How Luxury Players Are Reviving New York’s Real Estate Market (2024)

“New York City is dead forever.” In the bleak summer of 2020, that headline ripped through a pandemic-alerted reality and touched a nerve.

Jerry Seinfeld offered a rebuttal, saying “Oh, shut up.” More than three years later, he is being vindicated. And nowhere is that vindication more evident than a two-block stretch of New York’s Fifth Avenue.

In that key Manhattan shopping corridor, the world’s biggest luxury brands are outdoing each other to score the best spots. Gucci’s parent and Prada-tied entities have raced to buy properties on the stretch from 58th to 56th street over the past two months for almost $2 billion combined. Louis Vuitton’s parent company, meanwhile, is looking at 745 Fifth, another corner spot just steps from the Plaza Hotel and Central Park, and near the gleaming condo towers on Billionaires’ Row.

The slew of blockbuster deals is proving to be a bright spot in an otherwise tough commercial property market. Higher borrowing costs have pummelled property valuations, an effect that’s rippling through the economy and stinging banks from New York to Japan.

New York’s luxury market was also in the doldrums as the pandemic walloped shopping corridors in the city and travel and tourism dried up. But the sudden surge of interest from the luxury brands in recent months shows the rapid recovery for a lofty segment of Manhattan’s retail real estate. The luxury conglomerates, backed by billionaire families with long-term horizons and coming off a post-pandemic boom, are seizing a moment — both in New York and globally — at a time when many traditional real estate investors have been sidelined as rates surged.

“These are tenants that are iconic, enmeshed and entrenched in these particular pockets” of New York, said Michael Marks, an executive director at Cushman & Wakefield. “They’ve been there, or envision themselves being there, for decades to come and this gives them an opportunity to control their destiny, to minimise rent fluctuation or spikes.”

The moves point to a crucial rebound in tourism for New York, which is battling cities including Beverly Hills, Dallas and Miami to host top brands and their lavish flagship stores, said Madelyn Wils, chief adviser for the Fifth Avenue Association. It’s a shift from just three years ago, when vacant storefronts were multiplying further south on the iconic avenue, near destinations such as Rockefeller Center and St. Patrick’s Cathedral.

The recent purchases have been a way for a handful of luxury billionaires to put their stamp on the area. Bernard Arnault, chief executive officer of LVMH Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton SE, is the world’s third-richest person with a fortune estimated at $185 billion, while Miuccia Prada Bianchi and her husband Patrizio Bertelli, Prada SpA’s chairman, have fortunes estimated around $6 billion each, according to the Bloomberg Billionaires Index. François Pinault, Kering SA’s founder, is worth $34 billion. His son François-Henri Pinault is chief executive officer of the Gucci owner.

Seizing a Moment

When the prime spots became available, the luxury companies moved quickly. The two Prada purchases — of 720 and 724 Fifth for a total of $835 million — were completed in less than 20 days in December, where transactions of such size normally take months, according to people familiar with the matter, asking not to be identified discussing private details. Kering’s $963 million deal for 715-717 Fifth closed in about a month, the people said.

Billionaire Jeff Sutton, who owns retail properties throughout New York, was the seller behind those deals. While the properties are located on a prime shopping corridor in Manhattan, they haven’t been free of hassle in recent years as battles with lenders and Prada as a tenant have cropped up.

Still, the Prada building transactions mark a solid gain for its owners. The sale of 724 and 720 Fifth at $425 million and $410 million, respectively, was far above the $223 million and $153 million Sutton and partner SL Green Realty Corp. paid for the buildings more than a decade ago, public records show. SL Green sold its stake in the Prada buildings to Sutton a few years ago, but still held a minority stake in the Kering ones.

The Fifth Avenue deals “developed quickly and confidently and I think it’s very, very exciting for the city,” SL Green CEO Marc Holliday said in January on an earnings call. “High-street retail in New York City is once again on the rise.”

Sutton and a representative for Prada declined to comment while Kering didn’t respond to a message seeking comment.

The transactions — among the largest in the city in the past 12 months — have given a boost to New York’s otherwise largely frozen commercial-property market. High borrowing costs are still squeezing out many other potential buyers and rising vacancies have slammed valuations for some buildings, especially offices.

With ready cash and long-term horizons, the luxury conglomerates are seizing a moment at a time when many traditional real estate investors are sidelined, according to Will Silverman, the Eastdil Secured managing director who worked on the Prada and Kering deals. And with stores on Fifth Avenue already, he said, the companies have real-time knowledge of the area and its shopping patterns.

For the biggest luxury companies, owning Fifth Avenue real estate is an extension of how they’ve done business globally, buying properties along the hottest international shopping strips.

LVMH had a record year of property acquisitions in 2023, purchasing roughly €2.45 billion ($2.63 billion) of real estate, mostly for retail operations, in places such as central London and Paris’ avenue des Champs-Elysees. In 2022, the luxury giant bought 22 Avenue Montaigne, where its headquarters are based. Kering also has purchased prime retail sites in recent years, including in Paris and Tokyo.

On the Champs-Elysees, LVMH is currently renovating a building for its biggest label Louis Vuitton. A renovated flagship for the company’s Christian Dior brand at 30 Avenue Montaigne opened in 2022 and houses a museum, restaurant, guest suite and gardens.

“LVMH would never have done a boutique like 30 Montaigne for Dior in Paris had it been renting the location,” LVMH chief financial officer Jean-Jacques Guiony told Bloomberg on Jan. 25 after the company’s earnings announcement. “If we’re a landlord, it allows to have a different vision.”

New York, for its part, has already seen the benefit of LVMH’s investments.

The conglomerate previously cemented its status on Fifth Avenue with the. in a building at the corner of 57th Street. When the flagship store — among the largest in the company’s entire 75-brand portfolio — reopened in April, it had “a ripple effect,” said Marie Boster, president of the Fifth Avenue Association.

“Stores reported to us that they saw sales that weekend that were unprecedented,” Boster said. “Investments are working, and that’s contributing to the momentum in interest that we’re seeing on Fifth Avenue.”

Meanwhile, jeweller Harry Winston is also tackling a major renovation and expansion of its landmark store at 718 Fifth, a project that started years ago.

With most of the prized corners on upper Fifth Avenue claimed, demand likely will spread to other prestigious retail submarkets in New York, according to Cushman’s Marks. Places such as Madison Avenue are seeing a resurgence after being decimated by the pandemic and the broader rise of e-commerce. SoHo is also drawing more interest, from contemporary and high-end labels as well as restaurants.

Top brands “are seeking great locations and they’re becoming harder and harder to find,” said Mark Masinter, chairman of global retail at Newmark Group Inc. “While Fifth Avenue specifically around this specific grouping of acquisitions is a very interesting story, the broader story is the rebound of New York City.”

By Natalie Wong and Angelina Rascouet

How Luxury Players Are Reviving New York’s Real Estate Market (2024)

FAQs

What two fifth avenue blocks are at the center of New York's retail real estate revival? ›

Gucci, Prada, Louis Vuitton: the two Fifth Avenue blocks leading New York's retail revival.

How is the New York real estate market? ›

Recent Trends in NYC's Home Purchase Market

Based on data from StreetEasy, the median sales price for homes that sold in 2023 was $764K, down about 2% from a record high of $782K in 2022 but back up to $785K in early 2024.

Is NYC real estate still a good investment? ›

According to StreetEasy, the average home for sale in NYC receives 9% more offers from potential buyers than in 2022. NeighborhoodScout's latest data on the NYC housing market showed that the cumulative appreciation rate over 10 years was 79.16%. The annual average real estate appreciation rate in NYC is 6.00%.

Is the luxury market changing? ›

Considering the high growth rates in 2021 and 2022, even advancing 4% in 2023 is remarkable. But given historical patterns and current economic uncertainty, it's more likely the luxury market growth will continue to slow, even contract in 2024 rather than meet Bain's low-to-mid-single digit growth projection.

Who owns the most properties in New York City? ›

New York's 10 biggest property owners
  • The city of New York: Unsurprisingly the city's own government came out on top with the amount of properties and square footage it owns across the city. ...
  • Vornado Realty Trust: With nearly 30 million square feet to its name, Vornado Realty Trust comes in second place.
Sep 14, 2018

Who owns the smallest piece of property in New York City? ›

Later, Yeshiva University came to own the property, including the Hess Triangle, and in October 1995 it was sold by Yeshiva to 70 Christopher Realty Corporation. Subsequent owners have left the plaque intact. The triangle and Village Cigars shop behind it were placed on sale in 2021.

Is now a good time to buy a house in NY? ›

The current real estate market conditions in New York are becoming favorable for home buyers. Here's how: Lower Mortgage Rates: The interest rates for home loans have decreased to 7.05%, marking a decline from approximately 8% in the preceding year of 2023.

What is the average price of a house in New York State? ›

Statewide, the median sales price reached $405,000 in the second quarter of 2023, which is a 1.8% decrease year over year. That's 2.7% lower than the national median home price of $416,100.

Is New York a good state to invest in real estate? ›

Is New York real estate a good long-term investment? Certainly, with its diverse economy, cultural richness, and population growth, New York offers robust long-term investment potential for real estate.

What is the outlook for NYC real estate? ›

Home Prices Will Continue to Rise: Home prices rose steadily in the top metros across NY YoY, reaching $519K in January 2024. Experts predict home prices will continue to rise until the low supply-high demand dynamic changes.

Will New York real estate recover? ›

The New York City real estate market came alive in the first quarter of 2024. Transaction volume ticked up substantially across all categories, with the second week in March seeing the number of contracts executed for $4 million or more in Manhattan rising to forty, a number not seen in well over a year.

Is buying a condo in NYC a good investment? ›

Most people can't afford to buy a New York City condo as an investment property, but for those who can swing it—and can handle the responsibilities of being a landlord, such as vetting potential tenants and dealing with midnight plumbing emergencies—it can be a good way to make some extra cash each month, hedge against ...

Why do the poor buy luxury items? ›

Some of the reasons why people buy luxury goods when they can't afford them include a sense of irrationality, the supposed quality, the impact they have on self-esteem, and a sense of accomplishment.

Why are luxury markets important today? ›

Luxury brands have traditionally represented the pinnacle of craftsmanship and exclusivity. However, in recent years, the industry has been at the forefront of embracing technology and digitalization, exploring new frontiers. AI, in particular, is making its presence felt in the luxury sector.

What is the prediction for the luxury market? ›

The luxury market is predicted to grow by 2%-4% in 2024, allowing for regional and international variations, according to McKinsey's analysis.

How many NYC blocks are in an avenue? ›

And an avenue block is generally about as long as 3 street blocks, so it really is a long block!

Are there any 5th Avenue mansions left? ›

991 Fifth Avenue is one of few Gilded Age mansions still intact today. Of the remaining residences is 991 Fifth Avenue, an extraordinary Upper East townhouse that's been meticulously preserved since it was built in 1901, at the tail end of the Gilded Age.

What is special about 5th Avenue New York? ›

This historic street has many world-renowned museums, businesses and stores, parks, luxury apartments, and historical landmarks that are reminiscent of its history and vision for the future.

Why were the 5th Avenue mansions demolished? ›

Sadly, the mansion was demolished in 1926 after being sold to a real estate developer and in its stead rose 666 Fifth Avenue.

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