Relief over Credit Suisse deal crumbles as focus shifts to bond risks (2024)

Banking stocks tumbled on Monday as initial relief over a historic state-backed rescue of troubled lender Credit Suisse by Swiss rival UBS Group gave way to new worries about the risks of high-yield debt issued by big banks.

Banking stocks tumbled on Monday as initial relief over a historic state-backed rescue of troubled lender Credit Suisse by Swiss rival UBS Group gave way to new worries about the risks of high-yield debt issued by big banks.

In a package orchestrated by Swiss regulators on Sunday, UBS Group AG (UBSG.S) will pay 3 billion Swiss francs ($3.23 billion) for 167-year-old Credit Suisse Group AG (CSGN.S) and assume up to $5.4 billion in losses.

Major central banks, faced with the risk of a fast-moving loss of confidence in the financial system, also scrambled on Sunday to bolster the flow of cash around the world with a series of coordinated currency swaps to ensure banks have the dollars needed to operate.

While those developments appeared to shore up investor confidence in early Asian trade, the rally quickly evaporated as focus shifted to the massive hit some Credit Suisse bondholders would take under the UBS acquisition.

Under the deal, the Swiss regulator decided that Credit Suisse additional tier-1 bonds - or AT1 bonds - with a notional value of $17 billion will be valued at zero, angering some of the holders of the debt who thought they would be better protected than shareholders in the takeover deal announced on Sunday.

Worries about what that might mean for holders of AT1 bonds issued by other banks added to persistent anxiety about a range of other risks including contagion, the fragile state of U.S. regional banks and moral hazard.

Standard Chartered Plc and HSBC shares each fell more than 6% in Hong Kong on Monday to more than two-month lows, with HSBC facing the possibility of posting its largest one-day drop in six months. The MSCI index for financial stocks in Asia ex-Japan (.MIAX0FN00PUS) was down 1.3%.

"It should be clear that after more than a week into the banking panic, and two interventions organised by the authorities, this problem is not going away. Quite the contrary, it has gone global," said Mike O'Rourke, chief market strategist, Jones Trading.

"The reports that UBS is acquiring Credit Suisse will likely magnify Credit Suisse's problems by moving them to UBS."

CO-ORDINATED ACTION

The shotgun Swiss banking marriage is backed by a massive government guarantee, helping prevent what would have been one of the largest banking collapses since the fall of Lehman Brothers in 2008.

Pressure on UBS helped seal Sunday's deal.

"It's a historic day in Switzerland, and a day frankly, we hoped, would not come," UBS Chairman Colm Kelleher told analysts on a conference call. "I would like to make it clear that while we did not initiate discussions, we believe that this transaction is financially attractive for UBS shareholders," Kelleher said.

UBS CEO Ralph Hamers said there were still many details to be worked through.

"I know that there must be still questions that we have not been able to answer," he said. "And I understand that and I even want to apologise for it."

In a global response not seen since the height of the pandemic, the Fed said it had joined central banks in Canada, England, Japan, the EU and Switzerland in a co-ordinated action to enhance market liquidity. The European Central Bank vowed to support euro zone banks with loans if needed, adding the Swiss rescue of Credit Suisse was "instrumental" in restoring calm.

On Monday, Credit Suisse's banking operations appeared to be business as usual at its major offices in Asia.

Monetary authorities in Singapore and Hong Kong, where Credit Suisse hosts large regional offices, separately said the Swiss bank's business continued without interruption.

And Credit Suisse urged its staff to go to work, according to a memo to staff seen by Reuters.

UNRESOLVED ISSUES

Problems remain in the U.S. banking sector, where bank stocks remained under pressure despite a move by several large banks to deposit $30 billion into First Republic Bank (FRC.N), an institution rocked by the failures of Silicon Valley and Signature Bank (SBNY.O).

On Sunday, First Republic saw its credit ratings downgraded deeper into junk status by S&P Global, which said the deposit infusion may not solve its liquidity problems.

There are also concerns about what happens next at Credit Suisse and what that means for investors, clients and employees.

In the memo to employees, Credit Suisse said that once the takeover is complete wealth management clients may want to consider moving some assets to another bank if concentration was a concern.

The deal will also make UBS Switzerland's only global bank and the Swiss economy more dependent on a single lender.

"The Credit Suisse debacle will have serious ramifications for other Swiss financial institutions. A country-wide reputation with prudent financial management, sound regulatory oversight, and, frankly, for being somewhat dour and boring regarding investments, has been wiped away," said Octavio Marenzi, CEO of Opimas, in Vienna.

UBS chairman Kelleher told a media conference that it will wind down Credit Suisse's investment bank, which has thousands of employees worldwide. UBS said it expected annual cost savings of some $7 billion by 2027.

The Swiss central bank said Sunday's deal includes 100 billion Swiss francs ($108 billion) in liquidity assistance for UBS and Credit Suisse.

Credit Suisse shares lost a quarter of their value last week. The bank was forced to tap $54 billion in central bank funding as it tried to recover from scandals that undermined confidence.

($1 = 0.9280 Swiss francs)

Relief over Credit Suisse deal crumbles as focus shifts to bond risks (2024)

FAQs

Relief over Credit Suisse deal crumbles as focus shifts to bond risks? ›

Banking stocks tumbled on Monday as initial relief over a historic state-backed rescue of troubled lender Credit Suisse by Swiss rival UBS Group gave way to new worries about the risks of high-yield debt issued by big banks.

Will Credit Suisse bondholders lose money? ›

According to data from FactSet at the end of 2022 there were more than 70 Credit Suisse bonds with an outstanding value of over $200bn. Some bondholders have been burned though since the Swiss government wrote off $17bn of AT1s as part of the merger.

What happens to Credit Suisse bonds after UBS takeover? ›

The move has angered Credit Suisse AT1 bondholders as their investments have seemingly been lost, while shareholders will receive payouts as part of the takeover. Usually, equity investments would be classed as secondary to AT1 bonds.

What are the failures of Credit Suisse risk management? ›

The Firms' risk management oversight and practices fell well below the regulatory standards required. The failings were found to be symptomatic of an unsound risk culture within the business line that failed to balance considerations of risk against commercial reward appropriately.

What are the effects of Credit Suisse collapse? ›

Credit Suisse's demise tainted Switzerland's reputation as a major center of world finance and a safe haven, and debunked the belief that global banks are safer now.

What will happen to Credit Suisse bondholders? ›

Crédit Suisse shareholders retained value amounting to around $3.4bn while the investment of AT1 bondholders was entirely written off. Some AT1 bondholders have filed proceedings in Switzerland against FINMA in relation to this decision.

Are Credit Suisse bonds now worthless? ›

Credit Suisse's $17B of risky bonds now worthless after takeover by UBS: 'Those bonds were created for moments like this' | Fortune.

Will Swiss bail out Credit Suisse? ›

On March 19, 2023, the Swiss Federal Council (FC), the Swiss National Bank (SNB) and the Swiss Financial Market Supervisory Authority (FINMA), to whom we will refer collectively as the Swiss trinity, 1 undertook a joint rescue of Credit Suisse (CS) by orchestrating a merger with its domestic rival UBS Group AG (UBS).

What is the riskiest bond in Credit Suisse? ›

Among the biggest losers in the shotgun sale of Credit Suisse Group AG are investors in the firm's riskiest bonds, known as AT1s, worth $17 billion.

What happens to bondholders in a takeover? ›

Overall, a reduction in asset risk increases, while an increase in asset risk decreases bondholder wealth. The impact of the risk change depends on its size but also on the pre-merger risk of debt, such that riskier bonds should benefit more from a risk reduction and safer bonds should lose more from a risk increase.

What triggered Credit Suisse collapse? ›

WHAT EVENTS LED TO THE RECENT SHARE SLUMP? A string of scandals over many years, top management changes, multi-billion dollar losses and an uninspiring strategy can be blamed for the mess that the 167-year-old Swiss lender now finds itself in.

Who is responsible for Credit Suisse failure? ›

For some, Credit Suisse's management and ex-chairman Axel Lehmann are solely to blame for the collapse. For others, Switzerland's Financial Market Supervisory Authority (FINMA), led by Marlene Amstad, failed in its oversight task.

How safe is Credit Suisse? ›

Credit Suisse is a very large, top tier private bank with a very well-known brand, making it a good option for senior international investors. Its size however may mean that the traditional values you would expect from a private bank, such as trust and an uncompromising duty of care, are harder to achieve.

Why is Credit Suisse losing so much money? ›

The company has been plagued by a series of missteps and compliance failures in recent years that cost it billions and led to several overhauls of top management. And over the past decade, the Swiss bank has been hit with fines and penalties related to tax evasion, misplaced bets and other issues.

Why did the UBS buy credit in Suisse? ›

“FINMA welcomes UBS's strategic focus, which foresees a rapid reduction of risk in investment banking.” UBS (UBS) agreed on March 19 to buy Credit Suisse (CS) for the bargain price of 3 billion Swiss francs ($3.25 billion) in a rescue orchestrated by Swiss authorities to avert a banking sector meltdown.

Who owns Credit Suisse? ›

Can bondholders lose money? ›

Key Takeaways

Bonds are often touted as less risky than stocks—and for the most part, they are—but that does not mean you cannot lose money owning bonds. Bond prices decline when interest rates rise, when the issuer experiences a negative credit event, or as market liquidity dries up.

Are Credit Suisse AT1 bondholders considering legal action? ›

NEW YORK, April 3 (Reuters) - Some holders of Credit Suisse AT1 bonds wiped out by the bank's planned merger with UBS have instructed law firm Quinn Emanuel Urquhart & Sullivan to represent them for discussions with Swiss authorities and possible litigation to recover losses.

What happens to Credit Suisse CoCo bonds? ›

Indeed, in the final rescue deal, the shareholders of Credit Suisse retain around $3 billion of equity value, while the CoCo bond principal write-down amounted to a wipeout of $17 billion for CoCo investors.

Did Credit Suisse bondholders get paid? ›

The bondholders, meanwhile, would either receive shares in the bank's declining stock — or not get paid at all, as in the case of Credit Suisse. The mechanism is sometimes referred to as a “bail-in” because the bondholders end up losing, and not taxpayers.

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