Price Action Guide to How the Forex Market Moves (2024)

Special Note: This Forex trading tutorial is in-depth and very important for price action traders to read. The strategies covered in this article are going to help you understand exactly how the markets work and their key rules. Make sure you are in a comfortable place away from distractions and have 10 minutes set aside to fully engage in the lessons.

In our previous few articles and tutorials we have covered key strategies such as how to spot and trade with the trend and how to trade reversals. After these Forex trading lessons we have been asked by traders to go in-depth into exactly how the markets work and the key patterns that repeat time and time again.

On any chart of any Forex pair you will notice the same patterns and movements repeating. This is because no matter what the chart or time frame, there are some key rules that markets have to adhere to. These are the same strategies we use in our weekly trade idea posts that you can read at; Weekly Price Action Trade Ideas.

In this article we are going to cover exactly how the markets move and what you need to start looking for in your own trading. Armed with this knowledge you will be able to start identifying better areas to get into trades and what to expect from the market before it has even happened.

Markets Never Move In Straight Lines for Long

Whilst this point may seem pretty straightforward, many people trade looking for the market to keep moving straight up or straight down. This can be dangerous as the markets do not move straight up or down. Even in the strongest trends price rotates both higher and lower.

To highlight this point I have attached a chart of the USDJPY daily. Traders with an eye on the Forex markets of late would be well-aware that the USDJPY has been in a very aggressive up-trend, with price in recent times rocketing higher.

On the chart below you will note that even though price has been moving higher in a clear up-trend, price has paused and moved lower at stages. Price has not moved straight higher without at least pausing or giving a rotation back lower. The blue boxes and arrows on the chart below show how even though price is moving higher it has rotated and pull-backs lower before continuing higher.

Price Action Guide to How the Forex Market Moves (1)

To make profit a trader has to close the trade out. Until a trader has closed their trade, any profit or loss is only a paper profit/loss. This need to close a trade to crystallise a profit is a major reason that markets never move in straight lines higher or lower.

No matter how strong a trend is, this need to close a trade will always ensure that price rotates back into a value area. When price makes a major run higher or lower there are always a lot of traders sitting on decent paper profits.

For these traders to crystallise their profits they have to close their trades out. When these traders start closing part of or all of their trades it can tip the order flow balance.

For example if price is moving higher the bulls are in control or in other words the orders to buy are stronger than the orders to sell. If all of a sudden a flood of sell orders come into the market, the bears are going to take control and turn price back lower. If price has been in an up-trend, then the bulls are in control.

When traders start to take their profit, they start to push sell orders into the market. If these sell orders are strong enough they are going to turn the market back lower against the up-trend. As you can see from this example, even in the strong up-trend price has to rotate.

Looking to Enter Trades

Smart traders can take advantage of this rotation by targeting pull-back areas to get into their trades. Often with a market that is trending higher we will get a strong move followed by a rotation back lower. After this rotation the trend will oftentimes then continue. We now know that the rotation is often caused by the sell orders pushed into the market.

Once all these sell orders from people leaving the market and taking their profits have been fulfilled, often the buy orders or bulls will once again prevail and push price back higher. This is why so often after a pull-back against the trend, the trend will continue and push onto a new high or low.

In the chart below you will note how price moves higher with the up-trend before rotating back lower and finding support. Eventually all the sell orders are fulfilled and the bulls take back control and push price back higher to continue with the trend.

Price Action Guide to How the Forex Market Moves (2)

Consolidation to Continuation

A key pattern that all markets follow is; Consolidation to Continuation.

Basically what this means is price will often make a major move higher or lower before it will pause or “consolidate”. This consolidation can go for lengthy periods of time, but eventually it will break out and more often than not the break out will be in the same direction as price was moving before going into consolidation.

The chart below shows this pattern in action. On this chart we have a move higher, then price moves into consolidation before breaking out and continuing.

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This consolidation to continuation is part of how the market works and you can look at any chart and see this taking place. Being able to read this pattern before it happens will help you read the price action story and manage your trades without having to guess what possibly may happen.

Whilst nothing is ever certain in trading, knowing where the high probability play is can tip the advantage in your favor. Using this pattern you will also be able to protect your capital by moving stops higher or lower to take advantage of the markets movements.

Market Reversals

We cover reversals a lot throughout this website because they can be a real money spinner if played correctly. A reversal signal is basically just a price action signal that is hinting the market is about to change directions.

A classical example of a price action reversal signal is the Pin Bar. A Pin Bar is a one candle signal that is hinting at a possible change in the direction price is moving. For example, if price is moving higher and the market produces a bearish pin bar, this is hinting at price getting ready to reverse and move back lower.

One incorrect belief that many traders have with reversals is that the market often turns around and reverses with just one attempt.

Often with reversals the market will go through consolidation and testing before it eventually changes direction and reverses. This is why so often after a Pin Bar has formed, instead of price moving in the other direction straight away, price will hang around building up momentum before exploding.

An example of this with the Pin Bar is below.

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The major reason price rarely changes directions at the first attempt is because the ever-changing battle between the bulls and bears that takes place in all markets. If price is moving higher it is doing so because the bulls are in control or in other words the orders to buy are stronger than the orders to sell.

For price to change directions, this control has to be tipped to the other side. For price to change directions from moving up to down the bears have to take control and the sell orders need to overwhelm the orders to buy. This change in control often takes time and why the market often builds up before changing directions.

Often after a reversal signal such as the Pin Bar, a few indecision or inside candles will form. This is quite often the last attempt before changing directions and once the remaining orders to buy are sucked out of the market, the bears can take control and reverse price lower.

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Recap

In this tutorial we have discussed some of the most powerful patterns the markets create and the reasons behind them. After reading this Forex trading lesson, go to your charts and startpracticingspotting these patterns in real-time and using them to read the market.

Learning to read a chart and the price action story takes time and experience and the quickest way to gain this experience is to open a demo account and start trading.

I would love to hear your comments and any questions in the comments below.

Safe trading,

Johnathon

Price Action Guide to How the Forex Market Moves (2024)

FAQs

What is the best price action strategy in forex? ›

The head and shoulders reversal trade is one of the most popular price action trading strategies as it's relatively easy to choose an entry point (generally right after the first shoulder) and to set a stop loss (after the second shoulder) to take advantage of a temporary peak (the head).

Does price action really work in forex? ›

However, price action strategies are accurate a lot of the time, which is why a lot of traders will use them as a base. Most analyses will combine price action with indicators such as moving averages to confirm any signals given.

What is the 5 3 1 forex strategy? ›

The 5-3-1 strategy is especially helpful for new traders who may be overwhelmed by the dozens of currency pairs available and the 24-7 nature of the market. The numbers five, three, and one stand for: Five currency pairs to learn and trade. Three strategies to become an expert on and use with your trades.

What is the best indicator for price action? ›

The most commonly used price action indicator is the study of price bars or candlesticks which give details such as the open and closing price of a market and its high and low price levels during a specific time period. Analysing this information is the core of price action trading.

How do you master price action in forex? ›

A step-by-step guide on how to trade on price action? Identify the existing trend in the market. Identify trading price action opportunities based on the trend's strength. If there is a strong uptrend, place long orders and if there is a strong downtrend, place short orders.

Do professional traders use price action? ›

Many traders use candlestick charts to plot prior price action, then plot potential breakout and revering patterns. Although prior price action does not guarantee future results, traders often analyze a security's historical patterns to better understand where the price may move to next.

What is the best time frame for price action forex? ›

From experience, I can tell you that two of the best time frames to trade are the daily and 4-hour. This isn't to say that you can't be profitable trading a different time frame, but these two are what made me profitable as they work the best with the price action strategies I use.

What is the success rate of price action? ›

How accurate is price action trading? Price action trading is not perfect. No trading system or strategy will be correct 100% of the time. However, price action strategies have been shown to be quite accurate, with many of the setups used by the price action trader showing a success rate of 75% or higher.

What is 90% rule in forex? ›

The 90 rule in Forex is a commonly cited statistic that states that 90% of Forex traders lose 90% of their money in the first 90 days. This is a sobering statistic, but it is important to understand why it is true and how to avoid falling into the same trap.

Is there a 100% forex strategy? ›

Trading forex is risky and complicated, and no strategy can guarantee consistent profits. Successful forex traders are those who tend to have a good understanding of the market, good risk management skills, and the ability to adapt to changing market conditions.

What is the 1% rule in forex? ›

The 1% risk rule means not risking more than 1% of account capital on a single trade. It doesn't mean only putting 1% of your capital into a trade. Put as much capital as you wish, but if the trade is losing more than 1% of your total capital, close the position.

How do you analyze price action in forex? ›

Price action refers to the pattern or character of how the price of a security behaves, typically in the short run. Price action can be analyzed when it is plotted graphically over time, often in the form of a line chart or candlestick chart.

How do you analyze price action? ›

Price action traders make use of the past history of a market's price movement, most typically focus on the recent price action of the last 3 to 6 months, with a lighter focus on more distant price history. This price history includes swing highs and swing lows in a market, as well as support and resistance levels.

What is the best time frame for price action strategy? ›

For day trading, 15-minute charts and 30-minute charts are the offer optimal results. Day traders who use indicators in their day trading strategy can use a 15-minute or lower time frame. In the case of price action-based trading, a combination of the 15-minute and 30-minute time frames proves to be highly effective.

Is price action strategy profitable? ›

Understanding the mechanics of price action and developing a highly effective price action trading strategy has the potential to be highly profitable. In this article, we explore the techniques and indicators that will help in building this strategy. Get tight spreads, no hidden fees and access to 10,000+ instruments.

What is the success rate of price action strategy? ›

How accurate is price action trading? Price action trading is not perfect. No trading system or strategy will be correct 100% of the time. However, price action strategies have been shown to be quite accurate, with many of the setups used by the price action trader showing a success rate of 75% or higher.

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