Bollinger Band Trading (2024)

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Bollinger Band Trading - Your Number One Support Tool for Options

Bollinger band trading is all about volatility. This indicator provides a great deal of information, including a graphical representation of how volatile the current price action of any given security is. Understanding how price volatility works and how you can take advantage of it can make a big difference to your profit levels.

For the purpose of this discussion, we will assume we are trading options on stocks, but you can use them just as effectively on forex pairs or commodity futures.

Bollinger bands form a kind of support and resistance on either side of the price bars or candles on a price chart. They are like an envelope around the price action, usually hovering around a moving average in the middle.

When the stock is experiencing a highly volatile trading period, the bands will automatically flare, or fan out, so that the stock has more room to move within them. When the price action consolidates into a low volatility range, the bands will constrict and move closer together.

Bollinger Band Trading - Over Bought and Over Sold

While it is normal for a stock's price action to remain with the upper and lower Bollinger Bands, it is also possible for it to breach these areas. When this occurs, we can consider it overbought for upper breaches and oversold when breaching the lower band.

As previously mentioned, Bollinger Bands are used in conjunction with a moving average. For short term traders, a 9 day Moving Average along with a 9 day Bollinger Band is quite effective. However, for longer term strategies you might want to consider 20, 50 and 80 day settings.

Here is a sample of what the 9 day bands and their moving average look like:

Bollinger Band Trading (2)

Using Bollinger Band Trading

You should consider this your number one support tool when option trading. It is helpful for both entry and exit signals.

If the price action on any given day closes outside the Bollinger Bands, it is usually a sign that a strong move is in progress which is likely to continue. However, should the same thing occur after the second day of a move, it then becomes a strong sign that the underlying security is moving into overbought or oversold territory and therefore may not be able to sustain it's current direction. This would be a good time to take some profits or exit the trade altogether.

Bollinger Band Trading and Historical Volatility

The easiest way I have found to gauge the price volatility of a stock is simply by looking at the past performance of the Bollinger Bands. When the Bands are close together and hugging the price bars, it means that volatilityis low.

While the price volatility of the underlying is low, both call and put options will generally also be cheap. When they expand, at-the-money options tend to become more expensive.


Therefore a good general rule of thumb when trading simple long options positions or other derivatives for a profit, is to buy when the Bands are relatively close together and sell when they are wide.

Bollinger Band Trading and Implied Volatility

Implied Volatility is that "extra" factor included in the calculation of an options price, after all other elements of an options pricing model have been taken into account. It reflects the expected future price movement of the underlying and therefore, how cheap or expensive an option becomes.

A stock which has a fast moving share price will usually be in higher demand and therefore, the option contracts will attract a higher premium. This is one reason why the timing of simple long options positions can be critical.

The Bollinger Bands help us here. If you enter a long put or call options position as the bands are beginning to flare out after being close together, your options should be still relatively cheap. If the price action continues to widen the bands, the increased volatility will likewise increase the options price so that your profits will be magnified.

It is important to note that when the Bands are wide, the option prices will be high for those supporting the direction of the move, while those supporting the opposite direction will be cheaper. This can be handy knowledge for trading channels or backing patterns.

Bollinger Bands offer a visual indicator of volatility - this is why they're so reliable. The term you choose for your Bollingers will depend on whether your trading approach is long or short term. For short term options traders, I have found a 9 day term the most useful.

Bollinger Band Trading - Some Rules to Follow

1. The upper and lower bands act as dynamic support and resistance for the underlying asset.

2. If the price action of the stock moves outside the Bands on the first or second day of a breakout, it suggests that the move is likely to continue.

3. If the price action of the stock moves outside the Bands AFTER the first or second day of such a breakout, it is a good idea to exit a trade if you're already in one, because at this point a reversal is more likely.

4. Following a breakout, if the price bars/candles are sliding along either the upper or lower bands, it indicates that the stock price action is moving effortlessly in one direction and likely to continue that way.

5. The best time to take profits is when the Bands are wide and the price of the underlying has moved in your favour. Don't wait for signals that the move is stalling.

6. The moving average between the bands can act as a support and resistance line.

7. When the price of the stock, forex pair or other underlying asset is above the moving average (MAV), it is likely to stay there. So we watch for definite "breaks" above or below the MAV.

8. As price volatility rises the Bands will begin to widen. As it falls, they will squeeze in together. Options traders should employ buying strategies when the Bands are tight and selling strategies when they are wide. Quite often, your entry signals will be evident before price volatility rises.

9. After entering a long options position, maximum profits are achieved once the price bars or candles move outside the widened Bands. This is your ideal profit taking opportunity.

10. To help with the timing of your entry, use the Moving Average as a support and resistance line, as well as the upper and lower Bands as an indication of volatility levels and the strength of the move.

Finally . . .

Remember that this indicator is a guide only. It cannot predict future volatility of price action. It simply reflects the historical and current volatility of the stock at any given time. Do not place a trade based on this indicator alone. It should be used only in conjunction with your other entry signals. The function of Bollinger Band trading is to enhance your profits, not to determine them.

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Bollinger Band Trading (2024)

FAQs

Bollinger Band Trading? ›

Ultimately, there's no indicator that guarantees you'll always get in at the bottom or out at the top. However, Bollinger Bands—especially when paired with other indicators such as chart pattern recognition tools—can help you make better trading decisions.

Does trading Bollinger Bands work? ›

Ultimately, there's no indicator that guarantees you'll always get in at the bottom or out at the top. However, Bollinger Bands—especially when paired with other indicators such as chart pattern recognition tools—can help you make better trading decisions.

What does a Bollinger Band tell you? ›

What are Bollinger Bands? Bollinger Bands are a technical analysis tool developed by John Bollinger in the 1980s for trading stocks. The bands comprise a volatility indicator that measures the relative high or low of a security's price in relation to previous trades.

What is the rule of Bollinger Bands? ›

Here's the formula for calculating Bollinger Bands (at two standard deviations) based on a 20-day simple moving average: Upper band = 20-day SMA + (20-day SD x 2) Middle band = 20-day SMA. Lower band = 20-day SMA – (20-day SD x 2)

Is Bollinger Band Strategy profitable? ›

The Bollinger Band indicator has the advantage of making it very easy to identify periods when the market is more likely to break out in the near term. The main advantages of this are that it allows options traders to, while also allowing them to identify potentially profitable trading opportunities.

What is the drawback of Bollinger Bands? ›

Limitations Of Bollinger Bands

One of these limitations is that the Bollinger Bands are essentially reactive, not predictive. The bands will react to fluctuations in price movements, either uptrends or downtrends, but will not predict prices. Like most technical indicators, Bollinger Bands are a lagging indicator.

What timeframe do Bollinger Bands work best? ›

Bollinger bands can be used on multiple timeframes, ranging from minutes, hours, days and weeks. The common timeframes are daily for short-term traders and weekly for longer-term traders.

What is the best strategy for Bollinger Bands? ›

Bollinger Bands Trading Strategy

The strategy involves using volatility bands placed above and below the price chart to determine when an asset is overbought or oversold. To buy low with Bollinger Bands, look for times when the price of an asset falls towards the lower band.

What is the best indicator to use with Bollinger Bands? ›

Using the %b Indicator

Another indicator used with Bollinger Bands is %b, which plots the stock's closing price as a percentage of the upper and lower bands. The upper band is identified as 1.0, the middle band 0.5 and the lower band zero. Thus, %b shows how close the stock's current price is to the bands.

How accurate are Bollinger Bands? ›

By setting the upper and lower bands two standard deviations away from the SMA, Bollinger Bands create a range expected to contain approximately 95% of the security's price movements over a given period.

What is the math behind Bollinger Bands? ›

Bollinger Bands consist of an N-period moving average (MA), an upper band at K times an N-period standard deviation above the moving average (MA + Kσ), and a lower band at K times an N-period standard deviation below the moving average (MA − Kσ).

What are the basics of Bollinger Bands? ›

Bollinger Bands are envelopes plotted at a standard deviation level above and below a simple moving average of the price. Because the distance of the bands is based on standard deviation, they adjust to volatility swings in the underlying price. Bollinger Bands use 2 parameters, Period and Standard Deviations, StdDev.

Which is better Bollinger Bands or MACD? ›

In this comparison MACD is obviously the superior performing system. Not only does it enjoy a better P:MD, but it does so while enjoying a higher percentage of winning trades, better profit-to-loss ratio, and fewer consecutive losses.

How do you predict with Bollinger Bands? ›

Calculate the simple moving average (SMA) of the asset price over the chosen time period. Calculate the standard deviation of the asset price over the same time period. Calculate the upper band by adding 2 standard deviations to the SMA. Calculate the lower band by subtracting 2 standard deviations from the SMA.

What are the three lines of the Bollinger Bands? ›

Bollinger Bands® are composed of three lines. One of the more common calculations uses a 20-day simple moving average (SMA) for the middle band. The upper band is calculated by taking the middle band and adding twice the daily standard deviation to that amount.

What is the success rate of the Bollinger Bands? ›

We tested the many ways to trade Bollinger Bands, but the research shows that none are more than 47% successful. This is because Bollinger Bands produce many false signals. One popular way to trade Bollinger Bands is to buy when the price crosses above the lower band and sell when it crosses below the upper band.

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