Perspective | Inflation is another reason you shouldn’t aim for a big tax refund (2024)

The average Internal Revenue Service tax refund at this point in the 2022 season is $3,175, up nearly 10 percent compared to a year ago.

Many people see their four-figure tax refund — year after year — as a windfall. It’s their cushion for the financially unexpected.

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Over the years, I’ve tried to persuade folks to change the way they think about a tax refund. It’s not a bonus.

Unless your tax situation changed during the year — maybe you had a baby or bought a home — you’re just letting Uncle Sam hold your money for a year interest-free.

Okay, maybe you don’t trust yourself to save, so you rely on the refund to do it for you. Among those expecting refunds, 32 percent plan to save most or all of the money, according to a survey by Bankrate.com earlier this year.

Readers have told me that the promise of a refund pushes them to file early. Others argue that — in today’s pitifully low-interest environment — the amount of interest lost is pretty small, so they aren’t concerned about letting the government play their banker.

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As of April 8, the IRS said it has issued more than 70 million refunds worth over $222 billion. I wonder how many millions of individuals or couples receiving a refund could put that money to better use during the year?

Only 44 percent of Americans could cover an unplanned $1,000 expense from savings, according to another survey by Bankrate.com. In a pinch, without a rainy-day fund, 35 percent would have to borrow the money they needed by using a credit card, taking out a personal loan or hitting up family or friends.

If you’ve been using your tax refund as a forced savings technique, you should seriously reconsider this strategy as consumer prices rise because of inflation.

Rising prices could be here for some time as the U.S. economy continues to deal with the financial fallout from the coronavirus and the war in Ukraine. You are going to need more money in your paycheck to deal with the price increases in food, gas and utilities.

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Inflation is at its highest level in 40 years. In March, prices rose 8.5 percent compared with a year ago, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The cost of gasoline rose 18.3 percent last month.

If you’re looking to replace your car this year, it’ll cost you a lot more to buy a used or new vehicle.

Prices rose 8.5 percent in March compared to 2021, driven by energy costs

The average new vehicle loan increased to $39,721 at the end of 2021, up 12 percent from a year earlier, according to Experian. Used vehicle loans jumped 20 percent to $27,291, up from $22,630. The average monthly payment for new vehicles was $644, while the average monthly payment for a used car was $488.

If you let the federal government hold your money, you could end up borrowing more for your vehicle. Instead, get more of your money in your paycheck and save for a higher down payment. Or, use the money to handle your loan payment.

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Got a home equity line of credit? Looking to buy a home this year?

You could be facing higher costs for that debt.

The Federal Reserve raised its target federal funds rate by a quarter percentage point and has signaled six more hikes by year’s end in an effort to control inflation. The rate increases impact fixed-rate mortgages and anyone with a variable-rate loan.

As of April 14, the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage hit an average of 5 percent for the first time in over a decade, according to Freddie Mac. The 15-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 4.17 percent. A year ago at this time, the average rate for a 15-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 2.35 percent.

Mortgage rates hit 5 percent, highest level in 11 years

Got revolving credit card debt?

The rates on this debt are also trending up. Bankrate.com found that 23 percent of people expecting a refund said they planned to use it to pay down debt. Rather than wait for a lump sum refund to pay down this debt, avoid racking up interest charges by paying on it during the year.

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It’s not always possible to avoid getting a large refund. For some people, part or all of their tax benefits must be in the form of a refund, points out IRS spokesman Eric Smith. They have no choice when it’s the refundable portion of a benefit, such as the earned income tax credit or the child and dependent care credit, he said.

Need to file your tax return? Ask The Post your last-minute questions.

As a wage earner, you are required to pay federal income tax by having it withheld from your paycheck throughout the year. The goal is to have your withholding match your actual tax liability.

“In a perfect world, everyone would nail it, with maybe just a small balance due or a small refund,” Smith said.

You should evaluate your withholdings every year. You also want to make sure you don’t have a hefty, unexpected tax bill, especially if you can’t pay on time. The interest rate the IRS has to charge taxpayers when they can’t pay what they owe has increased. As of April 1, the rate for underpayment was 4 percent. The interest rate last spring, when people were filing their 2020 returns, was 3 percent.

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To check your withholding and make adjustments, if necessary, use the IRS “Tax Withholding Estimator” at irs.gov. The estimator helps workers, self-employed individuals and retirees who have wage income figure out how much should be withheld from their paychecks. Use the result to submit a new W-4 Employee’s Withholding Certificate if needed.

With inflation up, now’s the time to go over your withholding for 2022. If you always aim to get a large refund, this is the year to change that habit.

Perspective | Inflation is another reason you shouldn’t aim for a big tax refund (2024)

FAQs

Is there a downside to getting a large tax refund? ›

Is getting a big tax refund a good thing? No, some financial experts and taxpayers say, because it means you're giving up too much of your paycheck to taxes during the year. If less is taken out for taxes, you'll get a smaller refund but more money in each paycheck for expenses or saving and investing, they argue.

Why you should not want a tax refund? ›

In most cases, a big refund indicates you aren't taking all of the withholdings and tax deductions you're eligible for. You can fix this by adjusting your tax withholdings with your employer.

Why isn t getting a large tax refund the best money habit? ›

A tax refund isn't a good thing because it's money you could have had access to during the previous year. If you'd received more of your money during the year, you could have invested it, paid off debt, or padded your emergency fund.

Why might it be disadvantageous to receive a large refund? ›

Why might it be DISADVANTAGEOUS to receive a large refund instead of a smaller one? Receiving a large refund means you were OVERWITHHOLDING from each paycheck, and that's money you could have used throughout the year for other things.

Is it possible to get a $10,000 tax refund? ›

You could end up with a $10,000 tax refund if you've paid significantly more tax payments than you owe at the end of the year.

What is the average tax refund for $75000? ›

Which income bracket got the biggest refund?
Income levelAverage refund% of income
$25,000 to $49,999$2,845.815.7% to 11.4%
$50,000 to $74,999$2,830.103.8% to 5.7%
$75,000 to $99,999$3,347.693.3% to 4.5%
$100,000 to $199,999$4,436.362.2% to 4.4%
3 more rows
Apr 14, 2024

What is a downside of receiving a tax refund? ›

You're not keeping that money within your own decision-making powers. Sure, it'll come back when you file taxes and receive your refund, but for many months out of the year, that money has not been working on your behalf for things like your investments, savings goals, or debt payoff.

Why did I only get a $100 tax refund? ›

If you owe money to a federal or state agency, the federal government may use part or all of your federal tax refund to repay the debt. This is called a tax refund offset. If your tax refund is lower than you calculated, it may be due to a tax refund offset for an unpaid debt such as child support.

Why do some people get huge tax refunds? ›

However, the size of the refund you receive depends on a wide range of factors. Things like how much money you earned, how much you paid into taxes and what expenses you faced throughout the year all play a role. Moreover, if you're a homeowner, you may be able to increase your tax return even further.

Why are people getting smaller refunds this year? ›

Changes to your income last year may play a role in receiving a smaller refund this tax season. Here are some examples: Salary increase: If you got a salary increase last year but neglected to increase your tax withholding, this could lead to a smaller tax refund when you file.

Why am I getting so little back in taxes in 2024? ›

You may be in line for a smaller tax refund this year if your income rose in 2023. Earning a lot of interest in a bank account could also lead to a smaller refund. A smaller refund isn't necessarily terrible, since it means you got paid sooner rather than loaning the IRS money for no good reason.

Why is receiving a large tax refund a bad thing Dave Ramsey? ›

Receiving a large federal tax return is bad because the government is taking your money, investing it, and giving you no interest for your money. They are giving back the same amount of money that you could have invested or saved, and allow your money to grow.

Why don't you want a big tax refund? ›

The simple reason you don't want a tax refund is that getting one means that you've just loaned the U.S. government your money—without making any interest. It's not the smartest financial plan, especially if you're lugging around credit card debt, student loans or any other kind of debt.

Is it better to pay taxes or get a refund? ›

The best strategy is breaking even, owing the IRS an amount you can easily pay, or getting a small refund,” Clare J. Fazackerley, CPA, CFP, told Finance Buzz. “You don't want to owe more than $1,000 because you'll have an underpayment penalty of 5% interest, which is more than you can make investing the money.

How do I not get a big tax refund? ›

If you always get a big refund – and you'd rather have that money in your pocket every month – increase the number of personal allowances on the W-4 worksheet to have a tad more money taken out for taxes. On the other hand, if you usually owe taxes every year, you may want to decrease the personal allowances.

What is too big of a tax return? ›

How do I know if my tax refund is too large? The average tax refund for the 2021 filing year was $3,039. If your refund is close to this amount, or it exceeds it, it's likely too large. Make sure you take steps toward lowering your refund amount for the next tax year so you can put those funds to better use.

How big is the average tax refund? ›

States with the largest/smallest average refunds for tax year 2021
RankStateAverage refund
6Nevada$4,884
7Connecticut$4,877
8Texas$4,753
9California$4,671
6 more rows
Mar 11, 2024

Is there a penalty for too big of a tax refund? ›

In cases of erroneous claim for refund or credit, a penalty amount is 20 percent of the excessive amount claimed. An “excessive amount” is defined as the amount of the claim for refund or credit that exceeds the amount allowable for any taxable year.

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