Gold, silver rates fall on weak international cues verify MCX gold, silver, COMEX trading strategies (2024)

Gold rates had been trading flat to damaging on Tuesday, following international rates as a stronger dollar and comments from US Fed Chairman Jerome Powell on the economy weighed on yellow metal’s secure-haven appeal. MCX gold June futures had been trading Rs 34 down at Rs 47,285 per 10 gram, against the earlier close of Rs 47,319. Silver July futures had been ruling at Rs 70,738 per kg, down Rs 162 or .23 per cent. In the earlier session, silver futures ended at Rs 70,900 per kg. Globally, spot gold was down .2 per cent at $1,789.02 per ounce. The metal touched its highest due to the fact February 25, at $1,797.75 on Monday. US gold futures fell .2 per cent to $1,788.80 per ounce, according to Reuters.

Bhavik Patel, Senior Technical Research Analyst, Tradebulls Securities

Gold futures had powerful and respectable acquire yesterday as COMEX contract gained by $25 and in MCX, regardless of powerful rupee, MCX Gold gained by practically Rs.400 from yesterday’s opening tick. Factor which contributed to yesterday’s acquire was the weak US dollar and slightly reduce US Treasury yields. Lower than anticipated IHS Markit U.S. manufacturing activity pushed the US Dollar down. Yellen’s inflation outlook has helped to hold a cap on bond yields as she believes the huge infrastructure plan will not influence inflation as the plan would be spread more than next ten years. This has helped shift some of the sentiment from the bond market place to the gold market place and that is why we are seeing some fresh demand for gold.

Although gold rates have been unable to break above $1,800 an ounce, I am nevertheless optimistic that this level will sooner or later break. The essential macroeconomic information for gold will release this Friday which is US jobs report from April. Hedge funds are rising their bearish bets as gold is unable to cross $1800 level but we think tide will be turned after gold sustains above $1800 level. In MCX, we nevertheless propose to purchase on dips close to Rs 47,000 with anticipated target of Rs 47,700 and stoploss of Rs 46,500. Short term help for gold is Rs 46,450 and any upside momentum will only shift if gold closes under that level.

NS Ramaswamy, Head of Commodities, Ventura Securities

Today, we count on the MCX Gold June value to trade positive for intraday. Yesterday, It has sharply closed above the 20-day moving typical and today it is most likely to cross above the one hundred-day moving typical. On the hourly chart, MCX GOLD rates have closed above the essential averages which will support the rates to rise additional. Once rates start out trading above 47,500 level then rates are most likely to cross 48,000 level. On the downside 46,800 will be the essential help for the value. On the Comex front, the Gold value will face powerful resistance at $1800/ounce and breaking above which, next leg of the rally will head towards $1850/ounce in the coming sessions.

MCX SILVER Jul rates are seeking bullish for the intraday. The RSI indicator on the every day chart has moved in the positive zone suggesting a powerful momentum on the upside. Breaking above the current higher of 71,500 levels, we might see rates heading towards 74,000 levels in the coming trading sessions. On the downside, the 20-day moving typical will be the essential help which is now seen at 69,000 level. On the Comex Front, the Silver value will face a powerful hurdle zone at $27.00/ounce levels on a every day closing basis and breaking above which, next leg of the rally will march towards $27.50- $28.00/ounce levels in the coming trading sessions.

Ravindra Rao, CMT, EPAT, VP- Head Commodity Research at Kotak Securities

COMEX gold trades small changed close to $1790/oz soon after a 1.4% acquire yesterday. Gold stalled soon after failing to break previous the $1800/oz level and volatility in the US dollar. The US currency fell yesterday on disappointing information and cautious comments by Fed officials but has inched up today supported by basic US optimism. Amid other variables, help from increasing virus circ*mstances and loose monetary policy stance of big central banks is countered by weaker investor interest and issues about Indian demand. Choppiness in the US dollar as market place players assess Fed’s monetary policy stance might hold gold volatile nevertheless basic bias might be on the upside as central banks might sustain dovish stance.

Jigar Trivedi, Fundamental Research Analyst, Anand Rathi Shares and Stock Brokers

MCX Gold hit a more than two-month higher in the earlier session soon after the ISM PMI survey showed the US manufacturing sector expanded at a softer pace in April, due to slower development prices for each new orders and employment. Gold was currently gaining on the back of reduce US Treasury yields and mounting issues more than the coronavirus crisis. The typical every day price of new COVID-19 circ*mstances about the world has been above 800,000 for more than a week, with India reporting more than 300,000 new infections for the 12th straight day. Investors now await a raft of US financial information this week, such as non-farm payrolls. MCX silver July also sky rocketed above Rs. 70,000. Expectations of enhanced industrial demand as the financial recovery collect pace and a weaker dollar supplied lasting help. Since the yellow metal has gained sharply in the earlier session, it might expertise a compact correction but the tone is positive and we propose to go lengthy on just about every dip. Due to rise in industrial demand, silver as well has gained momentum and we continue to stay bullish in silver.

(The views in this story are expressed by the respective specialists of analysis and brokerage firm. TheSpuzz Online does not bear any duty for their guidance. Please seek advice from your investment advisor ahead of investing.)

Gold, silver rates fall on weak international cues verify MCX gold, silver, COMEX trading strategies (2024)

FAQs

What is the gold silver trading strategy? ›

Let's look at an example. The essence of trading the gold-silver ratio is to switch holdings when the ratio swings to historically determined extremes: When a trader possesses one ounce of gold and the ratio rises to an unprecedented 100, the trader would sell their single gold ounce for 100 ounces of silver.

Do gold and silver prices move together? ›

Gold and silver are thought to move together, and often they do. There are periods where the Gold Trust (GLD) and Silver Trust (SLV) move in opposite directions and periods where one metal outperforms the other. Gold is currently outperforming silver. Such discrepancies occur and are monitored by the gold/silver ratio.

What is the gold silver ratio technical analysis? ›

The gold/silver ratio measures the number of ounces of silver required to purchase one ounce of gold. By measuring the change in the gold/silver ratio over time, investors hope to estimate the relative valuations of the two precious metals, thus informing their decisions of which metal to buy or sell at any given time.

What is the correlation between gold and silver prices? ›

A beta equal to 1.0 indicates silver prices are strongly correlated with gold and have similar volatility. When this beta is greater than 1.0, the volatility of silver is higher than gold and less than that of gold when the beta is less than 1.0.

What is the 5 minute gold trading strategy? ›

It is one of the most popular strategies among gold scalpers. It got its name for the 5-minute timeframe, which means you are supposed to perform a trade within the next 5 minutes. However, it is not as simple as some may think, as it calls for the H1 period to perform the major trend analysis.

What does Warren Buffett think about gold and silver? ›

For Buffett, value relates back to usefulness, and without a specific use gold has neither. Interestingly, the same thought process does not apply to silver — Buffett has put money into silver before, and believes its dual nature as both a precious and an industrial metal make it useful and therefore valuable.

Will silver hit $100 an ounce? ›

Many experts in the space expect silver to perform strongly in the years to come, but don't necessarily see it reaching US$100 or more, especially given the current macroeconomic conditions.

Is silver going to skyrocket? ›

Global experts at Silver Institute are predicting silver may hit a high of US$48 this year, as its market also reacts to geopolitical issues and a year featuring several significant elections. They forecast that global silver demand will reach 1.2 billion ounces in 2024, the second-highest level recorded.

What is causing silver prices to drop? ›

The price of silver tends to track the performance of the overall stock market and the economy. During economic expansions, silver prices tend to rise along with GDP and markets, while during recessions silver prices generally fall as the economy slows.

What is the gold silver pair trading strategy? ›

Pair trading

For example, traders betting that the gold-silver ratio will decrease could take a long position in gold and a short position in silver, thereby enabling them to conceivably profit on the price action of both precious metals at once.

What is the best strategy for trading gold? ›

Top Gold trading strategies
  • Focus on small trades.
  • Pay attention to Gold charts.
  • Combine the strategies together.
  • Use trendlines.
  • Use previous highs and lows as support and resistance levels.
  • Pay attention to the volumes.
  • Don't make hasty decisions.
  • Analyse other markets.

How to trade gold silver ratio? ›

If the ratio rose to the higher end of its historical trend, such as above 100, then the trader could sell their one ounce of gold and buy 100 ounces of silver. As the ratio falls back down to a lower level of say 50, then the trader can sell their 100 ounces of silver and buy two ounces of gold.

What is the best gold-silver ratio? ›

This is mostly because silver is a more volatile asset, meaning it can experience more dramatic price swings compared to gold. - The gold-to-silver ratio typically ranges between 40:1 and 80:1. It's when the values fluctuate towards these extremes that investors usually make the decision to buy or sell.

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