How To Hedge Against the Onset of Recession: Your Financial Guide for 2023 and Beyond (2024)

What’s Going On?

2022 has come to an end, and, as a result, we’re onto a new frontier for what is to become a tumultuous year of volatile economic behavior. Heightened interest rates, in particular, are amplifying the probability for a severe recession. Looking into the future, it becomes all the more crucial to safeguard one’s financial well-being and prepare for any potential economic downturns for the sake of self security. The realm of personal finance is a tricky one in scope of a shaky U.S. economy; however, there are plenty of ways to hedge oneself against a faltering economy, and here’s how to do it:

1.) Establish an emergency fund:

Maintaining a reserve of savings that one can turn to in the event of unexpected expenses or job loss can provide a sense of security and enable one to weather any economic storms. As a general rule, it is advisable to save at least three to six months’ worth of living expenses in a high-yield savings account or money market fund. This will provide a financial safety net to fall back on should one experience a temporary loss of income or unanticipated expenses.

2.) Diversify one’s investment portfolio:

Rather than putting all of one’s eggs in a single basket, it is advisable to diversify one’s investment portfolio across a range of asset classes, such as stocks, bonds, and real estate. This can help mitigate the impact of any one investment on one’s overall financial health. For instance, if the stock market experiences a downturn, the performance of one’s bond investments may help offset any losses.

3.) Pay down debt:

High levels of debt can be a burden in any economic environment, but particularly in times of economic uncertainty. It is therefore advisable to prioritize paying down high-interest credit card debt and any other debt that is impeding one’s financial stability. By reducing one’s debt load, one will have more financial flexibility and be in a stronger position to weather any economic challenges.

4.) Explore alternative income streams:

Having multiple sources of income can provide a financial buffer in the event that one source dries up. One may wish to consider taking on a side hustle or investing in passive income opportunities, such as rental properties or dividend-paying stocks. This can help diversify one’s income and provide a greater degree of financial security.

5.) Enhance one’s skills and knowledge:

In times of economic uncertainty, it is essential to be proactive in terms of improving one’s skills and knowledge. This can make one more marketable and increase one’s chances of weathering any job losses or reductions in income. One may wish to consider taking classes or obtaining additional certifications in one’s field. By staying current and in-demand, one will be in a stronger position to negotiate higher pay or secure new opportunities should one experience a job loss.

6.) Review and revise one’s budget:

In times of economic uncertainty, it is advisable to closely scrutinize one’s budget and identify areas where expenses can be reduced. By cutting unnecessary costs and streamlining one’s spending, one can increase one’s financial flexibility and better prepare for any potential economic challenges.

7.) Increase one’s credit score:

A strong credit score can open the door to more favorable loan terms and lower interest rates. By paying bills on time and maintaining a low credit utilization ratio, one can improve one’s credit score and position oneself to take advantage of any opportunities that may arise.

8.) Consider alternative forms of employment:

In the event of job loss or reduced income, it may be necessary to explore alternative forms of employment. One may wish to consider freelancing, consulting, or temporary work as a means of maintaining one’s income and financial stability.

9.) Invest in one’s education:

In times of economic uncertainty, it is essential to be proactive in terms of enhancing one’s skills and knowledge. By investing in one’s education, one can make oneself more marketable and increase one’s chances of weathering any job losses or income reductions.

10.) Cultivate a network of professional contacts:

Maintaining a strong network of professional contacts can open the door to new opportunities and provide a valuable source of support and guidance. By regularly attending industry events, networking, and maintaining strong relationships with colleagues and industry professionals, one can enhance one’s professional network and increase one’s chances of weathering any economic challenges.

How To Hedge Against the Onset of Recession: Your Financial Guide for 2023 and Beyond (1)

By following these steps, one can take control of one’s financial future and safeguard oneself against any potential economic downturns. Do not delay — take action now to secure your financial well-being.

How To Hedge Against the Onset of Recession: Your Financial Guide for 2023 and Beyond (2024)

FAQs

What is the best hedge against a recession? ›

A good investment strategy during a recession is to look for companies that are maintaining strong balance sheets or steady business models despite the economic headwinds. Some examples of these types of companies include utilities, basic consumer goods conglomerates, and defense stocks.

Where is the safest place to put your money during a recession? ›

Saving Accounts

Like checking accounts, they're federally insured and are generally the simplest and safest place to keep cash in good times and bad. Other advantages of savings accounts include: Simple to open and maintain. Deposits are fully insured.

What are the three common hedging strategies to reduce market risk? ›

At a high level, there are three hedge strategy types that companies deploy:
  • Budget hedge to lock in a budget rate.
  • Layering hedge to smooth rate impacts.
  • Year-over-year (YoY) hedge to protect the prior year's rates (50% is likely achievable)

What is the best asset to hold during a recession? ›

Still, here are seven types of investments that could position your portfolio for resilience if recession is on your mind:
  • Defensive sector stocks and funds.
  • Dividend-paying large-cap stocks.
  • Government bonds and top-rated corporate bonds.
  • Treasury bonds.
  • Gold.
  • Real estate.
  • Cash and cash equivalents.
Nov 30, 2023

Where not to invest during a recession? ›

Strategic investing.

During a crisis or recession, you may want to avoid investments in companies or industries that are known to be cyclical, speculative, or high risk, such as unproven startups, hospitality services, and manufacturers, and retailers of luxury consumer goods.

What is the safest stock during a recession? ›

Utility sector stocks are generally considered defensive investments and are often a preferred flight-to-safety play during economic downturns. Utility companies have stable and predictable demand and cash flows, as well as limited competition.

What not to do in a recession? ›

What Are the Biggest Risks to Avoid During a Recession? Many types of financial risks are heightened in a recession. This means that you're better off avoiding some risks that you might take in better economic times—such as co-signing a loan, taking out an adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM), or taking on new debt.

Is it better to have cash or property in a recession? ›

Cash. Cash is an important asset when it comes to a recession. After all, if you do end up in a situation where you need to pull from your assets, it helps to have a dedicated emergency fund to fall back on, especially if you experience a layoff.

What do people buy most in a recession? ›

Toothpaste, deodorant, shampoo, toilet paper, and other grooming and personal care items are always in demand. Offering these types of items can position your business as a vital resource for consumers during tough times. People want to look good, even when times are tough.

What is the gold hedge strategy? ›

The hedge only protects against adverse movements in the relative value of the U.S. dollar as expressed in the U.S. dollar price of gold. By holding long gold futures contracts, investors stand to gain when the U.S. dollar loses value as expressed by gold.

What is an example of a perfect hedge? ›

We refer to a “perfect” hedge when there is a 1:1 correlation between the financial and physical markets. Example 1: Assume the price has gone down. On November 1st the spot market prices are $59.3/bbl and in that case (assuming perfect hedge) the December futures contract would be $60.30/bbl.

What are the 4 internal hedging techniques? ›

2.2 Internal Hedging Techniques : i) Netting, ii) Matching, iii) Leading and lagging, iv) Price Variation, v) Invoicing in foreign currency, vi) Asset Liability Management. 2.3 External Hedging Techniques : i) Hedging through forward contract, ii) Hedging through future contract, iii) Hedging through options, iv) ...

How to profit from a recession? ›

What businesses are profitable in a recession? Many investors turn to stocks in companies that sell consumer staples like health care, food and beverages, and personal hygiene products. These businesses typically remain profitable during recessions and their share prices tend to better resist stock market sell-offs.

How much cash should you hold in a recession? ›

Finance Experts All Say the Same Thing

They all said the same thing: You need three to six months' worth of living expenses in an easily accessible savings account.

Can you lose money in a savings account during a recession? ›

Your money is safe in a bank, even during an economic decline like a recession. Up to $250,000 per depositor, per account ownership category, is protected by the FDIC or NCUA at a federally insured financial institution. What happens if my bank fails during a recession?

What is the #1 hedge against inflation? ›

Traditionally, investments such as gold and real estate are preferred as a good hedge against inflation.

What sectors hold up best in a recession? ›

  • 5 Recession Resistant Industries.
  • Consumer Staples.
  • Grocery Stores/Discount Retail.
  • Alcoholic Beverages.
  • Cosmetics.
  • Death and Funeral Services.
  • The Bottom Line.

What grows in a recession? ›

Historically, the industries considered to be the most defensive and better placed to fare reasonably during recessions are utilities, health care, and consumer staples.

Is real estate a good hedge against recession? ›

Meanwhile, real estate is a hedge against inflation and has tax advantages. Even with inventory levels driving up prices, investing in real estate during a recession could still result in significant long-term returns. If you're willing to hold on to your investment, you can benefit from the eventual market rebound.

Top Articles
Latest Posts
Article information

Author: Aron Pacocha

Last Updated:

Views: 5529

Rating: 4.8 / 5 (48 voted)

Reviews: 95% of readers found this page helpful

Author information

Name: Aron Pacocha

Birthday: 1999-08-12

Address: 3808 Moen Corner, Gorczanyport, FL 67364-2074

Phone: +393457723392

Job: Retail Consultant

Hobby: Jewelry making, Cooking, Gaming, Reading, Juggling, Cabaret, Origami

Introduction: My name is Aron Pacocha, I am a happy, tasty, innocent, proud, talented, courageous, magnificent person who loves writing and wants to share my knowledge and understanding with you.