Economic Calendar - Top 5 Things to Watch This Week By Investing.com (2024)

Economic Calendar - Top 5 Things to Watch This Week By Investing.com (1)© Reuters.

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Investing.com - U.S. gross domestic product, a hectic week of earnings and interest rate decisions in Japan, Canada and Turkey will keep market watchers on their toes this week as markets return from Eater holidays. Financial markets in Europe are to remain closed on Monday.

Here’s what you need to know to start your week.

1. U.S. GDP

An advance reading of U.S. economic growth in the first three months of 2019 is set to be released on Friday. Growth was 2.2% in the final quarter of 2018.

Economists are more upbeat about the first quarter growth outlook after data last week showing that the U.S. trade deficit unexpectedly narrowed in February as Chinese imports plunged in the face of President Donald Trump's tariffs.

Another report showed that U.S. retail sales grew at their strongest pace in one-and-a-half years in March.

One closely tracked gauge of quarterly GDP, the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta's GDPNow forecast model, showed Thursday that the economy expanded at a 2.8% annualized rate in the first quarter.

A month ago, GDPNow estimated annualized growth of just 0.2%, which would have been the lowest since a one-off GDP contraction in the first 2014 quarter.

2. Other economic reports

Ahead of the GDP report, data on Thursday will look at durable goods orders for March, with the consensus forecast for a rebound of 0.7% after a 1.6% decline in February. Other U.S. data includes reports on homes sales on Monday and Tuesday and a look at consumer sentiment on Friday.

Germany’s Ifo business confidence index, due on Wednesday, will be closely watched amid lingering concerns over the outlook for the euro area’s largest economy at a time when European Central Bank policymakers are debating whether stimulus measures are enough to spur inflation.

3. Earnings kick into high gear

U.S. first quarter earnings season ramps up after getting off to a mixed start with Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN), Facebook (NASDAQ:FB), Twitter (NYSE:TWTR) and Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) all reporting.

Also on the docket are Halliburton (NYSE:HAL), Hasbro (NASDAQ:HAS), Lockheed Martin Corporation (NYSE:LMT), Coca-Cola (NYSE:KO), eBay (NASDAQ:EBAY), United Tech (NYSE:UTX), Harley-Davidson (NYSE:HOG), AT&T (NYSE:T), Boeing (NYSE:BA), Caterpillar (NYSE:CAT), Chipotle (NYSE:CMG), Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT), Visa (NYSE:V), Intel (NASDAQ:INTC), Mattel (NASDAQ:MAT), Southwest Airlines (NYSE:LUV), Starbucks (NASDAQ:SBUX), Exxon (NYSE:XOM) and Chevron (NYSE:CVX).

In Europe, the auto sector will be in focus with a flurry of earnings due from Michelin (PA:MICP), Continental (LON:0LQ1), Daimler (LON:0NXX), Peugeot (PA:PEUP), and Renault (PA:RENA). These stocks are particularly sensitive to growth in China and will be watched as the stirrings of a recovery were felt in recent Chinese GDP data .

4. Central banks

Central banks in Japan, Canada and Turkey are all to hold meetings this week.

The Bank of Japan is widely expected to keep monetary policy on hold at its meeting on Thursday and to forecast that it expects inflation to remain below its 2% target.

The BOJ is facing a daunting task in its years-long efforts to help push up inflation toward its 2% goal, with a slowdown in global growth and trade making its task even more difficult.

The Bank of Canada will meet on Wednesday, with no change in interest rates expected.

Turkey’s central bank is to announce its latest rate decision on Thursday, and is also expected to keep rates on hold. The lira has recently come under pressure amid speculation that the central bank is borrowing to boost its foreign currency reserves.

5. U.S.-Japan trade talks

Donald Trump and Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe are due to meet in the White House on Friday for talks on U.S.-Japan trade and efforts to contain North Korea’s nuclear program.

Last week U.S. and Japanese officials held a first round of talks toward a new trade deal Trump has sought and the U.S. side raised concerns over the “very large” trade deficit with Tokyo.

Discussions on North Korea are likely to cover next steps after Trump’s failed meeting with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un in February.

-- Reuters contributed to this report

Economic Calendar - Top 5 Things to Watch This Week By Investing.com (2024)

FAQs

What is the Monday effect in the stock market? ›

The Monday Effect is a theory in finance that the prevailing trends in the stock market on Friday will continue into Monday. In very simple terms, if the market is up at close on Friday, it'll continue to go up at the open on Monday, and vice versa.

What is the day of the week effect in the stock market? ›

Day of the week effect is a phenomenon according to which the average daily return of the market is not the same for all the days of the week, as it would be expected according to efficient market theory.

What day of the week is the stock market lowest? ›

Stock prices fall on Mondays, following a rise on the previous trading day (usually Friday). This timing translates to a recurrent low or negative average return from Friday to Monday in the stock market.

What is the best economy right now? ›

The United States is the undisputed heavyweight when it comes to the economies of the world. America's gross domestic product in 2022 was more than 40% greater than that of China, the world No. 2. Even more striking, U.S. GDP was over five times that of the next two largest economies, Japan and Germany.

Is there a best day of the week to invest? ›

Timing the stock market is difficult, but understanding when to trade stocks can help your portfolio. The best time of day to buy stocks is usually in the morning, shortly after the market opens. Mondays and Fridays tend to be good days to trade stocks, while the middle of the week is less volatile.

Are mondays bullish or bearish? ›

For short-term traders, Fridays are usually considered good for selling the stock. For buying stocks, Fridays aren't preferable as prices tend to be high. Mondays usually have lower stock prices historically. Therefore, some traders prefer to buy stock on Monday.

What are the worst months for the stock market? ›

NYSE Composite Seasonal Patterns
  • Best Months: April, July, October, November, and December.
  • Worst Months: January, February, June, August, September.
Apr 30, 2024

Should I avoid trading on Mondays? ›

Yes, typically, the middle of the week, particularly Tuesday through Thursday, offers the most movement in the market. Mondays can be slower as the market stabilizes after the weekend, and Fridays often see reduced activity as traders close positions before the weekend.

Do stocks go up or down on Fridays? ›

Stock markets tend to rally on Friday due to short covering by traders to avoid paying interest on a short position over the weekend, as well as on any optimism traders might have for market-positive news during the weekend.

What is typically the worst day of the week for stocks? ›

During a bear market, Mondays and Tuesdays are most volatile, and stocks tend to fall the most on these days. In contrast, Thursdays are good days to sell because stocks tend to rise during that day of the week.

What is the 10 am rule in stock trading? ›

Some traders follow something called the "10 a.m. rule." The stock market opens for trading at 9:30 a.m., and the time between 9:30 a.m. and 10 a.m. often has significant trading volume. Traders that follow the 10 a.m. rule think a stock's price trajectory is relatively set for the day by the end of that half-hour.

What is the 11am rule in trading? ›

It is not a hard and fast rule, but rather a guideline that has been observed by many traders over the years. The logic behind this rule is that if the market has not reversed by 11 am EST, it is less likely to experience a significant trend reversal during the remainder of the trading day.

What is the most bullish day of the week? ›

The S&P 500 index is up about 9% so far this year, but not every stock market trading day is created equal. A new analysis from Bespoke Investment Group finds that Fridays have been the best day so far this week, with an average daily gain of +0.34%. Tuesdays, on average, were the worst.

What is the 3 day rule in stocks? ›

The 3-Day Rule in stock trading refers to the settlement rule that requires the finalization of a transaction within three business days after the trade date. This rule impacts how payments and orders are processed, requiring traders to have funds or credit in their accounts to cover purchases by the settlement date.

What is the most accurate historical calendar? ›

As one of the most accurate calendar systems in the world, the Solar Hijri calendar is also known as Persian Calendar, Iranian Calendar, and SH Calendar. Solar Hijri calendars rely on the movement of the Earth around the Sun to calculate time.

What is better than the Gregorian calendar? ›

The Revised Julian Calendar

With an error of only about 2 seconds per year or 1 day in 31,250, it is roughly 10 times more accurate than today's Gregorian calendar and one of the most accurate calendar systems ever devised.

What is the most accurate calendar today? ›

The ancient Iranian Solar calendar is one of the oldest calendars in the world, as well as the most accurate solar calendar in use today. Since the calendar uses astronomical calculation for determining the vernal equinox, it has no intrinsic error.

What is the best calendar to use? ›

The best Android calendar apps
  • Google Calendar for most Android users.
  • Microsoft Outlook for Exchange users and Microsoft loyalists.
  • aCalendar for customization.
  • DigiCal for the best balance between ease of use and customization.
  • Any.do for a combination calendar and to-do list.
Jan 17, 2024

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