Credit Market Research | S&P Global Ratings (2024)

Credit Market Research | S&P Global Ratings (1)

Credit Research & Insights

Our credit market research encompasses ratings performance indicators (including upgrades and downgrades, defaults, outlook changes, weakest links, rising stars, and fallen angels) alongside default and issuance forecasts and financing conditions coverage.

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Trending

  • Trending" data-gtm-action="Click" data-gtm-label="ESG In Credit Ratings February 2024: A Slow Start" target="_self"> ESG In Credit RatingsFebruary 15, 2024ESG In Credit Ratings February 2024: A Slow Start
  • Trending" data-gtm-action="Click" data-gtm-label="Highest January For Corporate Defaults Since 2010" target="_self"> Default, Transition, and RecoveryFebruary 13, 2024Highest January For Corporate Defaults Since 2010
  • Trending" data-gtm-action="Click" data-gtm-label="Risky Credits: Debt Levels Rose 33% In North America In 2023 As Maturities Loom" target="_self"> Credit TrendsFebruary 7, 2024Risky Credits: Debt Levels Rose 33% In North America In 2023 As Maturities Loom
  • Trending" data-gtm-action="Click" data-gtm-label="Risky Credits: Europe Continues To Walk A Fine Line" target="_self"> Credit TrendsFebruary 7, 2024Risky Credits: Europe Continues To Walk A Fine Line
  • Credit TrendsFebruary 7, 2024Risky Credits: Silver Lining For Emerging Markets
  • Credit TrendsFebruary 5, 2024Global Refinancing: Maturity Wall Looms Higher For Speculative-Grade Debt
  • Credit TrendsJanuary 30, 2024Investment-Grade Credit Check: Walking The Walk
  • Credit TrendsJanuary 25, 2024Global Credit Markets Update Q1 2024: Competing Forces

Featured

U.S. Recovery Study: Loan Recoveries Persist Below Their Trend

While higher interest rates and difficult financing conditions continue to test valuations, recovery trends in the U.S. for bonds and loans have diverged. While loan recovery values have recently fallen alongside rising interest rates, the connection between recovery and interest rates historically has been more mixed, as rising rates often coincide with periods of economic growth. Through this past September, average discounted loan recoveries for 2022-2023 were down to 61.5%, nearly 12 percentage points below their long-term average. This may reflect the weakening of loan structures in previous years. During the same period, bonds averaged a 68% recovery, more than 25 percentage points above their long-term average, with most of them emerging from default following a distressed exchange or nonbankruptcy restructuring.

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Credit Research & Insights

We deliver forward-looking, actionable insights on market-moving trends and their effects on credit—leveraging our proprietary data, analytical expertise, and cross-discipline approach. Our research includes ratings analyses, risk assessments, and credit market forecasts.

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This Week In Credit

Busy On Three Fronts (March 4, 2024)

There's a lot going on this week--monetary policy meetings, economic data, and political events. The markets expect the ECB to keep rates steady when it meets on Thursday. The Bank of Canada also meets (Wednesday). Economic data will be led by U.S. payrolls on Friday, but German manufacturing orders for January (Thursday) will be scrutinized for clues as to the relative health of Europe’s largest economy. The revised European fourth-quarter 2023 GDP data and payrolls (Friday) will also be a focus. On the political front, the U.S. has a raft of election primaries on Super Tuesday and the State of the Union (Thursday). China’s National People’s Congress meeting is also on this week and will be watched for key economic policy directions as well as the growth target for the year.

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Credit Market Research | S&P Global Ratings (11)

This Month In Credit

Rising Market Tides Aren't Lifting All Boats

Speculative-grade issuers are broadly benefiting from rebounding issuance and tightening credit spreads, but some weaker credits continue to struggle.

The number of weakest links declined in January, resulting more from credit deterioration (defaults) than meaningful credit improvement.

Leverage pressures may be receding--lower leverage was a factor in nearly twice as many new potential upgrades in January than in December.

Higher-rated rating trends continue to be more favorable, with three rising stars newly upgraded to investment-grade from speculative-grade, including NASCAR Holdings LLC, while there were no fallen angels or new potential fallen angels.

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Go Deeper Into Weekly & Monthly Credit Trends

Make decisions with conviction with a short- and longer-term perspective on current ratings trends. This Week In Credit is a data-driven research snapshot that delivers forward-looking, actionable insights on market-moving credit trends every Monday. On a monthly basis, This Month In Credit provides a comprehensive overview of weakest links, distressed debt, rising stars, and fallen angels, among other credit indicators.

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Market Pricing

Credit Market Research | S&P Global Ratings (12)

Confronting Credit Headwinds

In the near term, we expect credit pressures to intensify—with a world order that's increasingly fragmented and fragile.

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Default & Issuance Forecasts

Default & Transition Studies

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Ratings Performance

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What We're Watching

S&P Global Ratings expects additional credit deterioration in 2024, largely at the lower end of the ratings scale. An environment of increasingly rapid change requires financial market participants to adapt their playbooks.

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  • Mar 07, 2024 Americas,Latin America,APAC,EMEA
  • Mar 04, 2024 Americas,Latin America,APAC,EMEA
  • COMMENTS Feb 29, 2024 Americas,Latin America,APAC,EMEA
  • COMMENTS Feb 29, 2024
  • Feb 29, 2024 Americas,Latin America,APAC,EMEA

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Credit Conditions

Our regional and global Credit Conditions Committees—and the research publications we produce—provide financial market participants around the world with an essential resource for identifying and understanding prevailing and potential credit risks.

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Credit Market Research | S&P Global Ratings (2024)

FAQs

Are credit ratings global? ›

The global credit rating industry is highly concentrated, with three agencies controlling most of the market: Moody's, S&P Global, and Fitch Ratings.

Is BB rating better than BBB? ›

'BBB' National Ratings denote a moderate level of default risk relative to other issuers or obligations in the same country or monetary union. 'BB' National Ratings denote an elevated default risk relative to other issuers or obligations in the same country or monetary union.

What are S&P global ratings? ›

S&P Global Ratings (previously Standard & Poor's and informally known as S&P) is an American credit rating agency (CRA) and a division of S&P Global that publishes financial research and analysis on stocks, bonds, and commodities.

What is a CCC rating? ›

A CCC rating is considered to be speculative or junk grade, indicating that the issuer has a high risk of defaulting on its debt obligations.

What are the top 3 credit rating companies in the world? ›

The Big Three credit rating agencies are S&P Global Ratings (S&P), Moody's, and Fitch Group. S&P and Moody's are based in the US, while Fitch is dual-headquartered in New York City and London, and is controlled by Hearst.

What are the top three credit rating agencies in the world? ›

The three major credit ratings agencies, Standard & Poor's Global Ratings, Fitch Ratings and Moody's Investors Service, use a wide range of quantitative and qualitative metrics to calculate credit ratings. The specific factors vary between the three.

Is BBB a junk bond? ›

Bonds with a rating of BBB- (on the Standard & Poor's and Fitch scale) or Baa3 (on Moody's) or better are considered "investment-grade." Bonds with lower ratings are considered "speculative" and often referred to as "high-yield" or "junk" bonds.

Is AA rating better than BBB? ›

For example, a corporate bond that is rated 'AA' is viewed by the rating agency as having a higher credit quality than a corporate bond with a 'BBB' rating. But the 'AA' rating isn't a guarantee that it will not default, only that, in the agency's opinion, it is less likely to default than the 'BBB' bond.

Is BB rating junk? ›

Junk bonds have a lower credit rating than investment-grade bonds, and therefore have to offer higher interest rates to attract investors. Junk bonds are generally rated BB[+] or lower by Standard & Poor's and Ba[1] or lower by Moody's. The rating indicates the likelihood that the bond issuer will default on the debt.

Why choose S&P Global? ›

Coming in at No. 4 on the list of Philippines Best Workplaces™ 2021 is S&P Global, one of the leading providers of transparent and independent ratings, benchmarks, analytics and data to the capital and commodity markets worldwide.

What is Amazon's S&P rating? ›

S&P Global Ratings affirms Amazon.com at "AA" (Foreign Currency LT credit rating); outlook stable. S&P Global Ratings affirmed the "AA" Foreign Currency LT credit rating of Amazon.com on May 18, 2023. The outlook is stable.

Why are S&P global ratings? ›

Standard & Poor's Global Ratings division ranks debt instruments, like bonds, and the companies that issue them, in terms of creditworthiness—defined as the likelihood of default or inability to pay debts in a timely manner.

Is CCC rating junk? ›

"Junk" (Speculative)

Some speculative ratings include: CCC—currently vulnerable to nonpayment. C—highly vulnerable to nonpayment. D—in default.

Is C credit rating good? ›

Grade C. If you have a credit score between 630 and 679, you have fair credit. A score in this range means that you probably have too much debt and/or more than a few late payments.

What is the Fitch rating scale? ›

Fitch Ratings' long-term credit ratings are assigned on an alphabetic scale from 'AAA' to 'D', first introduced in 1924 and later adopted and licensed by S&P. Like S&P, Fitch also uses intermediate +/− modifiers for each category between AA and CCC (e.g., AA+, AA, AA−, A+, A, A−, BBB+, BBB, BBB−, etc.).

Is credit Karma global? ›

The company operates in the United States, Canada and the United Kingdom. Credit Karma, Inc. Oakland, California, U.S. All of Credit Karma's services are free to consumers.

Is credit an international thing? ›

You might wonder, “Do other countries have credit scores?” The short answer is yes. But if you're planning an international move, you might be surprised to learn that you can't take your credit score with you. Some countries—like Canada and the U.K.—have credit scoring systems that are similar to the U.S. model.

What country has the highest credit rating? ›

Economies with the highest credit rating at S&P Global Ratings, Fitch and Moody's Investors Service include Germany, Denmark, Netherlands, Sweden, Norway, Switzerland, Luxembourg, Singapore and Australia. Canada is rated AAA by two of the ratings companies.

Is UK a credit rating? ›

Fitch Affirms United Kingdom at 'AA-'; Outlook Negative. Fitch Ratings - London - 01 Dec 2023: Fitch Ratings has affirmed the United Kingdom's Long-Term Foreign-Currency Issuer Default Rating (IDR) at 'AA-' with a Negative Outlook.

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