Cheap Indonesian nickel, key to electric vehicles, helps sink BHP’s net income by 86% (2024)

Cheap Indonesian nickel, key to electric vehicles, helps sink BHP’s net income by 86% (1)

by fnnewz

BHP Group Ltd.’s first-half net income fell 86% from a year earlier after oversupply in the nickel market forced the world’s largest miner to write down the value of key assets.

The company announced last week it would take a $2.5 billion impairment on the value of its Australian nickel assets, which could be suspended later this year following a review.

Global supplies of the metal, which has become key to the energy transition due to its use in electrification and batteries, soared after Indonesia rapidly increased production, causing benchmark prices to plummet and the closure of at least six nickel projects in Australia in the past. year.

“There will be a multi-year period of nickel oversupply” that could last until the end of this decade, Chief Executive Mike Henry said in a Bloomberg Television interview on Tuesday after BHP announced its results. “The consideration we need to have with nickel is what we do with our business in the meantime, given that it is currently loss-making and has been for some time.”

The company reported that underlying profit attributable to continuing operations in the six months to December 31 was stable at $6.57 billion, slightly below analysts’ estimate. Still, it was the massive drop in net income that most focused investors’ attention, along with the cut of its interim dividend to 72 cents per share, down from 90 cents in the previous six months.

Shares in Sydney-based BHP fell as much as 1% on Tuesday before trading down 0.2% at A$45.97 at 12:51 pm local time.

Rising demand for raw materials in recent years has hit BHP’s profits, a trend that began during the pandemic and has continued due to the deteriorating outlook for China’s economy and, in particular, its property and construction sectors. metal intensive. Last year, just 12 months after posting its highest-ever profit as prices soared, the company reported its lowest annual profit in three years.

BHP said on Tuesday that all its assets were on track to meet full-year production and cost targets, with demand from its main customer China “healthy” despite weakness in its property sector. The six-month reporting period “had its challenges,” it said in a statement, referring to its nickel assets, which “offset strong operating performance and healthy overall commodity prices.”

In a move aimed at supporting its ailing domestic industry, Australia last week added nickel to its List of Critical Minerals, allowing miners and metal stakeholders to access the A$6 billion ($3.9 billion) ) available through the Critical Minerals Facility, a Government Fund aimed at ensuring Australia is at the forefront of the green metals transition.

Prime Minister Anthony Albanese said in an interview on Monday that his government was looking at “how we can provide more support with smart, targeted, time-limited policy” for the nickel sector.

Still, BHP’s Henry said Tuesday that federal tax credits and state-level royalty reductions may not be enough to prevent it from closing its Nickel West operations, which have not been profitable since 2018.

“Given the current uncertainty over the nickel price, it is difficult for BHP to justify a large capital outlay” and avoid putting its Australian nickel assets into care and maintenance, RBC Capital Markets analyst Kaan Peker said in response to submitted questions. by email. The company will seek “additional government incentives associated with the construction of downstream processing infrastructure associated with nickel, which the Australian government now considers a critical mineral,” he added.

Beyond nickel, iron ore remains the company’s most important source of income. Steelmaking material prices rose 28% during the reporting period and remain historically high, and that has led major producers, including BHP, to consider developing once-stranded deposits.

BHP and its investors will also be watching whether China’s once insatiable demand for metals can be revived. The country’s construction sector is expected to recover next month, and there will be focus on whether Beijing will inject more fiscal stimulus to effectively counter sharp declines. of the collapse of the metal-intensive real estate market.

“In the near term, the economic outlook for the developed world is expected to improve modestly after a difficult year for steel and non-ferrous metals demand,” BHP said in the statement. “China and India are expected to remain relative sources of stability for commodity demand.”

The company also said last week it would nearly double the provision set aside to cover damage caused by the failure of the Samarco dam in Brazil in 2015 to $6.5 billion.

Cheap Indonesian nickel, key to electric vehicles, helps sink BHP’s net income by 86% (2024)

FAQs

Will BHP close nickel? ›

Western Australia's mining giant BHP announced on Thursday that it plans to shut down its Nickel West operations, possibly affecting thousands of jobs in the industry.

How much nickel does Indonesia produce? ›

Indonesia's mined nickel production has jumped from under 800,000 tons in 2020 to 2.03 million tonnes in 2023, when it accounted for 55% of global output. What happens in Indonesia already shapes nickel's pricing landscape.

Who owns the Nickel Mines in Indonesia? ›

Premium Insights Global mine profiles

It is owned by Tsingshan Holding Group and produced an estimated 516.7 thousand tonnes of nickel in 2023. The mine will operate until 2069.

How does Indonesia extract nickel? ›

In recent years, Chinese technological know-how and money have helped Indonesia build high-pressure acid-leaching (HPAL) plants — once deemed too risky and too expensive — which use high temperatures to extract nickel from low-grade ore abundant in Indonesia to process it into EV battery-grade material.

Who does BHP sell nickel to? ›

The metal has long been feted as a key battery material for electric vehicles because it improves energy density so cars can run further on a single charge. BHP has promoted nickel as core to its green strategy. It signed a deal to supply Australian nickel to Tesla (TSLA.

Why did BHP go down? ›

BHP shares tumbled 4.6 per cent after the company confirmed to the market that it had made a £31.1 billion ($60 billion) offer to acquire UK miner Anglo American.

Who is the biggest nickel producer? ›

1. Indonesia. Indonesia is the world's largest nickel producer, with reserves of 21Mt, accounting for 20.6% of the global total. The country produced 1721.5 thousand tonnes (kt), up 21.1% from 1,421kt in 2022.

Who buys nickel from Indonesia? ›

And yet Tesla is still buying nickel from Indonesia. Last year the company, which sold 17% of the world's EVs in the third quarter of 2023, signed a $5 billion deal to buy nickel from the country.

Who buys the most nickel in the world? ›

Top importers of Nickel ores and concentrates in 2022

The world's largest importers of this commodity group in 2022: China - 73% of the world imports ($4.53 billion) Canada - 8.19% ($503 million) Korea - 6.22% ($382 million)

What is dirty nickel? ›

His theory is that “green” nickel produced in Australian and Canadian mines should attract a price premium over what he calls “dirty” nickel produced in countries such as Indonesia where miners scoop up near-surface low-grade ore, damaging forests and generating pollution during processing using coal-fired electricity.

Why is Indonesia banning nickel exports? ›

By 2020, the ban on nickel ore exports was complete. While Indonesia had profited from the global resources boom from 2005, its government argued that most of the benefits had been captured by the mining companies and had not contributed to Indonesia's development.

Who owns the Grasberg mine in Indonesia? ›

The mining company is a joint venture between Indonesian and American interests, with the Indonesian government through its state-owned company PT Mineral Industri Indonesia (MIND ID) and PT Indonesia Papua Metal & Mineral, a company co-owned by MIND ID and government of Papua owns a 51.23% stake and Freeport-McMoRan ...

What is the future forecast for BHP? ›

BHP Stock 12 Month Forecast

Based on 16 Wall Street analysts offering 12 month price targets for BHP Group Ltd in the last 3 months. The average price target is AU$47.43 with a high forecast of AU$67.44 and a low forecast of AU$21.00. The average price target represents a 2.29% change from the last price of AU$46.37.

Will BHP takeover oz minerals? ›

The acquisition is in line with BHP's strategy to meet the increasing demand for copper and nickel from renewables. BHP has completed the much-awaited acquisition of OZ Minerals.

Is BHP says its nickel business is unlikely to become profitable before 2030? ›

BHP boss says nickel business unlikely to be profitable until 2030 as mining giant considers Nickel West's future. In short: BHP's boss doesn't expect its nickel operations will be profitable before the end of the decade, as it considers mothballing its Nickel West business after the price of the metal plummeted.

Is the nickel mine closing in WA? ›

Another pillar of the town, a nickel mine owned by Canadian company First Quantum Minerals (FQM), will soon close. Falling commodity prices and high operating costs are behind the decision to mothball the Ravensthorpe Nickel Operation. In a brutal blow for Hopetoun, more than 300 jobs will be lost.

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