Mortgage Rate Trends And Predictions | Bankrate (2024)

Written by

Andrew Dehan

Andrew Dehan

February 28, 2024

Advertiser Disclosure

You have money questions. Bankrate has answers.

Our experts have been helping you master your money for over four decades. We continually strive to provide consumers with the expert advice and tools needed to succeed throughout life’s financial journey.

Bankrate is an independent, advertising-supported publisher and comparison service. We arecompensatedin exchange for placement of sponsored products and services, or when you click on certain links posted on our site. Therefore, this compensation may impact how, where and in what order products appear within listing categories, except where prohibited by law for our mortgage, home equity and other home lending products. However, this compensation in no way affects Bankrate’s news coverage, recommendations or advice as we adhere to stricteditorial guidelines.

Our advertisers do not compensate us for favorable reviews or recommendations. Our site has comprehensive free listings and information for a variety of financial services from mortgages to banking to insurance, but we don’t include every product in the marketplace. In addition, though we strive to make our listings as current as possible, check with the individual providers for the latest information.

sssss

At Bankrate we strive to help you make smarter financial decisions. While we adhere to strict editorial integrity, this post may contain references to products from our partners. Here’s an explanation for how we make money.

Mortgage rates should hold steady for the coming week, according to the majority of rate watchers polled by Bankrate.

Of those polled, 63 percent of respondents anticipate little movement from mortgage rates in the upcoming week, while 25 percent believe rates will decrease. Only 13 percent predict rates will rise.

The average 30-year fixed rate rose to 7.22 percent as of Feb. 28, according to Bankrate’s national survey of large lenders, up from last week’s average of 7.13.

Estimate your monthly mortgage payment based on current rates using this calculator.

Rate Trend Index

Experts predict where mortgage rates are headed

Week of Feb. 29-Mar. 6, 2024

Experts say rates will...

Go up13%
Stay the same63%
Go down25%

Percentages might not equal 100 due to rounding.

Inflation isn’t settling down as quickly as was expected, so this will keep a floor under mortgage rates until we get some better data.

— Greg McBride
Bankrate

13%say rates will go up

Mortgage Rate Trends And Predictions | Bankrate (2)

Mortgage Rate Trends And Predictions | Bankrate (3)

Ken H. Johnson

Real estate economist,Florida Atlantic University

In roughly the last two months, the 10-year Treasury yield is up 50 basis points. Depending on the source, the 30-year mortgage rate is up 48 basis points. Where the 10-year Treasury yield goes, mortgage rates will follow. Treasurys’ path remains a coin toss at this point. Next week, long-term mortgage rates will increase slightly.

25%say rates will go down

Mortgage Rate Trends And Predictions | Bankrate (4)Mortgage Rate Trends And Predictions | Bankrate (5)

Mortgage Rate Trends And Predictions | Bankrate (6)

Heather Devoto

Vice President, Branch Manager,First Home Mortgage, McLean, VA

I am looking for rates to move lower in the week ahead following the market’s reaction to updated inflation metrics.

Mortgage Rate Trends And Predictions | Bankrate (7)

Jeff Lazerson

President,MortgageGrader

Down. Consumer confidence slumped a bit in February. A mortgage rate drop is a logical consequence.

63%say unchanged

Mortgage Rate Trends And Predictions | Bankrate (8)Mortgage Rate Trends And Predictions | Bankrate (9)Mortgage Rate Trends And Predictions | Bankrate (10)Mortgage Rate Trends And Predictions | Bankrate (11)Mortgage Rate Trends And Predictions | Bankrate (12)

Mortgage Rate Trends And Predictions | Bankrate (13)

Michael Becker

Branch manager,Sierra Pacific Mortgage, White Marsh, Maryland

Mortgage rates and bond yields have been very stable over the last week. There hasn’t been a lot of data that can move the bond markets. We do have the PCE, or Personal Consumption Expenditures, report on Feb. 29, but unless it contains a surprise, bond markets have already digested the CPI report, so I don’t expect that to move markets much. The next big report that could move bond markets is the employment report slated for March 8. Because of this, I expect mortgage rates to be flat over the coming week.

Mortgage Rate Trends And Predictions | Bankrate (14)

Melissa Cohn

Regional Vice President,William Raveis Mortgage

Mortgage rates will remain range bound this week. With no data to move rates up or down, they will remain unchanged until we get the next batch of economic data. Mortgage rates will start moving again in March as new data on inflation, employment and consumer spending are released.

Mortgage Rate Trends And Predictions | Bankrate (15)

Dick Lepre

Loan agent,CrossCountry Mortgage, Alamo, CA

Trend: Flat. Rates will stay flat as market participants see no unexpected data.

Mortgage Rate Trends And Predictions | Bankrate (16)

Greg McBride

CFA, chief financial analyst,Bankrate.com

Inflation isn’t settling down as quickly as was expected, so this will keep a floor under mortgage rates until we get some better data.

Mortgage Rate Trends And Predictions | Bankrate (17)

Les Parker

CMB, managing director,Transformational Mortgage Solutions, Jacksonville, Florida

Mortgage rates [will] go nowhere. Here's a parody of Duran Duran's 1992 hit "Ordinary World:” "And as Bonds try to break their way to the ordinary world, they will learn to survive." Rates are trapped waiting for news that transforms its new ordinary world.

More information on mortgage rates

  • Compare current mortgage rates for today
  • Weekly mortgage rate analysis
  • Mortgage interest rates forecast
Mortgage Rate Trends And Predictions | Bankrate (2024)

FAQs

Are mortgage rates predicted to drop? ›

In its April Mortgage Finance Forecast, the Mortgage Bankers Association predicts that mortgage rates will fall from 6.8% in the first quarter of 2024 to 6.4% by the fourth quarter. The industry group expects rates will fall below the 6% threshold in the fourth quarter of 2025.

What is the interest rate forecast for the next 5 years? ›

Projected Interest Rates in the Next Five Years

ING's interest rate predictions indicate 2024 rates starting at 4%, with subsequent cuts to 3.75% in the second quarter. Then, 3.5% in the third, and 3.25% in the final quarter of 2024. In 2025, ING predicts a further decline to 3%.

How low will mortgage rates go in 2024? ›

Mortgage rate predictions 2024

The MBA's forecast suggests that 30-year mortgage rates will fall into the 6.4% to 6.7% range throughout the rest of 2024, and Fannie Mae is forecasting the same. NAR believes rates will average 7.1% this quarter and fall to 6.5% by the end of 2024.

Should I lock in a mortgage rate today? ›

Once you find a rate that is an ideal fit for your budget, lock in the rate as soon as possible. There is no way to predict with certainty whether a rate will go up or down in the weeks or even months it sometimes takes to close your loan.

Will mortgage rates ever be 3 again? ›

After all, higher rates equate to higher minimum payments. So, you may be wondering if, and when, mortgage rates might fall to 3% or lower again - and whether or not it's worth waiting to buy a home until they do. Although rates could fall to 3% again one day, it's not likely to happen any time soon.

What is the interest rate forecast for 2024? ›

Expert predictions for mortgage rates in 2024

In Fannie Mae's latest rate forecast, the government-sponsored enterprise said it expects 30-year fixed rates to end 2024 at 6.4%.

How low will mortgage rates go in 2025? ›

The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate as of Thursday was 6.99%. By the final quarter of 2025, Fannie Mae expects that to slide to 6.0%.

What is the mortgage rate forecast for 2026? ›

The 10-year treasury constant maturity rate in the U.S. is forecast to decline by 0.8 percent by 2026, while the 30-year fixed mortgage rate is expected to fall by 1.6 percent. From seven percent in the third quarter of 2023, the average 30-year mortgage rate is projected to reach 5.4 percent in 2026.

How low will interest rates go in 2025? ›

Here's where three experts predict mortgage rates are heading: Around 6% or below by Q1 2025: "Rates hit 8% towards the end of last year, and right now we are seeing rates closer to 6.875%," says Haymore. "By the first quarter of 2025, mortgage rates could potentially fall below the 6% threshold, or maybe even lower."

Will 2024 be a better time to buy a house? ›

Yes. This is the best time to buy a house in California. With the current trend in the CA housing market, you'll find better deals on your dream home during Q2 2024. As per Fannie Mae, mortgage rates may drop more in Q2 of 2024 due to economic changes, inflation, and central bank policy adjustments.

How high could mortgage rates go by 2025? ›

The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate as of Friday is 6.91%. By the final quarter of 2025, Fannie Mae expects that to slide to 6.0%.

What will mortgage rates be in summer 2024? ›

“We revised our mortgage rate forecast downward slightly month over month. We now forecast the 30-year fixed rate mortgage rate to average 6.6% in 2024, and to average 6.1% in 2025.”

What if rates drop after I lock? ›

If interest rates go up after you've locked in your rate, you get to keep the lower rate. On the other hand, if you lock your rate and interest rates fall, you can't take advantage of the lower rate unless your rate lock includes a float-down option.

Should you buy a house when interest rates are high? ›

The bottom line. Today's elevated mortgage rate environment isn't preferable for homebuyers, but it doesn't mean that you should refrain from acting, either. If you discover your dream home, can afford the interest rate, find an affordable house, or have an alternative to rent, it can be worth it for you now.

What day of the week are mortgage rates lowest? ›

The best day of the week to lock in a mortgage rate is Monday. This is because the history of mortgage rates shows it's the least volatile day of the week when it comes to the mortgage market. Potential homebuyers will want to avoid volatility.

Will mortgage rates drop in the next 5 years? ›

The general consensus among industry professionals is that mortgage rates will slowly decline in the last quarter of 2024. The projected declines have shrunk, though, in recent months. At the start of the year, for instance, Fannie Mae predicted rates would drop to 5.8%.

What will mortgage interest rates be in 2026? ›

The 10-year treasury constant maturity rate in the U.S. is forecast to decline by 0.8 percent by 2026, while the 30-year fixed mortgage rate is expected to fall by 1.6 percent. From seven percent in the third quarter of 2023, the average 30-year mortgage rate is projected to reach 5.4 percent in 2026.

What will interest rates be in March 2024? ›

Interest rates have held steady since July 2023.

At its March 2024 gathering the Fed decided to keep the federal funds target rate at 5.25% to 5.5%, where it has remained since July 2023. To combat ongoing inflation, the rate was raised 11 times between March 2022 and July 2023.

Top Articles
Latest Posts
Article information

Author: Stevie Stamm

Last Updated:

Views: 5846

Rating: 5 / 5 (80 voted)

Reviews: 87% of readers found this page helpful

Author information

Name: Stevie Stamm

Birthday: 1996-06-22

Address: Apt. 419 4200 Sipes Estate, East Delmerview, WY 05617

Phone: +342332224300

Job: Future Advertising Analyst

Hobby: Leather crafting, Puzzles, Leather crafting, scrapbook, Urban exploration, Cabaret, Skateboarding

Introduction: My name is Stevie Stamm, I am a colorful, sparkling, splendid, vast, open, hilarious, tender person who loves writing and wants to share my knowledge and understanding with you.