Credit card industry in 2023: market analysis and trends in payment processing (2024)

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Credit card industry in 2023: market analysis and trends in payment processing (1)

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EMARKETER|January 24, 2023

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Credit card processing companies will continue to be a key driver in the payments ecosystem, as credit card usage accounted for over a third (36.3%) of in-store retail transactions last year.

Whenever consumers tap or swipe their credit card, payment data is sent through a complex web of stakeholders—including card networks, issuers, and gateways—that help complete the transaction. Credit card processors are responsible for carefully and securely transmitting this data.

There are two types of credit card processors:

  • Front-end processors: They make sure customers’ funds are sufficient for a transaction by routing transactions from merchants to the cardholder’s bank to gain authorization.
  • Back-end processors: They accept settlements from front-end processors and move the money to the merchants’ issuing bank.

Credit card market stats: size & growth

Credit cards are a US payments ecosystem staple, and although their prominence fell at the start of the pandemic, tides turned by late 2021—JPMorgan Chase posted 19.8% growth across the two years ending in Q3 2021, while Wells Fargo’s credit card point-of-sale volume rose 29.9% over the same period.

Although debit stole favor from credit as consumers looked to limit financial risk early in the pandemic, borrowing is on the rise again. Gains should continue in 2022, leading issuers and fintechs to fine-tune incentives and launch new products.

As debit, credit, and prepaid cards go head-to-head-to-head, in-store credit spending growth will stabilize. This will pull credit’s share of in-store retail transaction value to over a third (36.3%). Consumers’ lasting embrace of ecommerce will push online credit card usage past $500 billion for the first time. However, this payment method’s share of digital retail transactions and card transactions will decrease slightly, partly due to consumers’ rising preference for debit.

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Looking ahead, a rise in nonessential spending will lead to a heated competitive landscape among issuers, necessitating a trend toward greater cardholder rewards.

With pandemic restrictions easing, customers are resuming more recreational purchases—especially in travel and entertainment (T&E), which is critical for credit card volume. Amex’s T&E billed business was up 124% annually in Q3 2021, though it remained below pre-pandemic levels.

However, despite increased spending, credit card behavior is changing. Customers have been paying down debt at record levels—balances were $123 billion lower in Q3 2021 versus the end of 2019, per the New York Fed. But as pandemic relief efforts end, consumer behavior is inching closer to pre-pandemic trends, which might shift issuers’ strategies around fees and consumer engagement.

Given the uptick in credit usage, issuers will be pressured into making their products more compelling. Over a quarter of US consumers applied for a new credit card in the 12 months prior to October 2021—up from 15.7% in October 2020 and on par with pre-pandemic levels, per New York Fed data. Issuers will leverage this trend to grow spending and attract customers in the coming year, and they’ll focus on two areas: expanding perks and adding new cards.

Issuers’ greater agility around rewards offerings—a determining factor in card choice—will boost their cards’ appeal and drive repeat usage. After pivoting rewards options to meet pandemic-driven spending changes, issuers returned to travel perks, added new lifestyle benefits, and moved toward ecommerce in 2021—trends that will continue this year.

But benefits beyond simple rewards will dominate card program innovation. Providers will broaden their focus and sharpen benefits in new areas, including payment flexibility, exclusive member experiences, and access to financial management tools.

2020’s unprecedented wave of new cards delivering feature-based value propositions will continue. Some cards, like Citi Custom Cash, will tailor rewards programs to consumers’ top spending categories. Others will offer top-dollar perks for lower-than-usual fees. This will intensify competition and could trigger another rewards rat race. It may also make it harder for all but the largest players to make a profit off cards that provide true value to consumers.

Issuers will also debut cards and services geared toward users new to credit. Fifty-three million US adults lack traditional credit scores, and more have subprime scores that exclude them from the ecosystem. Though this group comes with risk, issuers—many of which joined a credit access initiative in 2021—may extend their push to reach these customers. They’ll use secured cards, like U.S. Bank’s new suite, or other credit-building tools, like Wells Fargo Reflect, to turn risky borrowers into reliable clients. They may also imitate Amex’s deal with Nova Credit by forging partnerships to capture invisible but likely creditworthy segments, such as immigrants.

Major card processing companies

TSYS, or Total System Services, is one of the biggest payment processors in the US credit card issuer market. It provides services to over 3.5 million small- and medium-sized business (SMB) merchant locations and more than 1,300 financial institutions (FIs) across more than 100 countries. In 2019, the processing company was acquired by Global Payments for $21.5 billion, and the two companies expect at least $300 million of annual run-rate cost synergies.

Fiserv provides FIs with services including payments and risk and compliance in over 100 countries. In 2019, Fiserv acquired First Data for $22 billion, and the combined entity expects $500 million in revenue synergies over a five-year period.

Elavon is the fourth-largest merchant acquirer in Europe—and it’s the seventh-largest in the US. The payment solution provider is a subsidiary of US Bancorp and offers features like processing online and in-store payments. In 2019, Elavon acquired payments gateway Sage Pay to help grow its market share in the UK and Ireland.

This is just a sampling of some of the top card processing companies around the world. Insider Intelligence has compiled a more robust list of the top credit card processing companies in 2022.

Credit card industry in 2023: market analysis and trends in payment processing (3)

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Credit card industry in 2023: market analysis and trends in payment processing (2024)

FAQs

Credit card industry in 2023: market analysis and trends in payment processing? ›

As debit, credit, and prepaid cards go head-to-head-to-head, in-store credit spending growth will stabilize. This will pull credit's share of in-store retail transaction value to over a third (36.3%). Consumers' lasting embrace of ecommerce will push online credit card usage past $500 billion for the first time.

What are the new trends in the payment industry? ›

Changing trends in payments

This includes frictionless payment methods, real time payments, digital wallets, open banking, mobile banking and cryptocurrencies.

What is the outlook for the payment processing industry? ›

According to the latest research, the global Payment Processing market size was valued at USD 103121.29 million in 2022 and is expected to expand at a CAGR of 14.66% during the forecast period, reaching USD 234298.52 million by 2032.

Is payment processing a growing industry? ›

Payments market size and growth

The payment processing market is a large and rapidly growing industry. The global payment processing market size was valued at USD 3.13 trillion in 2020 and is expected to expand at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 8.3% from 2021 to 2028.

What is the outlook for the credit card market? ›

According to the latest research, the global Credit Card market size was valued at USD 106337.33 million in 2022 and is expected to expand at a CAGR of 2.84% during the forecast period, reaching USD 125772.91 million by 2028.

What is the strongest current trend in payment processing? ›

As we continue navigating the digital age, blockchain technology, mobile payments, cashless payments, and AI-driven fraud detection are among the top trends revolutionizing the future of the payment processing industry. Blockchain promises enhanced security and transparency, making it a potential game-changer.

What is the biggest challenge in the payment industry? ›

Payment service providers must contend with evolving regulations, security risks, high infrastructure costs, slow adoption of new technologies, and a lack of standardisation across the payments ecosystem. They also need to balance business needs with consumer protection.

Why is the payments industry growing? ›

Growing customer expectations for convenient, fast and secure payments, and personalized experiences. Increasing competition from tech and fintech companies offering innovative and price competitive solutions.

Why is payment processing so slow? ›

Recipient bank

The banking provider of a recipient may also impact processing times. Some banks may take longer than others to process and clear any funds they receive. This happens due to outdated infrastructure, banking restrictions or closures. Many banks tend to process payments in 48-72hr backdated batches.

What industry is payment processing? ›

The payment processing industry is a sector of the financial industry that handles electronic payment transactions.

How big is the US payment processing market? ›

Summary of Key Payment Industry Statistics

The US payment processing market annual value was over $2 trillion in 2023. The USA payment processing market has a growth rate of 5% to 7% for the next five years. According to the Federal Reserve, cash use is declining; only 60% of businesses accept it.

What is the future of payment technology? ›

Q: What trends should we anticipate in the future of Payments? Some notable trends include the rise of Central Banks Digital Currencies (CBDCs), increased usage of digital wallets, the growth of cross-border payments, and the acceptance of cryptocurrencies.

Who dominates the credit card market? ›

Measured by outstanding balances, Chase had the largest credit card market share of any issuer in 2022: $154.3 billion, according to the Nilson Report. Wells Fargo had the largest debit card market share of any issuer in 2022, when measured by purchase volume: $464 billion.

What are the key success factors in the credit card industry? ›

There are various key success factors such as Service delivery (customer service), technology, product range and design, convenience and flexibility, Cost of services, better trained personnel, Leadership , pricing, location, distribution channels, volume of sales, image and reputation, marketing effectiveness, ...

What is Mastercard market trends? ›

Market Trends is a platform that brings together key research, industry insights and trends from around the world with market and card comparison tools to help you stay ahead of the curve, remain competitive and make informed decisions.

What is the future of payment companies? ›

The future of the Payments industry is decidedly digital. With the surge in fintech developments, consumers and businesses are quickly adapting to cashless transactions. The use of mobile wallets, digital currencies, and open banking systems are expected to dominate the industry.

What's happening in the payments industry? ›

In the coming year, the payments industry will be confronted with high levels of risk, intensifying regulatory scrutiny, and significant changes in global standards. The fast-changing payments industry is on the cusp of a new “decoupled era,” 1.

What is new payment technology? ›

Technologies that make these digital payment services possible involve machine learning and artificial intelligence. As consumers continue making purchases with their cards, mobile wallets, or applications, machine learning technology is able to study these experiences and improve them over time.

What are the megatrends in payments? ›

To grasp the scale of the change it helps to consider these changes in three broad megatrends: payments digitization, payments modernization and rapid evolution in the fraud, risk and compliance decisioning landscape.

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