Britain's national debt nearly 100 per cent of GDP (2024)

Britain's national debt nearly 100 per cent of GDP (1)

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Britain's national debt is now nearly 100 per cent of GDP. Photo / NZPA

Borrowing by the British state rocketed to a record £127.9 billion ($245b) in the three months to June as the public finances were wrecked by collapsing tax revenues and a spending spree to fight Covid-19.

The quarterly deficit is the largest since monitoring started in 1993, the Office for National Statistics said, and double the entire level of borrowing for the previous financial year.

It dwarfs even the worst days of the financial crisis and is likely to spark fears of brutal cuts and massive tax rises ahead as Chancellor Rishi Sunak launches a departmental spending review.

Last month alone, Treasury borrowed £35.5b, making it the third-biggest month of borrowing ever. The only two bigger months were April (£46.9b) and May (£45.5b).

The national debt now totals £1.98 trillion, or 99.6 per cent of GDP - its highest level since the 1960s.

The surge in debt has been triggered by unprecedented efforts to protect the economy from meltdown as Covid-19 hit and business were ordered to close.

Of the £80.5b spent in June, almost £10b went on the furlough scheme and support for self-employed people unable to work. So far the schemes have cost £37.6b, covering 9.5m employees and 2.7m who work for themselves.

Costs up, income down

At the same time tax revenues plunged by a fifth. VAT receipts were cut almost in half, tumbling to a decade low of £7.1bn for June. Companies had the option of deferring VAT payments for the second quarter, hitting revenues but hopefully boosting their prospects for longer-term survival.

Those numbers are based on the expectation that deferred bills will be paid this year. In terms of cash paid to Revenue and Customs so far and once VAT repayments are counted, net domestic VAT receipts were minus £744m last month. It was the third consecutive month in which more money was paid out than received on VAT.

Corporation tax receipts fell by almost a fifth to £3.7b, and pay-as-you-earn tax slipped by a more modest 1.6pc, to £13.6b as millions of workers on furlough took a 20 per cent pay cut.

With pubs closed until this month, alcohol duty brought in just over £700m, down 25 per cent on June last year.

Fuel duty and stamp duty on property sales were down by almost a third, though in each case that is an improvement on the drop of more than 50 per cent in May as activity returned to the nation's roads and its housing market.

Britain's national debt nearly 100 per cent of GDP (2)

Economists believe Chancellor Rishi Sunak will announce more spending this year, pushing the deficit up even further. The Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS) has warned the Treasury could take on £500b of extra debt over this year and next.

Benjamin Nabarro, economist at Citi, expects another £25b to be spent in the northern autumn through income tax cuts, more support on business rates and jobs and an expansion of debt relief for firms forced to take out emergency loans.

Eventually more control of the purse strings will be required. Sunak has hinted this could involve tighter budgets for some departments in a spending review unveiled on Tuesday.

Ben Zaranko, of the IFS, said: "The Chancellor has opened the door to a less generous funding settlement for public services than the one he committed to in March.

"Given the large amounts already promised for priority areas like the NHS, schools and police, and Rishi Sunak's emphasis on the need for 'tough choices', another round of budget cuts for other, lower priority departments is a very real possibility."

Promises that the taxpayer will cover bank losses on coronavirus loans is also set to push up borrowing in future as firms fail to pay what they owe. So far those guaranteed loans have totalled £48.7b.

The extraordinary size of the tax, spending and borrowing numbers reflects the fast-moving nature of the pandemic, the scale of the recession and its associated policy response.

That means the precise numbers for each month's deficit will not be clear until some time later. May's borrowing number of £45.5b was revised down by the ONS by almost £10b from its initial estimate of more than £55b.

- Telegraph Media Group

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Britain's national debt nearly 100 per cent of GDP (2024)

FAQs

Why was Britain so far in debt owe so much money? ›

UK budget. The public debt increases or decreases as a result of the annual budget deficit or surplus. The British government budget deficit or surplus is the cash difference between government receipts and spending. The British government debt is rising due to a gap between revenue and expenditure.

What is the concern if a country's debt rises to over 100% of the national GDP? ›

Financial stability

At high debt levels, governments have less capacity to provide support for ailing banks, and if they do, sovereign borrowing costs may rise further. At the same time, the more banks hold of their countries' sovereign debt, the more exposed their balance sheet is to the sovereign's fiscal fragility.

Has the UK national debt surpassed 1 trillion? ›

The national debt recently exceeded £1 trillion for the first time and is currently equivalent to around two-thirds of annual economic output (GDP). But the UK government has a long history of indebtedness, and for most of the 20th century, its debt was much higher, as a share of GDP, than it is now.

What is a good national debt-to-GDP ratio? ›

Debt-to-GDP measures the financial leverage of an economy. One of the Euro convergence criteria was that government debt-to-GDP should be below 60%.

Does America still owe Britain money? ›

In total, other territories hold about $7.4 trillion in U.S. debt. Japan owns the most at $1.1 trillion, followed by China, with $859 billion, and the United Kingdom at $668 billion.

Who does Britain owe its national debt to? ›

The UK national debt is the total amount of money the British government owes to the private sector and other purchasers of UK gilts (e.g. Bank of England). This is the highest level of public sector debt since 1961.

Who has the strongest economy in the world? ›

The United States is the undisputed heavyweight when it comes to the economies of the world. America's gross domestic product in 2022 was more than 40% greater than that of China, the world No. 2. Even more striking, U.S. GDP was over five times that of the next two largest economies, Japan and Germany.

How much does China owe the US? ›

The United States pays interest on approximately $850 billion in debt held by the People's Republic of China. China, however, is currently in default on its sovereign debt held by American bondholders.

Which country has no debt? ›

1) Switzerland

Switzerland is a country that, in practically all economic and social metrics, is an example to follow. With a population of almost 9 million people, Switzerland has no natural resources of its own, no access to the sea, and virtually no public debt.

Who has the most debt on earth? ›

United States. The United States boasts both the world's biggest national debt in terms of dollar amount and its largest economy, which resolves to a debt-to GDP ratio of approximately 128.13%. The United States' government's spending exceeds its income most years, and the US has not had a budget surplus since 2001.

Who is America in debt to? ›

The public owes 74 percent of the current federal debt. Intragovernmental debt accounts for 26 percent or $5.9 trillion. The public includes foreign investors and foreign governments. These two groups account for 30 percent of the debt.

Who is the largest holder of the national debt? ›

The largest holder of U.S. debt is the U.S government. Which agencies own the most Treasury notes, bills, and bonds? Social Security, by a long shot. The U.S. Treasury publishes this information in its monthly Treasury statement.

What would happen if the US paid off its debt? ›

Answer and Explanation:

If the U.S. was to pay off their debt ultimately, there is not much that would happen. Paying off the debt implies that the government will now focus on using the revenue collected primarily from taxes to fund its activities.

Can the US get out of debt? ›

Under current policy, the United States has about 20 years for corrective action after which no amount of future tax increases or spending cuts could avoid the government defaulting on its debt whether explicitly or implicitly (i.e., debt monetization producing significant inflation).

What countries owe the US money? ›

Nearly half of all US foreign-owned debt comes from five countries. All values are adjusted to 2023 dollars. As of January 2023, the five countries owning the most US debt are Japan ($1.1 trillion), China ($859 billion), the United Kingdom ($668 billion), Belgium ($331 billion), and Luxembourg ($318 billion).

Why was Britain in so much debt in the late 1700s? ›

The costs of fighting a protracted war on several continents meant Britain's national debt almost doubled from 1756 to 1763, and this financial pressure which Britain tried to alleviate through new taxation in the Thirteen Colonies helped cause the American Revolution.

What was the reason the British government was heavily in debt in 1763? ›

The British Government was also interested in ending the war. The Seven Years' War had been enormously expensive, and the Government had to finance the war with debt. Creditors were beginning to doubt Great Britain's ability to pay back the loans it had floated on financial markets.

What war was the main reason why the British were in major debt? ›

The French and Indian War began in 1754 and ended with the Treaty of Paris in 1763. The war provided Great Britain enormous territorial gains in North America, but disputes over subsequent frontier policy and paying the war's expenses led to colonial discontent, and ultimately to the American revolution.

How much did the US owe Britain? ›

$668,300,000,000

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