Chinese cities ease mortgage rules in bid to revive property sector By Reuters (2024)

Chinese cities ease mortgage rules in bid to revive property sector By Reuters (1)© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A screen showing the Hang Seng stock index is seen outside Exchange Square, in Hong Kong, China, August 18, 2023. REUTERS/Tyrone Siu/File Photo

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By Ziyi Tang, Liangping Gao and Clare Jim

BEIJING/HONG KONG (Reuters) -Two of China's biggest cities eased mortgage curbs and the country's top banks flagged mounting risks from the deepening property sector turmoil on Wednesday, as Beijing ramps up efforts to shore up the sputtering economy.

Guangzhou, China's fifth biggest city, and the tech hub of Shenzhen said that mortgage curbs would be eased, allowing home buyers to enjoy preferential loans for first-home purchases regardless of their previous credit record.

The moves comes after Chinese authorities called on cities to broaden the definition of first-home mortgage as part of a string of other measures to revive the troubled property market, which accounts for roughly a quarter of the economy.

In other support measures, some Chinese state-owned banks are also expected to lower interest rates on existing mortgages, three sources familiar with the matter said on Tuesday, in the first such cut since the global financial crisis.

Beijing hopes the reduction in mortgage payments will help revive consumer demand for property.

Those measures are, however, adding to concerns about the impact on Chinese banks.

Two of China's biggest banks - Industrial and Commercial Bank of China Ltd (ICBC) and Bank of China (BoC) - reported sluggish profit growth and shrinking profit margins for the first half.

In a sign of mounting challenges for lenders from the deepening property crisis, BoC's Chief Risk Officer Liu Jiandong said the bank's mortgage asset quality was facing pressure, but there was no material deterioration.

China's mortgage loans totalled 38.6 trillion yuan ($5.29 trillion) at the end of June, representing 17% of banks' total loan books.

The Chinese property sector has lurched from one crisis to another since 2021, and contagion fears deepened this month after liquidity stress in leading developer Country Garden became public.

Just how cash-strapped Country Garden is will be the focus when China's largest private property developer reports its first-half results on Wednesday.

SUPPORT MEASURES

The expected reduction in existing mortgage rates is one of several support measures Beijing has announced in recent weeks, as concerns mount about the health of the world's second-largest economy.

Some analysts and home buyers were not convinced about how effective the steps would be in reviving buyer demand, as consumer confidence has been badly hit by economic woes that pushed the youth unemployment rate to a record high in June.

Property agents said there were few people shopping in the secondary market, and commercial mortgage rates are still much higher than the rates offered by the housing provident fund, a savings program by governments for housing purchases.

Homeowner Jackson Wang said he is going to move his mortgage with a top Chinese bank to the provident housing fund, which would lower his interest rate to 3.2% from the current 4.8%. He pays more than 5,000 yuan per month for a flat in the eastern city of Linyi.

"I have already bought a home at a high price and been paying a high mortgage, so I'm hoping for a rate cut," Wang, 38, said.

"I'm too disappointed in China real estate. I will not be attracted by the sector again unless home prices are reduced, a lot."

Raymond Cheng, Hong Kong-based head of China research at CGS-CIMB Securities Ltd, said the easing in mortgage rules came too late and any boost to home sales may not be significant given very weak home buyer sentiment.

"The impact could be much bigger on developers' sales if regulators implemented the policy six to nine months ago," he said.

BANKS' MARGIN

The mortgage rate cuts will add to margin pressure on banks already battling headwinds such as lower lending rates, pressure from the government to prop up the economy, as well as bad debts related to developers and local government financing vehicles.

BoC said that some local government financing vehicles (LGFV) -- which play a key role in the country's infrastructure development -- have defaulted, but the business is operating steadily.

"For Bank of China the current overall business with local government financing platforms remains stable, and the total amount of credit granted is relatively moderate among peers," BoC's Liu said.

"Therefore, the asset quality has declined slightly compared with the beginning of the year but it is still under control."

Big state-owned banks have recently been rolling over loans to LGFVs - which have an estimated $9.1 trillion in debt - or lent more to them.

Vivian Xue, director of APAC Financial Institution at Fitch Ratings, said revenue pressure on the banking sector was expected to persist into 2024, due to narrowing margins and tepid retail loan demand.

To soften the effect, the sources told Reuters that major state banks would also lower interest rates on some fixed-term deposits, and the quantum of cuts would range from 10 basis points to 25 basis points.

Chinese cities ease mortgage rules in bid to revive property sector By Reuters (2024)

FAQs

Which Chinese cities ease mortgage rules in bid to revive property sector? ›

Shenzhen , China's least affordable city for housing, and the southern metropolis of Guangzhou issued notices on Wednesday that they no longer disqualify people who've ever had a mortgage — even if fully repaid — from being considered as first-time homebuyers.

What is the real estate crisis in China? ›

China is still struggling with a slumping real estate sector, pressuring the country's property developers as they try to restructure their debts. Home prices in China's major cities fell by 1.5% year-on-year in March, according to official data. Prices in second- and third-tier cities fell by 2% and 3.4% respectively.

Is there an oversupply of real estate in China? ›

In China, this ratio hit about 12 percent in 2013 but has fallen since, and is expected to be around 5.5 percent this year. Therefore, Gao concludes, while there is a significant overcorrection in China's residential property development sector, there is no oversupply in the housing market.

Does China have mortgages? ›

The five-year loan prime rate (LPR) was lowered by 25 basis points to 3.95% from 4.20% previously, while the one-year LPR was left unchanged at 3.45%. Most new and outstanding loans in China are based on the one-year LPR, while the five-year rate influences the pricing of mortgages.

Can Chinese own real estate? ›

In addition, individuals can privately own residential houses and apartments on the land (“home ownership”), although not the land on which the buildings are situated. Real estate may be transferred through sale, gift, or other legal means.

What is the biggest real estate company in China collapse? ›

Evergrande — once China's largest real-estate developer — has collapsed. The pivotal moment came on January 29, when a Hong Kong court ordered the liquidation of the most indebted property developer in the world.

Why is China buying US real estate? ›

According to the paper, the sudden and large Chinese investment in California real estate in 2008 was tied to: a) the loosening of Chinese “capital controls” that restrict how much money citizens can move out of the country, and b) the introduction of a series of domestic housing purchase restrictions, which were aimed ...

How bad is China's real estate crisis? ›

The property industry has slumped in the last few years after Beijing's crackdown on developers' high reliance on debt for growth. Based on comparisons to housing corrections in the U.S., Japan and Spain, China's “housing market correction may be just halfway complete” in terms of its depth, the KKR report said.

Is China's property market in trouble? ›

The downturn in the property market has been driven by cyclical such as slowing income growth during the pandemic, and structural factors including shrinkage of the working-age population in China, diminishing returns on investments and slower growth in total factor productivity.

Is China buying up American real estate? ›

During the coronavirus pandemic, buyers from Canadian and Mexican origin dominated international transactions, but in 2022 Chinese nationals bought the most U.S. residential property. They were also responsible for the largest share of the aggregate value of properties purchased.

What percentage of US real estate does China own? ›

While Chinese ownership of U.S. land has been a hot topic among lawmakers — even becoming the center of a Montana Senate race this year — China only had a stake in 383,935 acres of U.S. land as of 2021, which is less than 1% of all foreign-held land.

Is China's property market at risk of an overcorrection not oversupply? ›

Therefore, Gao concludes, while there is a significant overcorrection in China's residential property development sector, there is no oversupply in the housing market. The market correction has been so severe it has tipped over into an overcorrection. China's housing crisis isn't over.

What happens to property in China after 70 years? ›

China does not permit the private ownership of land. Instead, private parties may obtain the right to use property for up to seventy years. These parties own the structures on the land but not the underlying real estate.

What is the hardest country to get a mortgage in? ›

In Switzerland, which tops the list, the average age for first time buyers is 48. With a difference of £91,892 ($122,859), a first-time buyer in the UK will have to stump up at least 15-20% of this to secure a mortgage based on average salary.

Do citizens own property in China? ›

There is no private “freehold” land ownership in China. All urban land in China is owned by the Chinese government and is commonly referred to as “state-owned land.” All rural and suburban land is owned by rural collectives (i.e., local groups of farmers) and is commonly referred to as “collective land.”

What is China's three red lines policies for the real estate sector? ›

Liabilities should not exceed 70 percent of assets (excluding advance proceeds from projects sold on contract) Net debt should not be greater than 100 percent equity. Money reserves must be at least 100 percent of short term debt.

Where are Chinese buying real estate in us? ›

Zoom in: California was the top choice for Chinese buyers in the survey period ending in March, making up 33% of all homes purchased. Florida ranked second at 16%, followed by Texas at 8%. Both Florida and Texas have gained popularity because of their home affordability, according to NAR surveys and experts.

Where are the Chinese buying real estate? ›

Rich business people from Mainland China are snapping up high-end real estate in California. Their location of choice: San Marino. Los Angeles suburbs with cul-de-sacs surrounded by freeways.

Do home purchase limits help government policy and housing prices in China? ›

This study used a quasi-experimental test with yearly data on 287 Chinese cities from 2007 to 2013 and found that the home-purchase limit policy has led to a reduction in housing prices on average. The more stringent the policy, the more controlled housing prices are.

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