Because the Nasdaq Composite is dominated by the historically volatile technology sector, index performance tends to be more volatile than that of the S&P 500 or the Dow Industrials.

What drives the price of Nasdaq 100? ›

The NASDAQ 100 is influenced by a variety of factors that also move the broader stock market. This can vary from economic data, interest rates, and monetary policy decisions to geopolitical events and natural disasters.

What percentage of Nasdaq stocks are above 50 day average? ›

Nasdaq 100 Stocks Above 50-Day Average

Nasdaq 100 IndexThe percentage of Nasdaq 100 stocks trading above their 50 DMA is at 33%.

What is the current earnings yield of the S&P 500? ›

Basic Info

S&P 500 Earnings Yield is at 4.03%, compared to 4.30% last quarter and 4.50% last year. This is lower than the long term average of 4.71%.

What is a good earnings per share growth? ›

EPS is the net income divided by the number of shares outstanding, and is a common way to express profits in the investing world. You want your stock's EPS up 25% or more compared with the year-ago quarter in the most recent quarter or two. Preferably, EPS should be increasing over recent quarters as well.

What is the 10 year average return for Nasdaq? ›

The Nasdaq returned 264% over the last decade, compounding at 13.8% annually. Investors can get direct exposure to the index with the Fidelity Nasdaq Composite ETF (NASDAQ: ONEQ).

What is the Nasdaq 100 20-year average return? ›

The Nasdaq Composite is the barometer for tech stocks, and its 20-year return of 687% led the three major indexes.

What is the 20-year average return on the Nasdaq? ›

The Nasdaq Composite had the strongest 20-year performance after rising 687%, or 10.9% annually. The Fidelity Nasdaq Composite ETF is one way to invest in the index.

What is the return of the Nasdaq 100 in 15 years? ›

Over the past 15 years, Nasdaq 100 has delivered a CAGR of around 16%, while S&P 500 has returned about 8%.

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