Coinbase Falls After JPMorgan Downgrades Stock to Underweight on Disappointing Bitcoin ETF Catalyst - StockCoin.net (2024)

Coinbase Falls After JPMorgan Downgrades Stock to Underweight on Disappointing Bitcoin ETF Catalyst - StockCoin.net (1)

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Coinbase Falls After JPMorgan Downgrades Stock to Underweight on Disappointing Bitcoin ETF Catalyst

In a recent research report, JPMorgan downgraded U.S. exchange Coinbase (COIN) to underweight, citing disappointment in the potential of spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) to reverse the positive momentum for cryptocurrencies. While acknowledging Coinbase as a dominant player in the crypto ecosystem, the report suggests that the approval of bitcoin ETFs by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has not generated the anticipated influx of mainstream money into the space. As a result, JPMorgan predicts lower prices, trading volume, and ancillary revenue opportunities for firms like Coinbase.

Title

Coinbase Falls After JPMorgan Downgrades Stock to Underweight on Disappointing Bitcoin ETF Catalyst

Introduction

The article focuses on Coinbase’s recent fall in stock price after JPMorgan downgraded its rating to underweight. This downgrade comes as a result of a disappointing Bitcoin ETF catalyst that has the potential to reverse the positive momentum in the cryptocurrency market. This article will provide background information on Coinbase’s fall and the Bitcoin ETF catalyst, discuss the reasons for JPMorgan’s downgrade, analyze the impact on stock performance, and explore Coinbase’s role in the spot Ether ETF. Additionally, it will cover the current state of the Bitcoin price and potential selling pressure on Grayscale Bitcoin Trust.

Background

Coinbase, one of the leading cryptocurrency exchanges, experienced a decline in its stock price following JPMorgan’s decision to downgrade its rating to underweight. This downgrade is a result of a disappointing Bitcoin ETF catalyst that had initially fueled optimism in the cryptocurrency market. The approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) was expected to create a new era for cryptocurrencies, with mainstream money entering the space. However, concerns have arisen regarding the potential deflation of enthusiasm and lower token prices.

Spot Bitcoin ETFs are crucial for the cryptocurrency market as they provide investors with a regulated and accessible way to invest in Bitcoin without owning the underlying asset. The approval of these ETFs was anticipated to attract significant inflows of capital into the cryptocurrency ecosystem. The optimism surrounding the launch of spot Bitcoin ETFs contributed to the cryptocurrency rally, but there are now concerns that any disappointment with ETF fund flows could deflate this enthusiasm.

Expectations were high that mainstream money would pour into the crypto space, resulting in increased demand for Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. However, JPMorgan’s downgrade suggests that this expectation may not materialize as anticipated. Lower token prices, decreased trading volume, and reduced ancillary revenue opportunities for companies like Coinbase are possible consequences of the Bitcoin ETF catalyst falling short of expectations.

Coinbase Falls After JPMorgan Downgrades Stock to Underweight on Disappointing Bitcoin ETF Catalyst - StockCoin.net (2)

JPMorgan Downgrades Coinbase

JPMorgan’s downgrade of Coinbase’s stock is a significant development in the cryptocurrency market. The bank lowered its rating on Coinbase to underweight from neutral, indicating a decrease in confidence in the company’s future prospects. Despite acknowledging Coinbase’s dominant position in the crypto ecosystem and its global leadership in cryptocurrency trading and investing, JPMorgan expressed concerns about the potential disappointment surrounding the Bitcoin ETF catalyst.

The downgrade by JPMorgan is driven by the belief that the introduction of spot Bitcoin ETFs may not meet the high expectations set for them. JPMorgan’s analysts, led by Kenneth Worthington, fear that a lackluster performance of ETF fund flows could deflate the enthusiasm that has fueled the cryptocurrency rally. These concerns, combined with the decline in the Bitcoin price, may lead to lower token prices, reduced trading volume, and diminished ancillary revenue opportunities for Coinbase and other market participants.

Despite the downgrade, JPMorgan acknowledges Coinbase’s progress in several critical initiatives. However, the bank’s concerns regarding the potential consequences of a disappointing Bitcoin ETF catalyst overshadow these advancements.

Disappointing Bitcoin ETF Catalyst

The approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs by the SEC was seen as a significant step forward for the cryptocurrency market. It was expected to signal the arrival of mainstream money into the space and fuel further growth in the sector. The launch of these ETFs would allow investors who were previously unable to own digital assets to gain exposure to the cryptocurrency market without directly owning the underlying assets.

Coinbase Falls After JPMorgan Downgrades Stock to Underweight on Disappointing Bitcoin ETF Catalyst - StockCoin.net (3)

However, JPMorgan’s research report suggests that the Bitcoin ETF catalyst may fall short of expectations. The bank expresses concern that any disappointment with ETF fund flows could deflate the enthusiasm that has driven the cryptocurrency rally in recent months, particularly since October.

The Bitcoin price is already under pressure, having slipped below $40,000, and JPMorgan predicts that the excitement surrounding cryptocurrency ETFs could further deflate. This potential deflation may lead to lower token prices, reduced trading volume, and diminished ancillary revenue opportunities for companies like Coinbase.

Coinbase’s Role in Spot Ether ETF

In addition to its role in the Bitcoin ecosystem, Coinbase is expected to play a significant role in the potential approval of a spot Ether ETF. If a spot Ether ETF is approved, Coinbase is likely to assume similar custodian, surveillance, and trading roles as it does with Bitcoin. The approval of a spot Ether ETF could provide new opportunities for Coinbase and the broader cryptocurrency market.

The prospects for the approval of a spot Ether ETF are uncertain, but Coinbase’s involvement in the Bitcoin market positions it well to participate in the Ether market if such an ETF is approved. The approval of a spot Ether ETF could further expand Coinbase’s reach and solidify its position as a leader in the cryptocurrency market.

Bitcoin Price and Selling Pressure

The price of Bitcoin has seen fluctuations since the approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs. The recent decline in the Bitcoin price, falling below $40,000, has added pressure to the cryptocurrency market. In addition to market factors, selling pressure on Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) has contributed to the downward movement of the Bitcoin price.

FTX’s bankruptcy estate, which converted to an ETF, recently sold $1 billion worth of GBTC, adding to the selling pressure on the underlying digital asset. The selling pressure from FTX’s bankruptcy estate has had a significant impact on the Bitcoin price, exacerbating the downward movement. This selling pressure has implications for the broader cryptocurrency market and may further impact token prices and trading volume.

Conclusion

The downgrade of Coinbase’s stock by JPMorgan following the disappointing Bitcoin ETF catalyst has sent ripples through the cryptocurrency market. The expectation that spot Bitcoin ETFs would attract mainstream money into the market has faced challenges, potentially deflating enthusiasm and leading to lower token prices, decreased trading volume, and reduced revenue opportunities.

Despite this setback, Coinbase’s progress in critical initiatives should not be overlooked. The company’s role in the potential approval of a spot Ether ETF positions it well for future opportunities. It remains to be seen how the cryptocurrency market will evolve in the face of these challenges, but Coinbase’s role and influence are likely to remain significant.

Coinbase Falls After JPMorgan Downgrades Stock to Underweight on Disappointing Bitcoin ETF Catalyst - StockCoin.net (2024)

FAQs

Coinbase Falls After JPMorgan Downgrades Stock to Underweight on Disappointing Bitcoin ETF Catalyst - StockCoin.net? ›

The bank cut its rating on the stock to underweight from neutral, with an unchanged price target of $80. Coinbase shares fell 4.1% to $122.90 in premarket trading. After the stock's 390% gain last year, 2024 could be more challenging, despite the exchange's progress in a number of important initiatives, the bank said.

Why did Coinbase fall? ›

Shares of Coinbase Global Inc. fell Wednesday, after the cryptocurrency exchange said its request to dismiss the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission's lawsuit was denied by a federal court. But Coinbase's general counsel, Paul Grewal, played down the denial, saying it actually played into the company's hands.

Did JP Morgan downgrade Coinbase stock to underweight following spot Bitcoin ETF approvals? ›

JPMorgan downgrades Coinbase stock to 'underweight' following spot Bitcoin ETF approvals. The investment bank had previously categorized Coinbase stock as a “neutral” rating but maintained its price target of $80 by December 2024.

Does Coinbase benefit from Bitcoin ETFs? ›

He noted that Coinbase custody accounted for 90% of the $36 billion in bitcoin ETF assets at the time. "We're earning revenue, not just on custody but also on trading and financing.

Are Bitcoin ETFs turning into a drag for Coinbase? ›

The launch of Bitcoin exchange-traded funds hasn't led to a predicted boom in trading volume and prices. In fact, the ETFs may even be a drag for Coinbase Global, according to an analyst.

Is Coinbase in danger of going under? ›

The short answer is that it's unlikely for Coinbase to go bankrupt due to a decline in the cryptocurrency market. While crypto market fluctuations can certainly impact Coinbase, as they would any crypto-related company, Coinbase has a robust business model and a strong financial position.

Is Coinbase going to go under? ›

Coinbase Global Inc. Chief Executive Officer Brian Armstrong said there is “no risk of bankruptcy” for the largest U.S. cryptocurrency exchange, even amid a “black swan” event.

What ETF holds the most Coinbase? ›

303 ETFs Hold Coinbase Global (COIN)
SymbolETF Name% Weight in ETF
1COILS 1x Coinbase Tracker ETP99.98%
CRPTFirst Trust SkyBridge Crypto Industry and Digital Economy ETF23.95%
BLCHGlobal X Blockchain UCITS ETF AccumUSD22.03%
BKCHGlobal X Blockchain ETF21.76%
6 more rows

Why not invest in Bitcoin ETF? ›

However, investing in crypto ETFs is not without risk. The market is volatile, with prices fluctuating significantly in short periods. In addition, the regulatory landscape for crypto is evolving, and changes in regulations will undoubtedly impact the performance and availability of these ETFs.

What is the best Bitcoin ETF? ›

7 Best Cryptocurrency ETFs to Buy
ETFExpense ratio
Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF (GBTC)1.50%
VanEck Ethereum Strategy ETF (EFUT)0.66%
Global X Blockchain ETF (BKCH)0.50%
Amplify Transformational Data Sharing ETF (BLOK)0.76%
3 more rows
2 days ago

Is it better to buy bitcoin ETF or bitcoin? ›

While investing in spot bitcoin ETFs could save you the time and costs of exchanging and securing Bitcoins yourself, these ETFs do charge management fees or expense ratios to cover operational costs, diminishing your returns over time.

Is it a good idea to invest in bitcoin ETF? ›

It depends

They are subject to the regulatory standards of financial markets and can offer a layer of security and transparency not always present in direct crypto investing. However, investing in a bitcoin ETF does not eliminate the risks associated with the underlying asset: bitcoin.

Which bitcoin ETFs use Coinbase? ›

Eight out of the 10 currently-trading spot Bitcoin ETFs use Coinbase (COIN) as their Bitcoin custodian. The only exceptions are the Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC), which uses Fidelity itself as a custodian, and the VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL), which uses Gemini.

How will Bitcoin ETF affect Coinbase stock? ›

"While we believe that the bitcoin ETFs could take some trading volumes away from Coinbase, their injection into the market, driving higher overall spot prices and trading volumes provide momentum to Coinbase's business," analysts at Canaccord Genuity wrote in a note.

How much Bitcoin are ETFs buying daily? ›

The new ETFs have added on average a net $125 million worth of bitcoin (BTC) each day over the past four weeks. This is despite heavy outflows – more than $6 billion in total – out of the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC), which has far higher fees than the other bitcoin ETFs.

How much will Coinbase be worth in 2025? ›

According to the latest long-term forecast, Coinbase price will hit $500 by the end of 2024 and then $600 by the middle of 2025. Coinbase will rise to $800 within the year of 2026, $900 in 2027, $1000 in 2028, $1100 in 2029, $1200 in 2030, $1300 in 2032, $1400 in 2034 and $1500 in 2035.

How did Coinbase lose money? ›

Coinbase Global (COIN), the country's largest crypto exchange, posted its seventh consecutive quarterly loss as its trading volumes and the number of people trading on its platform fell.

What happen to Coinbase? ›

In June 2022, Coinbase announced that it would be sunsetting Coinbase Pro to replace it with Coinbase Advanced Trade to provide its full suite of advanced crypto investment services on one single platform.

Is Coinbase losing money? ›

The company reported a $273 million profit in the fourth quarter. For the full year of 2023, it earned $95 million on $3.1 billion in revenue. In 2022, it booked a $2.6 billion loss. Revenue was $954 million in Q4, up 41% from the prior three months.

What happened to Coinbase trading? ›

TL;DR: We're sunsetting Coinbase Pro to migrate all advanced trading into one unified account via Coinbase Advanced, which brings customers access to popular features like staking, dapp wallet, derivatives, and Coinbase Card from a single platform.

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