Japan adopts negative interest rate in surprise move (2024)

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Japan adopts negative interest rate in surprise move (1)Image source, EPA

In a surprise move, the Bank of Japan has introduced a negative interest rate.

The benchmark rate of -0.1% means that commercial banks will be charged by the central bank for some deposits.

It is designed to encourage them to use their reserves to lend to businesses in an attempt to counter Japan's economic stagnation.

The charge does not directly apply to ordinary customers' accounts.

The country is desperate to increase spending and investment.

Desperate

One of the side effects of a moribund economy is falling prices - something that can send an economy into a downward spiral as customers hold off spending in the hope prices will fall yet lower.

Japan has been desperate to boost consumer spending for years. At one point it even issued shopping vouchers to stimulate demand.

The eurozone has negative interest rates, but this is a first for the third-largest economy.

It is a move that has been on the cards for Japan's stagnating economy for well over 10 years.

The decision to go negative came after a narrow 5-4 vote at the Bank of Japan's first meeting of the year on Friday.

"The BoJ will cut interest rates further into negative territory if judged as necessary," the Bank of Japan (BoJ) said, adding it would continue as long as needed to achieve an inflation target of 2%.

Some analysts have cast doubt over how effective the rate cut will be.

Analysis: Andrew Walker, economics correspondent

The Bank of Japan is imposing a negative interest rate on accounts it holds for commercial banks. It will start to charge them for looking after their cash. The European Central Bank and a few others are already doing it. But the Bank of Japan's negative rate is going to bite very gradually. The amount affected will build up over time. The move does not directly affect savers. They don't have accounts at the central bank. But certainly their banks could decide to pass on the cost they in turn will face as the impact of the negative rate accumulates. So perhaps in time savers will in effect be paying to keep their money at the bank. So they would have more of an incentive to spend.

In a press conference, the BoJ's governor Haruhiko Kuroda said the weakening growth rate of the global economy was the main factor behind the move: "Japan's economy continues to recover moderately and the underlying price trend is improving steadily... further falls in oil prices, uncertainty over emerging economies, including China, and global market instability could hurt business confidence and delay the eradication of people's deflationary mindset."

Earlier in the day, fresh economic data had again highlighted concerns over economic growth. The December core inflation rate was shown to be at 0.1% - far below the central bank's target.

Asian shares jumped and the yen fell across the board in reaction to the announcement. Japanese banks though saw their shares drop on the news as lenders are likely to see their margins squeezed even more.

Image source, AFP

Mariko Oi, BBC News: 'Kuroda bazooka'

The decision to implement a negative interest rate has been dubbed "Kuroda bazooka" after the governor of the Bank of Japan.

Haruhiko Kuroda is well known for making surprise moves that shock investors. Only a few weeks ago, Mr Kuroda told the parliamentary budget committee that he would not introduce more stimulus for the economy.

So today's announcement caused the stock market to jump while the yen fell sharply against major currencies.

The option of lowering the cost of borrowing below zero has been on the cards for Japan's central bank since the early 2000s and it was the first in the world to consider it.

But when it comes to implementing the policy, Denmark, Sweden and Switzerland were first, followed by the European Central Bank which had to do everything it could to keep the EU economy afloat after the eurozone economic crisis.

Last resort

There are doubts, however, over how well the new policy will work.

"Negative interest rates are one of the last instruments in the BoJ's tool box," Martin Schulz of the Fujitsu Institute in Tokyo told the BBC. "But their impact is unlikely to be strong."

Mr Schulz cautioned that in the eurozone, negative interest rates are being used to tackle a financial crisis, whereas Japan is in a protracted slow growth environment.

"In Japan, credit didn't expand not because banks were unwilling to lend but because businesses didn't see the investment perspective to borrow. Even with negative interest rates, this situation will not change."

"Businesses don't need money - they need investment opportunities. And that can only be achieved by structural reforms, not by monetary policy," he said.

The decision comes in addition to the BoJ's massive asset-buying programme, which over the past years has failed to boost growth.

Bill Blain, of Mint Partners, said monetary authorities' moves to ever-cheaper money since the financial crisis that began in 2008 have distorted global markets - and investors were uneasy: "Investors are worried that the only place we've seen any inflation has been in financial assets, things like stocks, property and bonds. And as a result everyone is suddenly worried they are sitting on nightmares."

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Japan adopts negative interest rate in surprise move (2024)

FAQs

Why did Japan adopt negative interest rates? ›

Negative interest rates are used by central banks to stimulate economic growth and combat deflation. In Japan, negative interest rates were an “extraordinary form of large-scale monetary easing that has continued for many years,” said Seisaku Kameda, the Executive Economist at the Sompo Institute Plus.

Will the end of Japan's negative rates be a slow moving tsunami? ›

For the entire decade ending in 2022, the final annual increase never exceeded 2.4%. Much likely won't change in the short term. The Bank of Japan will probably pace its rate increases slowly: The past couple of years have, if anything, reaffirmed its reputation for moving slowly and deliberately.

What does the end of Japan's negative interest rate mean in BNN? ›

(Bloomberg) -- The Bank of Japan scrapped the world's last negative interest rate, ending the most aggressive monetary stimulus program in modern history, while also indicating that financial conditions will stay accommodative for now.

What country has a negative interest rate? ›

Countries with negative interest rates earn credit instead of paying interest on loans. Switzerland, Japan, and Denmark enjoy the privileges afforded by negative interest rates.

What does negative interest rate mean? ›

Negative interest rates are a monetary policy in which interest is paid from lenders to borrowers, rather than from borrowers to lenders. This atypical scenario plays out during deep recessions or periods of deflation when monetary efforts and market forces have already pushed interest rates close to or zero.

Why doesn t Japan raise interest rate? ›

Japan's thinking for this decision was that for such a fragile economy, with weak demand to begin with, raising rates would only endanger any hard-won growth and make it more difficult for the country to service its debt.

How fast can a tsunami travel without losing energy? ›

In the deep ocean, tsunamis can move as fast as a jet plane, over 500 mph, and can cross entire oceans in less than a day. As the waves enter shallow water near land, they slow to the speed of a car, approximately 20 or 30 mph.

How does Japan adapt to tsunamis? ›

Now, Japan has a network of early warning instrumentation systems to sense earthquakes on the ocean floor, the New York Times reported. They've built seawalls to protect against tsunamis in some of their coastal cities. And the people there are learn early how to react in case of earthquakes and tsunamis.

Will climate change cause more tsunamis? ›

For instance, the biggest threat to tsunamis are rising sea levels – which are being aggravated by climate change. The reason that rising sea levels can make tsunamis even worse than they already are is because higher sea levels can allow for tsunamis to travel further inland and cause even more damage.

Did BOJ end the era of negative interest rates? ›

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) has ended eight years of negative interest rates, representing the country's first interest rate increase in nearly two decades. Rates remain around zero, though, with the BoJ's overnight call rate set as its new policy rate, which is in a range of 0-0.1%.

What is Japan's interest rate? ›

Japan's central bank has raised the cost of borrowing for the first time in 17 years. The Bank of the Japan (BOJ) increased its key interest rate from -0.1% to a range of 0%-0.1%. It comes as wages have jumped after consumer prices rose.

Why is yen weaker? ›

The yen has been steadily falling for more than three years and has lost about a third of its value since the start of 2021. The yen is also the lowest-rate, or yielding, G10 currency. That means investors are borrowing it cheaply and selling it to invest in higher-yielding currencies, driving its price down.

Who benefits from negative interest rates? ›

When interest rates are negative, lenders pay borrowers for holding debt. This means that someone gets paid interest for holding a loan, such as a mortgage or personal loan. As such, banks lose out while borrowers benefit.

Why is Japan using negative interest rates? ›

The BoJ started its negative interest rate policy in 2016 to prevent a stronger yen from damaging the export-oriented economy, and to fight deflation, though after significant wage increases at large companies, the bank decided to end the policy.

What country has the lowest interest rate in the world? ›

The 5 Countries With the Lowest Interest Rates
  1. Switzerland. The Swiss National Bank reported an unchanged benchmark of a three-month SARON of -0.75%. ...
  2. Denmark. The primary interest rate in Denmark is the certificate of deposit rate set by the Central Bank of Denmark. ...
  3. Japan. ...
  4. Sweden. ...
  5. Spain.

Why does Japan have negative bond yields? ›

The Bank of Japan ended its negative interest rate regime, the world's last. The measure had been adopted to encourage bank lending, spur demand and nurture inflation. Now the BOJ sees the tool's mission as having ended, with strong wage gains helping to bring its inflation goal into sight.

Why is Japan experience a negative growth rate? ›

Analysts pointed out that subdued domestic demand prevented Japan from escaping negative growth during the quarter, and that the primary reason for Japan's weak domestic demand is attributed to persistent inflation with wage increases lagging behind price hikes, resulting in suppressed household purchasing power.

Why did Japan have deflation? ›

Japan Enters Deflation in 1998 Following NPL Problem

As land prices continued to fall, the problem of nonperforming loans (NPLs) at financial institutions increased, resulting in a series of bankruptcies at major financial institutions.

Why did QE not work in Japan? ›

Issues: Purchasing assets from banks proved ineffective as it did not spur bank lending, in fact, bank lending shrunk during this period. Fast unwinding of QE could have easily jeopardised the fragile recovery. QE1 was too focused on shorter-term instruments and banks were not keen to lend.

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